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  2. PhiEaglesfan712
    Very intersting. Here are the strong ENSO years. El Nino 1957-58 1965-66 1972-73 1982-83 1986-87/1987-88 1991-92 1997-98 2009-10 2015-16 2023-24 La Nina 1955-56 1973-74 1975-76 1988-89 1998-99 1999-2000 2007-08 2010-11 Which of these years did the PNA not hold?
  3. H2O
    I said this yesterday before this thread was started. If the euro phase does happen then suppression is gone and it will be more adjusting north over time. That opens the door to warm noses punching in. The mix line already shifted north bigly. So now the places that looked solidly all snow for the duration will get pingers which always gets up to DC. North crew is greedy and will be happy while DC south sleet. Warm layers always go in more than modeled.
  4. Wurbus
    Sorry to hear Scottie!! Everything will work out!
  5. Duca892
    i feel like an addict needing my next hit of a model run
  6. WinterWolf
    Yup, I was thinking that too. He’ll either be buried in snow, or locked in with ice…so it’ll be bad either way.
  7. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Lots of dynamite peppered in the upcoming flow. Just need it to ignite over our heads…easy game.
  8. NorthHillsWx
    This has a lot of similarities to that storm. From a footprint perspective I really think this ends up similarly. Surface is much much colder this time and QPF might be higher. But overall that is an analog to what is developing this weekend
  9. Reb
    Sorry to hear that Scottie, keep your head up, everything happens for a reason. Here’s to better opportunities for you.
  10. clskinsfan
    Euro run this morning is amazing. One thing I love about this setup is even if the phase fails we are going to get the WAA part of this through our area. Yes it would be a smaller storm then. But it is nice knowing a full failure is pretty much off the table thos far out. It's gonna snow yall. And I feel bad for the people to the south getting that horrific ice storm. Multiple days without power due to infrastructure damage during an arctic outbreak is no fun.
  11. mob1
    The Euro at 06Z looks nice with the low moving north juuuuuust offshore. Would likely be a solid hit if extrapolated past hour 144.
  12. MJO812
    Its not back edge snows. Its a overrunning events to a coastal.
  13. GBOVolz
    What? Seriously? Bro I’m so sorry. Where do you live and what do you do, like to do? .
  14. Nash_LSU
    In the same vein, I have never once seen wunderground show me this much snow so close in. I don't normally put stock in wunderground precip total forecasts, but the wishcaster in me wants to this time.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    This wasn't strong.
  16. GBOVolz
    Not taking anything away from them, the CMC might end up being right and they pull a victory with a 5% chance. However at this point in time they are wish casting. What I do not understand with what they are doing is their audience wants snow in their backyard, I get it. But most of all there credibility is more important than predicting snow in their area that never happens using a mod that has a low output percentage and that mod is pretty much on an island by itself right now. .
  17. Scottie16
    Well I just got laid off. Hopefully this comes to fruition. Rather see some snow instead of being in pure depression. .
  18. North and West
    .
  19. H2O
    17
  20. WNC_Fort
    Don’t tease me with such talk. Similar happened in 2018. Where I am on the escarpment and others just RAKED it in during that storm
  21. poolz1
    Nice to get a storm at the beginning of the pattern. All ens looking very Nino-like at the end of their runs. 6z AIFS as an example. May be a heater on the way!
  22. Windspeed
    I want snow like everyone else here. But I am in total agreement with you on this. If the berserk modeling runs this morning verify, the severe cold that follows is going to be a huge concern. Major power outages with a slow recovery to repair lines. Hopefully, the models have hit their peak and are way overloaded. But unfortunately, anything around a foot of snow, followed by severe bitter cold will cripple infrastructure for the region. Often, we have a warmup after a major snow event. The timing of the upcoming event is not so great in this regard.
  23. olafminesaw
    The escarpment along the NC/VA border is going to get blasted by the WAA. Wouldn't be surprised if somewhere in that area got 2-3'
  24. LP08
    WAA snows are not the best ratio producers even into super cold air masses until the favored zones. Been here too long to rely on anything above 10 or 11-1. Best ratios as always are in a CCB or ULL pass. Stick with 10-1 and adjust higher if needed.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    NYC, LI....maybe south coast. Outside shot up to the pike.
  26. Paleocene
    FYI weenie alert for weenies - pivotal weather offers a one week free trial of their geographically zoomed, detailed maps (and access to 06z and 18z euro detail maps). I just signed up. Best week of the year to do that lol, but it does require a credit card. Something I'll be watching over the next 48-72 hours... 850mb and 700mb temperature and wind direction, if and when the low transfers. This image is from the 06z euro, the low is popping off the NC coast. Can the cold press win? If we're gonna get the juice, we may flirt with the heat.
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