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Didn't even check radar after the first bath. Let's hope it holds together, but I think you'll get inot that one, not me.

GgsAI has the storm but a touch warmer than op. Hard to tell on the TT rudimentary maps.

Looks like the NAM/NAMNEST/latest HRRR really backed off on the wind?

2m temps for the storm are like 27-31 at the start of the event and 30-34 at the end, colder NW, warmer SE. And your original statement was that 0.5-0.8” QPF, which is a substantial amount. Obviously I’m over analyzing now, but look at the whole storm before making a statement like that.

Batch two we discussed about to move in and then that’s it. But, I think the moment of blast thru overnight gives us a burst

Light fine flakes, Car topper so far:.:

MacChump can buy and sell all of us. His salary is north of the north star.

Congrats everyone in Richmond. Northern neck missed again, but it happens. I’m interested in the wind tomorrow.

Scary stuff. There's only so much you can do on a highway like that when others aren't driving safe.

You said .70 was light. We are talking about a model, not what you think will happen. Our boats are floating well. Because we know that .7 of QPF isn't "light". Consider THAT.

Its evil Twin GFS AI AIGFS has much more QPF for that period

Our 12th winter "event" that's a dozin couzin.....

Been years since I’ve had this, but so damn good

Funny man, my bust the qpf north is light, but temps still marginal at 2m. Consider you had opened a thread for a crap system that didn't perform. This is far out and snow maps mean nothing. But whatever floats you and the others boats.

I would give this winter at least a B even an A. Snowfall has been above average so far and it has not gone away. Temperatures below normal and a prolonged very cold stretch. It also started early.

34.3, light snow and a dusting. Maybe an inch before it's done.

Anybody got a real solid time line frontal passage like Frederick to Silver Spring to Camp Sorings? Thanks

Pretty wild weather swings from Kingsport to Morgan county: This: and this (Eastman bubble): To this, and 55 degrees:

Richmond got 4"

At least it didnt start as rain, An inch might be doable.

Had some light snow here, was coming down enough to make a thin dusting. Lighter now. Kettle fire tonight!!!

Just pointing this out. Been following both Ai models for days now. They’ve been locked in to this general progression for multiple runs now. Theres some minor differences each run of course, but two separate models 190+ hours out, remarkable similarities. Regardless of details, gotta wonder if the OPs will eventually end up with this look.

Shhh... don't tell Randy

GFS is south where you want it this early. Had to say it.

18z GFS now showing Snow next weekend like the Euro AI... similar. Something to watch