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I guess, though that supposes that this phase goes off cleanly which I doubt at this time period.

So good it’s being retired

It’s not an official storm until we’re NAM’d. That’s the benchmark.

Bob Chill you are gonna need a bigger tractor.

Exactly-as dependable as CJ Stroud

Patiently waiting for our CMC smack down

Wtf is Fern? Fern as in Fernando? Why not Ferb?

Would you say the NAM 3km is a good model inside its useful range of 36 hours?

It can happen, PDII had mixing issues. Actually cut accumulations by a couple of inches

We've come a long way. I can remember being either the only DE poster, or one of 2-3. I think we might be up above 5 now? I know there is one other Sussex County alumni.

0z NMB, yanked from James Spann, as I don't have a pro account on Pivotal. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

Yea even a little snow here possible

Its an awful model. Look at it out of boredom, or for entertainment purposes. The real models will be along soon.

Haha I remember always trying to take the qpf and predicted temps and looking at the snow ratio chart haha

If the NBM is still on board, so am I.

With this added 100 mile north shift would this system trend more juicy/amped?

Yep - I can sneak out of work anytime after 4, really. Happy to welcome folks in and out (or just meet at 6)

Temps are all over the place. On the way home from work my temperature reading in my vehicle bounced around several times by 3°

We’re thinking Succotash in DC on Thursday…I’ve got an appointment at 430 so I’ll be there around 6 but @NorthArlington101 can get there earlier if you guys (and anyone else) are down.

Correct. Lots of qpf with wet, heavy snow that pasted to everything.

Ah ok. For some reason I thought I remembered the temperatures being around 20° but I must be confused.

NAM is the NAM. But it already opens the southern wave at 51 and has much less confluence in the east. It would be more north than the GFS imo. Not even gonna look beyond that. No point.

If the cold air/high and TPV strength was overdone by the models AND the NS vort digs even more, that would do it. But I do think 100 miles is the max it can shift from this setup and lead time. Could be less. Hopefully not more.

16/7

#Justice4FranklinNumbers