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Here's a good visual and this is probably one of the more impressive MAULs you usually see

Gusting to 45mph on lbi, 40 in acy, 25 here.

Winds picking up, snow still moderate, and only sticking to grassy surfaces. Once the storm starts to deepen should be a good time as it intensifies.

Relax lol

I stop caring what the ceiling might have been once there is heavy snow flying and I'm outside in it. A good jebwalk cures everything.

Mariano on the mound now.

Look for environmental lapse rates higher than the moist adiabats on soundings

mod- heavy snow - NW DC.

sort of like CAPE value? I've wondered myself the difference. TIA

Obs in obs thread. Please.

starting to stick to roofs and grass here 32

temps down to 33 exact now and very heavy snow

Fuck it. I’m gonna send it

Another meso:

34F off high of 37F. Light easterly winds.

I think I need to take a break from here

Finally over to full snow, near DTSS. Large flakes.

Grass and cars covered. Roads caved. Been snowing heavy huge flakes for two hours. (S Leesburg / NW of Dulles) .

Totals map (I know, but I’m a relentless models nerd)⁉️

Yeah. You two honed in on it

Oh and ground caving has commenced.

Ground and roofs are whitened at my daughter's 110' higher in elevation, but not mby yet.

A major blizzard is getting underway. A rapidly developing storm will bring heavy snow and high winds to the region into tomorrow afternoon. At present, a 16"-22" snowfall appears likely in New York City and its nearby suburbs. Somewhat lesser amounts are likely north and west of New York City. A 18"-24" snowfall is likely across central New Jersey and part of Long Island. Blizzard conditions are likely at the height of the storm late Sunday night into Monday morning across much of the region. Winds will likely gust near 60 mph creating extremely low visibilities and large drifts. Final estimates: Allentown: 8"-12" Atlantic City: 8"-16" Baltimore: 4"-8" Binghamton: 2"-4" Boston: 18"-24" Bridgeport: 14"-20" Harrisburg: 4"-8" Hartford: 8"-12" Islip: 18"-24" New York City: 16"-22" Newark: 16"-22" Philadelphia: 12"-18" Providence: 18"-24" Scranton: 3"-6" Washington, DC: 3"-6" Wilmington: 12"-18" New York City's 10 Biggest Snowstorms: 1 27.5", January 22-24, 2016 2 26.9", February 11-12, 2006 3 26.4", December 26-27, 1947 4 21.0", March 12-14, 1888 5 20.9", February 25-26, 2010 6 20.2", January 7-8, 1996 7 20.0", December 26-27, 2010 8 19.8", February 16-17, 2003 9 19.0", January 26-27, 2011 10 18.1", January 22-24, 1935 and March 7-8, 1941 As a result, Winter 2025-2026 will become just the 10th winter with two 10" or above snowstorms in New York City. The others are 1895-1996, 1925-1926, 1960-1961, 1977-1978, 1995-1996, 2003-2004, 2009-2010 (3 such storms), 2010-2011, and 2013-2014. Even more impressive, Winter 2025-2026 will be on track to join Winters 1960-1961 and 1977-1978 as the only winters with two or more 10" snowstorms, a seasonal mean temperature of 32° or below and seasonal snowfall of 30.0" or above. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around February 11. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.03°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.47°C. Neutral ENSO conditions are now developing. Neutral ENSO conditions will develop during the close of winter. The SOI was +6.48 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.211 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal February (1991-2020 normal). February will likely finish with a mean temperature near 31.6° (4.3° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.7° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. Overall, Winter 2025-2026 is on track for a seasonal mean temperature of 32.0°. If a 32.0° or below seasonal mean temperature occurs, that would be the lowest winter mean temperature since Winter 2014-2015 when the mean temperature was 31.7°. Winter 2025-2026 would only become the fourth winter of the 21st century with a mean temperature of 32.0° or below.

Changing over now. No longer even need to squint or even wear my glasses to see the flakes. Still mostly rain but getting quieter as flakes pick up. Next milestone, stickage...

Folks - don't forget to go outside and enjoy this gift, as it's simply gorgeous out there now and about to go nuclear. If you need an excuse to get outside, do a measurement every hour and report back. Also, if you end up with several inches less than the NWS and others are predicting, don't whine - remember back to 3-4 days ago when we were worried about a whiff