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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yawn. That is all. -
2025-2026 ENSO
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The big difference is in 1+2. Last year was never going to behave like a la nina with that east-based el nino. -
Antilles notwithstanding, this looks like fish food to me.
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I should probably know better, but I'm hopeful that a number of us will see a couple of tenths Thursday. It won't be a widespread soaker, and there will be some big losers, but the pre-frontal trough should initiate convection with some degree of organization Thursday afternoon.
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My air conditioner hasn't ran for 9 straight days to close August and begin September. That's unheard of. I just leave the windows open at night and the house has dropped down into the mid-60s. The highest it's gotten inside in that time frame is 73. Looks like I will be able to keep the a/c off the rest of the week as well, as long as we can keep getting into the 50s at night.
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Eastern Tropical Atlantic Wave - 30/70
cptcatz replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
Sundog replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
When I mean dry sucks I don't mean I want 75 degree dewpoints and thunderstorms. I want cool, all day light to moderate rain events mixed in. If it's too dry it ruins the fall color. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
Irishmick9 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Pretty smoky here in Vernon all of a sudden. Must be the fire in W Milford on Clinton Road that is new. Hope we don’t have a repeat of last fall. . -
Irishmick9 started following September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
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Eastern Tropical Atlantic Wave - 30/70
cptcatz replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
18z Euro: significantly weaker, slower, and further south than 12z. Maybe a trend? -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
anthonymm replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Agreed, fall foliage sucked last year cause of the drought. If we don't get a drought buster soon it's gonna get bad -
Can't believe drought monitor only shows D0: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/ Seems a few days behind though.
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I think it is both, but cooler nights with warm days (sorta like doing maple syrup in spring!) is supposed to make better color. I've had lows in the 40's for 8 mornings in a row now, that breaks the 7 nights in 40's for 8/18-8/24 of 1981. A couple times I've had 4 days in a row in August into early Sept in 2008, 1998 and 1983.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
If we are doing opinions, I think its great. The drier summers and the somewhat normal sept temps last year (and so far this year) are a nice change from Florida humidity and Septembers of +5 -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
Roger Smith replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Don, as you were saying a few days ago, records are tumbling in the western interior regions and I think it's close to certain that in Canada we would break the monthly record of 38+ C you mentioned (from Ontario in 1881) ... where I live it feels very close to 40 C today, waiting to see what records were broken when they do the weather segment on our local news (they are pretty diligent at reporting records). I will post any that I see although I know you have sources for them. It was hot like this at the opening of Sept 2016 also, and eventually I think that spread east. -
This pattern reminds me of living in San Diego. Blessed the weather has been so perfect and comfortable, but damn it I’m getting bored with the lack of variety too lol
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It’s crazy how the dry air really allows temps to take off during the day and of course, drop off just as fast in the evening when the sun sets. Reminds me of the first half of April.
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pretty good storm for ACK, and that's about it. The overall pattern isn't terrible and hopefully something develops, and is more trackable than the Erin crap
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Without a doubt! I was reading a couple postings recently that mentioned how the females actually leave first, then the males and finally the juveniles. But I’m still seeing a good number of all types so maybe they’ve yet to make the journey south. Either way, I’m leaving mine up until the last stragglers head on out, especially if this month is mostly mild.
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
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18z GFS tried to be fun
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Thursday night rain better come true. If not I might got 6 weeks with .1” total.
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100 degrees in British Columbia
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That's all we got. Steintember