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Follow NWS warnings and statements. Probably a good idea to plan altnerate travel plans Sunday afternoon-Monday night. Air travel will be impact as well roads. Deeper bands of heavier gusty rains Sunday night-Monday morning then low top steady light-briefly mdt rain Mon afternoon-night. I could be in error on my take but what am prepared for in the NYC subforum. Am not exactly sure what is out by NWS. I think they have the CFWRNG's out, if not...going to happen, probably 3 cycles of MDT, possibly a major in there Monday-also dependent on the sub basins, especially packing in on the northeast wind. Follow NWS. Coastal flooding also will have a river runoff component at the interface between incoming ocean waves, wind, elevated water level and dealing with 1-3" of rainfall runoff attempt into the ocean-marshes etc. My guess is that the HWA will convert to warnings on the coasts, for sct G50-60MPH, with the warning approach from my view, exacerbated by wet coastal ground, uproots and fully leaved wet leaves breaking branches Sunday evening-Monday. Could see few g45 MPH western NJ/se NYS and CT as well Sun night-Monday morning. Isolated inland flood warning in NJ (Ocean-Monmouth) Monday morning???? if some of the outlier model 4-6" materializes. Rainfall dependent. Modeling and WPC has consistently highlighted Ocean and Monmouth counties for biggest rainfall past few days. WPC trimmed qpf slightly in its early morning forecast. I'm expecting a little more than what they have, similar to early yesterday's 10z/10 forecast. Back later in the day. Will convert headline this afternoon to add OBS, but do add OBS rainfall from today when it occurs.

Another lemon in the MDR

This is why you always want to root for the northern stream to dive south of us. We get the warm air adcection precip, the transfer, and the upper level cold conveyor belt on the back side. It's the easiest and most reliable way to win.

You're right about those moutntains.....look very fake is a bad photo-shop kind of way.

Agreed. Super pixelated or something.

The one back left looks odd.

Looks like we're mostly stuck between the NS vort and coastal...with a general lack of phasing.

WB 6Z EURO

NWS forecast for most significant coastal flood impacts expected for Long Island:

Tig ole bitties.

Not sure if this photo is legit. Supposedly the Saco River near Attitash from this past week. Mountains look odd…

Next week doesn’t look too bad after Tuesday

All beef, no boobs.

Fog and 40.2/39.3 this morning after a 39.2 degree low. High was only 55.8 degrees yesterday with clouds and NE to SE breezes, not a record 'warm minimum' (goes to 1979's 53) but did just eek out the 56 from 1993 for second lowest.

Yeah. It crushed your area. Pretty solid here too. 1-2" east of 95 to the bay. Flat lands 2-3".

lol that would be like 2"+ here.

Here's a new one, recently emerging Antarctic methane seeps. Could be an important climate feedback. A priority for research funding I would think; but, we will have to rely on other nations to carry the ball. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-025-63404-3.pdf

New JMA has Greenland to Eastern Canada blocking linking up with Southeast ridge in the means. Variable PNA with a ridge off the California Coast and an Aleutian ridge. Active storm track through the Great Lakes and a quiet Southern stream. Several elements related to the dominant pattern in recent years. https://ds.data.jma.go.jp/wmc/products/model/map/7mE/map1/zpcmap.php

I'm hugging the NAM 3k. It looks pretty rainy east of 95 starting tonight.

Ablation for pvcs? Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Some station drought numbers... Mtd 0.19" , Last 30 days 0.74" , Ytd 25.70".

It surely will be, and we will all handle it like mature adults haha.

Big Braziers for the Euro…bra it up.

I’ve seen your set . Now them some boobies . Bra em up