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it’s not as pretty

Where's the precip map?

This precip is moving in a lot faster than any model had it.

When I left work in the south side of Bays Mountain it was pouring some big flakes. Over in VA the flakes are still really tiny and not much accumulation.

Proud to say I saw Bob Dylan in Fayetteville in 2024. Crown Theatre. Beautiful venue. Good luck everyone. Been a fun week.

I put more stock into the GFS Ai vs the OP so this gives me a little hope. Been saying since yesterday this is a pretty simple setup. Could all go to crap, but I feel pretty confident with this. 18z gfs backed up the western ridge, I bet it shows a strong event

She comin’!

Old information. Fayetteville will probably never get over some of it's past reputation, but it is nothing like it used to be.

The problem with pack is that it becomes grimy and funky after a while. I need a friggin sky lift to get to the street. Should rent my driveway as a ski slope for 75 bucks an hour...snow is one thing ice another. Hacked at white concrete for 3 days and just managed to clear the steps and both landings. Companies are overloaded with service requests. Dynamite might work. Day 2 of trying to find anybody that can haul this igloo paste outta here.

Globals vs CAMs right now...

"You think it's the end But it's just the beginning"

Damn.. that escalated quick. Always nice to get a "whoa" from good ole @Ji

You're looking at the nam map. Look at the one eyewall posted

The January 24-30 period has had a mean temperature of 16.9°. That is the coldest one week period since January 1-7, 2018 when the one-week average temperature was 16.4°. In addition, New York City saw its second single digit low of this winter. That's the most such days since Winter 2022-2023 when there were three such days. Today's high temperature was 18°. That is the second high temperature below 20° this winter. The last time that happened was Winter 2018-2019. The temperature will again fall into the single digits tomorrow morning. The high temperature will rise into the upper teens or lower 20s. Temperatures should begin to moderate on Sunday into early next week and could briefly rise to or above freezing. Nevertheless, readings are likely to remain below normal into at least the start of next week. A passing flurry is possible on Sunday. Eastern Long Island into southeastern New England could see some light snow as parts of the region are brushed by a blizzard that will bring heavy snow and high winds to the Southeast. Overall, January 20th-February 3rd will likely be the coldest and perhaps snowiest two-week period this winter. The forecast WPO-/EPO-/AO-/PNA+ pattern is typically the coldest pattern in January and among the coldest during the first half of February. A persistently positive PNA will have above climatological risk of moderate or significant snowfalls. For perspective, the coldest two-week period this winter prior to January 20th was January 3-16, 2026 and January 4-17, 2026 with a mean temperature of 30.3°. The snowiest two-week period was December 14-27, 2025 when 7.2" of snow fell. Already, snowfall since January 20th has surpassed that figure. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around January 14. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.48°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.68°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter. The SOI was +11.22 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -3.616 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal January (1991-2020 normal). January will likely finish with a mean temperature near 30.3° (3.4° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.3° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

I use to hitchhike in the 70s-fairly long distances Inevitably a Vet would pick me -Get to talking about me being from NC "Ohhhh-yea I spent some time there before going to Vietnam.. you know where

If he predicts 8”-10” IMBY, he’s the one I’m trusting.

Hey! Take it easy--I have family there. You are correct.

Trough slowed down on the OP. Could see improvements on it as well. The Ai showed a stronger system because it was slower and this allowed time for that pesky tpv to clear out

In that screenshot, you are missing Holston, Beaver Brook, Municipal, Whittles, Cherokee and Dead Horse. [emoji466]️ .

Central Park on the left and LGA the right. I have a feeling the pits drop really low tonight.

Man this could have been so sick. Best runs, besides the ones when the thread was started, were when it was teasing the Fuji right off SNE coast couple days ago. But that was like the all time needle threader solution

Nice hit. Best of all we arent trying to tuck a coastal, just a normal storm moving in from the Ohio Valley.