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Gfs remains super active while the euro and candian continue to be snooze fests in the medium and long range. I would like to see some legit threats pop up on the other guidance.

That gets NYC to 8.7” for the season. More than all of 2012,2020,2023,and 2024. 5 more inches and we’ll tie last year’s total.

far to much model-clinging and wavering, and it's seemingly getting worse year to year

Then the NAMs shit the bed

Actually, still steady big flakes coming down adding on. I’d love to get over 7”

Eps warm in fantasy range, def sick of the cad and it's just starting

Preliminary snowfall amounts: Central Park: 1.0” JFK Airport: 0.6” LaGuardia Airport: 1.4” Newark: 2.0”

One last band to push thru here and will hit driveway again when it’s over

FGEN band location is going to determine the winner tomorrow. Some are going to be really happy, many others are going to be really sad.

He makes fantastic beer!

See it is from there site dude I'm not gonna post false maps

3.1" total today, 15" on season. A little more than halfway to average for season

Everyone getting buried

@jonjon

I feel ok where I am for now. I’m hoping for 4” of heavy wet snow which would be great vs fluff.

Absolutely gorgeous out there now with sunlight drifting through the snow laden trees, a mix of clouds and blue skies.

They posted it on there site lol

Were you summoned by @WxUSAFsaying warm nose? (BTW what went into choosing that name? Sarcastic irony?)

Seem like w/ time, N&W of 495 is becoming the target max for Sunday. Compared to 24 hr ago when we were worried about if the pcpn shield would get any further N&W than TAN! Models are hurtin', global and mesoscale, recently. Can't recall so many issues in the short range!

That's not far off the deck at all. Higher elevations in Howard, Carroll and Baltimore counties should be able to overcome it...hopefully.

One is trying to cut cost...less computing power = save $. Other is trying to actually improve the output. If you run the 500 pattern for last 3 days (starting 10 days out to where it is now), you can see the difference between the two. GFS (and even GEFs) bounces more so to speak. As @Holston_River_Ramblersaid, it's uncanny how little the thing bounces around vs everything else.

Jelly

Love the disclaimer for the RRFS...lol The RRFS A is a prototype NOAA run and not for decision making. It will post as available, and outages may occur. More RRFS details are available here.

That doesn't look like a WxRisk map. There are no intersecting lines

Let’s all have a region wide 4-8” pack. Lol