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Fwiw TWC stated that Boston COULD get a heavy snow out of this.

Yeah, I am pleasantly surprised with them. It's very cliche on these boards or some people's schtick to say that forecasts are no good more than 5 days out, or stress how bad the 2 week forecasts are, etc.. in reality, the field has improved. CPC does a pretty good job in their 3-4 week and monthly forecasts from what I have seen. Also their long range stuff pretty much paints a picture 1 year out and in the updates every month there are pretty much minor changes. I will continue to keep track of, if their forecasts are better than the Futures and Commodities market.. in my experience so far they are. Gawx also predicted it, saying that the NG price won't react until well into the forecast period, a week or so before the cold hit - that's what happened. It dropped, a lot actually, early Jan then is up now 23% in the last 2 days. Good job CPC and Larry (+PNA January hit, too)!

Snow and temps.in mid teens would be crazy sick

Low here in Media 9.7f with our 5" of snow on the ground. I think we are looking at 2f to about 5f tonight see how things work out. I mean 2f and a high to 46f on Thursday, you know something is coming soon in regards to a big storm with these temperature gradients that are going to start showing up as we increase our warming in the southern latitudes and bring the warm and moisture north it is all about timing, but the ingredients are there for 1 or 2 blockbuster snowstorms between January 23rd and February 10th or so. Great information as usual Paul.

Hmmm…

Download and then upload to https://imgur.com/ Then direct link them here.

Problem is that some like Tony feel that as though they have a license to spew nonsense because the pattern is evolving in a cold and snowy manner.

I’d like for models to work their way a little north today but I’m just feeling greedy. I’ll take the 1 inch qpf in DC at 10:1+ ratios

At first glance I read that as " Big Stout" lol. Which reminds me I need to get some before the weekend. OK back on topic!

two things to never depend on in New York City: A two part system Trailing edge snow If you’re looking for that, you’re in a bad spot.

It’s hard to believe that it has been 10 years already. https://iso.500px.com/the-story-behind-the-most-viral-photo-from-blizzard2016/

Looks like DC is about to get a big one to help with these stats.

I mentioned in a different thread last week that my wife and I are on baby watch. We're still on baby watch, and now I have a bunch of logistical questions about snow I hadn't previously considered. For example, what if everything goes great for us and for snow lovers, the hospital discharges us, but our streets aren't plowed?

That and the post coital rapture of a Sunday Patriots win.

Yeah, if it was a front-loaded la nina winter, then the warm-up that started on 1/6 would have stuck.

Euro keeps nudging N with the system this weekend. Been nothing but penny dust in this pitiful CAD setup tundra BS lol. Euro keeps trending N could get us 2-4 out of this thing which is a big deal of late around here

I don't like that we have had feedback all over North America this winter which turned out to be false. That 6z GFS run almost had to have been. OTH, Juneau, Alaska, did get hammered. Mammoth got hammered, but really...kind of normal for them to have big storms like that. Russia got hammered. Strong amplifications and big storms kind of seem to be slightly more prevalent in the NH this winter??? Also, Italy's Alps got hammered after weeks of news stories saying they wouldn't have snow for the winter - huge snows at the end of December. I hope we get in on the action on some level...maybe not 2-3" of ice. For me, I think we need to see cold high pressure maintain its presence along w/ the STJ. Get those cooking, and see where it goes....

1N Smithtown 17.0"

Why are you so out of touch with reality?

If anyone in the south gets 2” of frozen/freezing QPF those words are justifiable

No, you haven't.

another push up north you'll get sleety

I must be missing something, because where in the hell have we been hearing comparisons to 2013-14/2014-15 every year? Considering those winters were literally the all-time most severe winters on record in places (2013-14 Detroit, 2014-15 Boston) of course people will reminisce. But I can't ever recall comparisons. What I mostly recall is talk of the new tropical climate in NYC since 2016. Nothing will probably ever hold a candle to 2013-14 here in SE MI. But make no mistake, 2025-26 has been a very solid winter here and we have some brutal arctic air coming. Blowing and drifting snow on a frequent basis, constant wind chills, and solid snowcover since Thanksgiving outside of one week each in December and January. I really dont care whats going on in the west or elsewhere, it has zero impact on how I view my winter. If you had a mild snowless winter but the west was buried in snow, would that make your winter better?