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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
jaxjagman replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Strong blocking into the Western Aluetians,Bearing Sea being shown would pump up a +PNA but where does the Trough Axis set up,definite cold look towards the Mid month -
What's great about the 12z euro is 2 clippers are north and 1 clipper south. M/D area in the screw zone for all. Dought it goes down like that but it's comically sad for our area.
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Bit longer on the places I researched. Total 1"+ Consec. days CAR 134 120 Rangeley 143 131 Farmington 112 102 My short (27 yr) pack-retention spot: 123 total, 119 consec.
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It just started
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37.8 °F with 0.29". Second miserably cold rain day this week...I love them on weekdays!
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I'm not writing off Pac Puke just yet. The solstice warm-up seems to be the most unstoppable atmospheric force on earth for 15+ years. It hasn't mattered whether we're in Nino, Nina or Nada. It hasn't mattered whether the first half of the month was good, bad or meh. It hasn't always meant a warm Christmas day per se as we've had a couple of powerful yet ultimately transient cold shots. And several times we've had normalish surface temps but with torched mid and upper levels. 2017 - 2018 is probably the biggest exception to this rule that I can remember off the top of my head. It was warm right before Christmas but then turned chilly on Christmas day and then brutally cold around New Years and the first 10 days or so of January. Even then it was a dry cold with no big storms.
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At 1PM, there was a whopping 26F diff. between Valdosta’s 76 and Tifton’s 50. Tifton is a mere 45 miles N of Valdosta!
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McLean, VA 2025-26 Snowfall TOTAL: 1.9" November: T 11/12: T | Stayed up late hoping for something more substantial, but there were still some VERY hard to see flurries. 11/30: T | Morning snow/sleet mix changed to rain. December: 1.9" 12/5: 1.9" | The return of the mythical December 5th snowstorm. It brought extreme cold for early-December, with my high of 29. The best start to December that my young life can remember. January: 0.0" February: 0.0" March: 0.0"
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That makes 2 of us!
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
WmsptWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I don't think Tony recorded the call. I do think he is actively hijacking the program with the Hire Terry Smith shit. I think he was trying to sabotage any hire that isn't Terry Smith. I think he can go F himself. There's the door. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
So, In an average 12 week winter season (84 days) if the ground was covered for the whole 12 weeks(unlikely in southern areas), ..3% less snow duration is about 2.5 days less…not exactly a shocking number imo. But ok. -
0.8”
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Not a ton of support in EPS to the Euro op’s solution of a storm passing well south of us. But looks like a good handful or two. Just eyeballing Pivotal maps.
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Heeeeeyyyyyy!!!! Good to see you!!
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I mentioned 95-96 yesterday. Interestingly, the d8-14 analogs have that analog(I didn't see it until today FTR). I am glad not to see 83-84 in that mix! Dec 2012 is double weighted as well. 19951129 20161209 20121128 20221129 19961223 20101212 19951204 20211222 20121203 20081231 -
How has BWI not reported anything yet!?! edit…finally 0.8” at 1pm. Lowest than all surrounding spotter reports.
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Measured 1.7”
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I'm still waiting on the 4" of snow it had here only 36 hours before the rainstorm a few days ago.
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The Return of the 12/5 Snowstorm
NorthArlington101 replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Do we keep discussion for the freezing drizzle WAA in here? -
Pixie dust snow now
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Good thing storms a week away always happen as they are shown now
