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The latest from the NWS:

Thank you, I've been trying to tell my wife this for years.

Fun week for NNE/CNE on GFS.

Exactly. City folk should stop complaining. If you live close? Go there. Measure. Document it. Done.. That's what I've been saying. Why is this so hard?

Let's add in the 26th.

If it were that simple, he would have already made a billion dollars in the energy sector! Lol

We need a pinned thread for all of the posts in this forum about central park snow measurements. There’s more chatter about that than almost any other topic. And it’s the same banal banter and thats all it is at this point. Yes central park sucks at measuring snow. We agree. Move on and go touch grass... or snow. And if you want, you go can measure whatever snow there is for yourself. Write it down, come back in this thread and tell us what your findings are.

Sad. So long as snow is gone the warmer the better as far as I’m concerned. Really, anything is better than upper 30s / low 40s turd weather.

This.

Clams are only happy at high tide

Yeah and he even states this earlier. I’m not necessarily trying to call him out for being wrong but i’d like to know what has changed and is giving us a more canonical Nina.

There’s a fair amount of folks here who are looking for a big icer

Carver, we should see cold fronts behind systems that cut nw of us. Happens every winter even in the warmest winters. Cools off for a day, depending on how much cold there is to work with. Any sustainable cold won't happen here unless the aleutian ridge moves or shifts for us. Imo of course. I just hope to get close to my average snow

Nice squall line lined up with the mountain.

I haven't looked, but any difference in strength is trivial...if anything, this year ENSO should be more favorable because last year was a Modoki, as opposed to east-central this year. Additionally, the hallmark of the west warm pool has been a consistent strongly +WPO due to the cold being bottled up near Siberia....thia year we have seen a reprieve from that for the first time since 2021-2022, which is the only season to not feature a +WPO in the DM seasonal mean since 2016. His stance is utterly nonsensical, and reeks of "well my stance wasn't right, so no winter for anyone ".

I don't know about this. Eric Webb guy. First of all, La Nina is already starting to fade. Just not buying what he's saying. There's a few other guys that I trust will who dive deep into the pattern with a whole different scenario of what's going to happen. I'm going to let this one just fly out the window. Don't see this outcome as the frontrunner at all at this point.

Can't really buy a juiced up northern stream s/w on the GFS without some help from the GOM.

NWS needs to either put a dedicated observer there who will do it properly or just use obs from someplace else.

You’re asking the same questions as I am. I asked him directly as well. The warm pool looks similar to last year unless i’m midreading something. Maybe it’s because the Nina itself looks stronger this year.

You'll never guess what the new one looks like...

8-9 million people in NYC.. Everyone is constantly taking BS selfies and what not on their phone. No one can go to where CP measures, and document it? Is it off limits like Area 51? Ridiculous.

Ahh ya..a cutter I’ll do that. Give me a break.

EPS daily extended ticked colder this run with normal temps into second week of January and with below normal end of January into early February. Control is much colder. Definitely not a "winter is over" run.

seriously - this official chart contains those inaccurate measurements - not good monthlyseasonalsnowfall.pdf

Unedited sunset pic I just took in my neighborhood