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You have no idea how pissed I was watching that run... Hell even the 12z gives me a dusting Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk

The only thing I really expected today or tonight was a great lightning show. Whether I'm watching it from a distance sliding south of me or it's stroking my back yard, I still have high hopes of that later tonight. It's good to see you got more beneficial rain for your yard today.

0.58" from today's storm. DP hit 76 sometime this afternoon. Welcome to summer.

Edmonton KY Storm is a beast. Plenty of open space for it. Stay safe John.

Honestly I'd be more worried if this didn't happen around Carmel.

I’d take this year round. How anyone could get sick of this type of weather and long daylight is beyond me.

1.39” of rain today at mi casa. Got absolutely smoked between 6-640 from the line. Rain rate max was 2.56”/hr. 1.1” fell in 35 min. Great day of rain and thunder around here. Feel for those that sadly have to deal with tree damage. The consequence of these things blowing through. Sterling and Mount Holly were plenty busy today.

I’ll keep the shovel near the front of the garage.

@nrgjeff tornado watch coming https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0830.html Mesoscale Discussion 0830 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0818 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025 Areas affected...Middle and Eastern Tennessee Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 170118Z - 170215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...A tornado watch will be need this evening for Middle and Eastern Tennessee, as a line of supercell thunderstorms has developed along a surface cold front and begun moving east-southeastward. Potentially strong tornadoes, damaging winds of 60-80 MPH, and large hail are all possible with severe storms this evening. DISCUSSION...Ongoing severe thunderstorms extending from southwestern Kentucky into northern Arkansas are expected to persist and move southeastward into Middle and Eastern Tennessee this evening. 00Z sounding data from OHX shows modest to strong low-level shear, with 0-1 km SRH of 220 m^2/s^2, little to no remaining capping, and a deep effective inflow layer -- all supportive of supercells capable of producing tornadoes. However, with shear vector components being largely boundary-parallel, and some recent trends in upscale growth evident on radar, a transition from isolated supercells to supercells embedded in a quasilinear convective system is anticipated. As this transition occurs, the threat will shift from tornadoes to a damaging wind threat, with wind gusts of 60-80 MPH possible with the strongest thunderstorm outflow. Any tornadoes that do develop have the potential to be strong, and tornado watch issuance will be needed soon. ..Halbert/Gleason.. 05/17/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...OHX...HUN...MEG... LAT...LON 35858806 36388807 36608766 36598578 36608489 36558386 36538364 36498350 36408346 36338347 36158361 35668392 35368416 35128446 35128641 35148706 35168755 35388792 35858806 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...140-170 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN

how much snow left on ground while it's constant lightning? asking for a friend

Straight through winter? It was a very nice day. Great evening too. Love having more daylight.

Fine by me. I’ll take 364 more days just like this one.

Tuesday is looking like a much-needed soaker for Iowa. We'll be north of the low, so it's possible we won't even get any thunder out of this.

Banner day everywhere but here

Yeah, consistent with what you noted in the mesoanalysis, the 00Z Dulles raob shows that the earlier convection really stabilized the atmosphere here. Surface-based instability is negligible, and the mid-level lapse rates are lousy. Perhaps some improvement advects in overnight, and I'm not ready to throw in the towel after one HRRR run goes to crap after several more interesting runs. That said, IF we do get an overnight round, I think it would likely be elevated and therefore non-severe. I won't discount some improvement in the low levels and a fast-moving convective system that is able to generate some wind, but I don't think that scenario is very likely.

it is just constant lightning! (bridge camera is better)

wow , quite the light show!

Oh I agree! I dont like the warmth either. I just meant considering the 90s for days to our west, squeezing into the low 80s was nothing here

More often than not, we do not do multiple rounds of storms well. The exception to that was 2008 when there were like 3 serial derechos that went through the area. I'd argue we see that convection die off quickly once it hits the Eastern Continental Divide.

about to get a good storm here https://www.iplivecams.com/live-cams/smothers-park-owensboro-kentucky-united-states/

The warmth is good for getting t-storms but that’s about it. This 80 degree stuff is too warm for me. lol.

The 0z HRRR is pretty much a dud the rest of the night.

Mesoanalysis show a minimum of CAPE over most of the region. I just wonder if between the MLLR to the west potentially advecting in, and any "recovery" from any other processes overnight could sustain convection into our area. But judging my CAPE alone - it seems we are cooked for surface based activity. Perhaps the MLLR and better forcing and maybe if there's a cold pool fro the activity to the west could sustain covection. Lots of question marks.