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No thanks Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 400 AM EST Wed Feb 4 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Winds continue to trend stronger for the weekend with solid Wind Advisory (greater than 45 mph) conditions becoming increasingly likely everywhere late Friday night through Saturday with damaging winds (58 mph or stronger) also possible. && .KEY MESSAGES... - A potent winter storm with multiple hazards is likely to impact the region Friday into the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1...A potent winter storm with multiple hazards is likely to impact the region Friday into the weekend. A potent upper trough and Arctic cold front are set to track across the region Friday into the weekend. A lead shortwave-trough ahead of the Arctic front will bring the chance of snow showers areawide during the day Friday with moderate to heavy snow across the mountains as upper trough digs and lift increases. Snow squalls are possible everywhere Friday night with blizzard-like conditions possible across the mountains for a short period of time Friday night. There will also be an abrupt onset of very windy conditions immediately behind the passage of the Arctic front late Friday night. Wind Advisory conditions are becoming increasingly likely late Friday night through Saturday with winds potentially reaching High Wind Warning criteria for a large portion of the forecast area given the magnitue of the 925 and 850 mb winds and favorable mixing during daylight hours. This when combined with rapidly falling temperatures will result in Cold Weather Advisories everywhere even during the warmest part of the day Saturday. Extreme Cold Warnings are also possible across the mountains.

yeah I thought the same. My wife even agreed. 20's are the new 40's....lol

IMO, this model has no credibility anymore, because of occasional unpredictable occurrence of highly inflated totals. It gave me 12" for 3.5" on December 8 a few days ahead of event. Jan. 20, it gave me 16.5" for 6" on Jan. 25.

That 14-16th threat has teleconnection support too... As me and Steve have been saying, many of our big ones historically come on the rebound of long duration -AO/-NAO/+PNA patterns but it still requires the right timing. I'm liking the long range threat though, definitely something to start tracking.

Roger that

Depth down to 12. Time to refresh

11/11 0.1 11/30 0.1 12/02 0.2 (sleet) 12/05 3.8 12/06 1.5 12/08 0.5 12/09 5.1 01/17 0.1 01/25 4.5 (mix of snow and sleet) 01/26 2.8 (95-97% sleet) 02/04 0.3 Total 19.0

Agreed.

A VERY light snow was falling at 7 am this morning with quite foggy conditions. I had a massive 0.3" on the board and open areas (driveway/sidewalks), but 0.5" on the old snow? Anyway, stuck with the board. Trees are pretty with the snow hanging on them. It was 31.5/29.6 at 7 am, now 31.8/30.0 at 8:30 am with just some fog.

Who was it yesterday you posted that said it’s gonna be warm…was it them?

Put it in the reservoirs and we’ll drink it and grow crops. Novel idea, eh ol’ chap?

For sure.

Flurries flying around . Nice to see snow again

Sometimes it seems like he doesn't think at all.

I can do 11 days standing on my head.

Our school system ran a regular day today. I’ve spent about five hours Monday and Tuesday driving all the country roads in my district. Monday was brutal but yesterday most of them have been scraped. Didn’t have many issues this morning. But could’ve been worse. .

I'm getting there....proceeding with caution.

Sorry your name was involved lol

Sounds like this upcoming clipper means business on Friday. Euro has highs on Saturday in the single digit's, GFS mid teens.

Agree. Ensembles all agree that there is potential. We'll see.

I don’t think I’ll ever have that sense of feeling like I had with that storm ever again. The Blizzard a few years ago had tinges of that, but to this day, nothing will compare to the feeling I felt there in that storm.

A lot of black ice out.

