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T-3” here? Lol

GFS cooled off pretty good and lost the double barrel thing. Looks decent

We'd probably get a solid storm if airmass was a little colder. Pretty nice track actually

medium.com LOOKING AT DEC 2025 — Why this Skeptic is excited and impressed if you like cold and snow across… https://l.facebook.com/l.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Ftinyurl.com%2F4zz29cpf%3Ffbclid%3DIwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTAAYnJpZBExRHFKR3d5eWZkWFh4N3NIdXNydGMGYXBwX2lkEDIyMjAzOTE3ODgyMDA4OTIAAR64Db6hrzhHBqw9PcwAS_B5-GW7RMqvcBp4PPSaf-AqtHxDk-982emevvrHCA_aem_djIOIOJplYY6yNXOtcGdTQ%26brid%3D9LBgYp824EHizRWAjxURkQ&h=AT0MjW5gCTgagc5MCYFz7VyTgHLbtmZ_50_x1jSbjkzF32pa08tj9uY6yfnase-cUcozv7fbsLlJA9t1kSTZE7vtVx_F0NL7ExaSTxhPNQZqFyLIjTa4nqc3xLFgrC6zIwZHz5NXMM3Hmg&__tn__=-UK-R&c[0]=AT2bvekVPFHdsvbm9EJjV7o_uzJq5lokP7RefAaHUds3cVz5tyeljQcBcJiNXyqBfySk6YHBR6kkNbLGX2hmjhglyTWo1_Hk2bFacZEd-0GnZLWQeWJGCtGDsP3EjoGtbgx31K54epNRBnaBNtwdXcej2QxAtWv5Y2FSAWR0wjKrzTwwhBC8BLsgaItGmTVSgkgs2L_JpYRxX_8LB7nqKeBVItuTjQ

Rates could be wild for a bit if things break right.. 6z GEFS mean bumped up to 7 for here

Initial point and click of 6-8”, looks reasonable at upper bound. If we can just figure out NAM being out to lunch a decent starter storm will be at hand.

Heads up for early risers in the metros - looks like maybe a chance of some frozen / mixed precip until 8 am or so…

That’s a rather nice run.

Don't agree with your comments. The article provided references. Other than fully depreciated gas and nuclear, Renewables are the lowest cost of electricity in the US. New gas plants will be much more expensive than fully depreciated; and, as the article states, costs and backlogs for new gas plants are increasing.

WB 6Z GFS...

Euro Weeklies 46 day 2m temp anomalies: 11/25 run: NYC and Chicago -3F 11/30 run: NYC -6F, Chicago -8F (would be coldest in many years for that period) Euro seasonal winter fcast issued Nov 1st: huge warm bust potential increasing, which could end up like last winter or even worse:

C'mon, that's a ridiculous forecast lol. The forward speed of this won't allow for accumulations that high imo.

What delightful thoughts these are to be pondering as I sip on some coffee early this morning. Yeah, let's get the MJO to shove that warm pool out to the dateline...

Graphical map of "expected" snowfall...

So did CTP. Last night they said 3-5 for my backyard on Tuesday, and now they added in overnight accumulations that take it to 4-10. Monday Night A chance of snow after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Tuesday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 37. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.

GFS came in a little colder too. Maybe we’ll get a GFS/Euro convergence today.

Peep the GFS trending colder with the onset precip. Euro might be on to something here

What a great event! A couple of night time shots from around where I live.

Although only barely, it’s now confirmed that we on 11/28/2025 just had the earliest major SSW (reversal) since 11/27/1968 with the zonal wind a whopping 30 m/s BN despite it only barely reversing: Kudos to the Euro Weeklies mean of 100 members predicting the weakest point of the SPV to the day a month before it occurred: This reminds me of the models being initially oblivious to the upcoming -NAO/-AO that appeared after the 2/16/2023 major SSW: EPS 11/25 12Z run: all +NAO EPS 11/30 0Z run: almost all -NAO including as early as Dec 4th, when 11/25 run had +NAO Similar comparisons for AO: EPS 11/25 12Z run: EPS 11/30 0Z run: like night and day

Euro gives nyc some snow but nothing serious

Light sleet and 35 degrees on morning dog walk

Tuesday Snow, mainly after 9am. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 32. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible. Tuesday Night Snow likely, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Northwest wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible

I got you .