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Is there a rhyme or reason that the “last minute north bump” is seemingly a thing? Seems to happen a lot. Models overdoing the high pressure to the north? .

One thing I have noticed is the Hi Res models have very little precip here period. .2 or less mostly

Gfs bump little north and precip is heavier

For any psychopaths awake at 2-5am, don’t freak out by the “donut hole” look on LWX radar. That will be due to dry air subliming our snow as @SnowenOutThere posted about. It does not mean models are over predicting precipitation, etc.

Amazing sunset. Feels like the Decembers of old.

If I hadn't seen any models and I was just basing it off of feel, cloud cover and the overall vibe, you’d think we’re about to get buried in all honesty. It feels and looks like a snowfall is coming.

37/18 here. Think I might be just far enough north and protected to avoid the warm nose we shall see. Will depend on banding/amount of qpf in the northern mountains also.

The RGEM has a little snow early Saturday. It's not much and it will probably shift east or be flurries if it's even real, but it's something...

Decent snow shower here coated the cars.

1.6" at DCA would be the snowiest December event for the airport in 16 years. Guidance says to take the under but certainly not off the table.

45.3 and it feels cold. .

On that point, the last 5 years have been so bad that we might actually do well relative to that span over the next 5, despite the overall decline over the long term. We shall see

I’m incautiously confident that DC will get 1-3”, and somewhere within a 25 mile radius of DC will get 4”.

Here we go, good luck everyone. JKL radar appears to be down on radarscope. 33 degrees & 28 Dew point

we've had a handful of whiteout squalls this afternoon. got on 87 earlier and about 10 mins in couldnt see 15 feet in front of me

Being a late-nighter anyway, I'm sure I'll be checking, but if this were a poker hand, I'd be wise to fold.

33/3 in Wolf. That's some pretty dry air . Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

40 here in Erwin. Fully expect the warm nose to keep Tri mostly rain, but willing to accept being wrong. Think SW VA and parts of eastern KY do well with this little system.

Nice map! Virginia living right: UVA in ACC championship and chance for playoffs, VT has shiny new coach, and SNOW

I've got the snowboard ready. I'm expecting 2 to 3 inches here along the NC/VA border in Rockingham County.

We are playing Geo guesser tonight if you want to play

Riding through some heavy squall snow about 20 miles east of Syracuse. West of Rochester to Syracuse was dicey.

Radar looks nice in Tennessee