Records: Highs: EWR: 69 (1991) NYC: 68 (1991) LGA: 68 (1991) JFK: 68 (1991) Lows: EWR: 5 (2023) NYC: 0 (1918) LGA: 5 (2023) JFK: 4 (2023) Historical: 1842: A dreadful tornado passed over Mayfield, Kirkland, and other Cuyahoga and Lake Counties in Ohio. According to the Cleveland Herald, no less than 30 houses, barns, and buildings were entirely demolished or very much shattered. A "report from Kirtland says that one man and one child are dead." 1886: Washington, DC from the 2nd to the 4th: Heavy snow of 12.4 inches fell over the DC. area. (NWS - Sterling Office - Table of the "Biggest Snowstorms on Record") 1893: Calgary, Alberta Canada's coldest day saw the temperature drop to -49°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1924: In Milwaukee, Wisconsin, 20.3 inches of snow fell in 24 hours. This ranks as the most snowfall in 24 hours since 1884. This storm caused over $1 million in damage. Streetcar and train service crippled. Snowdrifts of 8 to 10 feet high were common, along with much ice on trees and wires. Schools were closed, and several plate glass windows were broken. 1961 - The third great snowstorm of the winter season struck the northeastern U.S. Cortland NY received 40 inches of snow. (David Ludlum) 1964: A great blizzard was in progress across the Texas Panhandle. This blizzard, which began on the 2nd and ended on the 5th, dumped 26 inches of snow at Borger, 23.8 inches at Miami, and 23.5 inches at Claude. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1984: On this day through the 5th, a fast moving blizzard was racing across northeast, east central South Dakota and most of Iowa with bouts of heavy snow and high winds. Snow amounts were generally less than two inches with the storm. However, as the cold front tore across the area temperatures plunged by as much as 30 degrees in three hours and winds gusted to 70 mph. Another 2 to 3 inches fell before the event was over. Gusty winds struck quickly, plummeting visibilities to near zero in blowing snow and making travel very difficult in a matter of minutes with dangerous wind chills. Hundreds of travelers became stranded in the white-out conditions. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1987 - Gales lashed the northern Pacific coast and the coast of northern New England. A storm in the central U.S. produced five inches of snow at Rapid City SD. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - A winter storm produced heavy snow from the Upper Ohio Valley to New England, with up to 12 inches reported in Vermont and New Hampshire. Strong northerly winds in the Upper Midwest produced wind chill readings as cold as 60 degrees below zero. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Two dozen cities in the south central and northwestern U.S. reported new record low temperatures for the date. The low of 14 below zero at Boise ID was a February record. A winter storm continued in the southwestern U.S. Alta UT reported 49 inches of snow in four days, Wolf Creek CO reported 66 inches in six days, including 28 inches in 24 hours, and up to 84 inches buried the ski resorts of northern New Mexico in three days. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - A winter storm produced heavy snow in the northeastern U.S. Snowfall totals in Maine ranged up to 13 inches at Gorham, with 11 inches reported at Portland. Totals in New Hampshire ranged up to 14 inches at Franconia, with 13 inches reported at Portsmouth. A mixture of snow, sleet and freezing rain caused numerous traffic accidents in eastern New York State resulting in three deaths and fourteen injuries. Subzero cold also gripped parts of the northeastern U.S. Caribou ME and Houlton ME reported morning lows of 15 degrees below zero. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1995: A massive nor'easter pounded areas from the southern Mid-Atlantic to northern New England. It would be the only significant storm in the 94-95 winter season. Over 20 inches of snow buried parts of upstate New York. Wind chills dropped as cold as 40 degrees below zero. Behind the storm, arctic air crossing the relatively warm waters of the Great Lakes produced intense lake effect squalls for nearly two weeks from the 4th through the 14th. Snowfall totals for the storm ranged from near two to seven feet. During the storm east of Lake Ontario, snow was falling at the incredible rate of five inches an hour! The heavy snow combined with strong winds produced whiteouts and hazardous driving. Actual storm totals downwind of Lake Erie included: Erie County: West Seneca 39 inches, Orchard Park 36 inches, Cheektowaga 36 inches, Colden 32 inches, and Buffalo Airport 31 inches; Genesee County: Corfu 38 inches; Chautauqua County: Sinclairville 27 inches and Jamestown 15 inches. Downwind of Lake Ontario, storm totals included: Oswego County: Palermo 85 inches, Fulton 60 inches, and Oswego 46 inches; Lewis County: Montague 66 inches, Highmarket 48 inches, and Lowville 36 inches; Cayuga County: Fairhaven 36 inches, Wayne County: Wolcott 22 inches; and Jefferson County: Adams 47 inches. 2004 - 7.15 inches of rain deluges Pinson, AL, setting an all-time record rainfall over 24 hours for the town. The Weather Doctor 2007 - Kahului reports a minimum temperature of 54°F, a daily low temperature record for the date. The Weather Doctor 2011 - A winter storm settled four to six inches of snow over northern Texas, including Dallas, just days before the Super Bowl between the Pittsburg Steelers and the Green Bay Packers.

This was the worst thread in all the years I've been here lol. Someone delete this pos please lol