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2026-2027 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Tyler Penland replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Very windy here in Blowing Rock. If it weren't 60 degrees you'd think it was fall. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk -
LWX mentions the possibility of wind headlines over the higher elevations, but recent guidance suggests that wind advisories will be needed for most of the area Friday afternoon and Friday night.
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About 1.75 here. The storms keep rolling on. Going to make a run at 60 inches of precip for the year
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Fall 2026 Medium/Long Range Pattern Thread
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
1.95" here. Mostly fell as a nice moderate soaking rain. The ground absorbed most of it like a sponge. Stream flows are still low. -
Around 3.1 according to nearby gauges in Charlottesville, probably had some upslope enhancement, and there are still puddles on the side streets. Home gauge in NOVA shows a respectable 2.9 inches of rain as well. Do wonder if this storm bears as a forewarning of what we might expect this winter if we get more inland storm tracks due to a warmer baroclinic boundary pushing inland.
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After plenty of rain yesterday with between 1.5" to 3" falling we dry out and warm up through much of this week. Temperatures will run 5 to 10 degrees above normal through Wednesday but by next weekend we will drop to over 10 degrees below normal. In fact, by Saturday many ridge locations will struggle to escape the 40's with temperatures not far from freezing at night.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
After plenty of rain yesterday with between 1.5" to 3" falling we dry out and warm up through much of this week. Temperatures will run 5 to 10 degrees above normal through Wednesday but by next weekend we will drop to over 10 degrees below normal. In fact, by Saturday many ridge locations will struggle to escape the 40's with temperatures not far from freezing at night. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
If this happens, then I like 1983 as an analog for next spring summer (as Nino 1+2 really warmed in the spring of 1983), and 1987-88 as an analog for next fall and winter (robust 2nd year el nino that peaked early in the season). -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Still has an east based El Nino continuing in Nino 1+2 and 3 with strong WWBs by June. But notice how the CFS is much too cool currently in Nino 1+2. So we’ll probably have to rely more on the Euro which is closer to the current Nino 1+2. -
1.92" event total. Nice few days coming up to get the fall cleanup process going
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2.4" here in Calvert.
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Impressive how most of the weekends this year have had at least some measurable precipitation. Next significant storm appears to be set for Friday. But the way things have been going, we could have some lingering rain into early Saturday.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Keith Central PA replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
CFS forecasts a La Nina by next July -
They must measure rain like they do snow.
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Ya, unfortunately for you guys, this one again was SNE centric. This was a very good drink…moderate rain for hrs all day…and then heavy rain all evening long…no breaks either just constant and continuous rain. It would have gone along way to help your well situation. Heh, you guys will get a two footer/30”er, and we’ll get 1-3” come January…
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- Today
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Finished with 1.66 at my station
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I got at least 3+ qpf. My pond was really low and now its overflowing.
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Beats my .29" At least the growing season is pretty much ended.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Finished with 1.50”. I also heard a few cracks of thunder last night but was too zonked out to rollover and look at the time. -
October 2026 general discussion
Prismshine Productions replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
[emoji102] Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk
