All Activity

Yeah new seed happy today. Good soaking. Great weather for growing heading into Growtober.

Had 0.37" in gauge at 7 am CoCoRaHS report this am. Planted grass is really coming along. The 60.0 low was warm, but for 2nd morning in a row last year's number (62.9) beats it. Sun is trying to break thru the fog and clouds and it has warmed to a miserably muggy 71.8/68.6 at 10:30 am.

Not feeling too optimistic about the severe threat today. There are hardly any breaks in the clouds on visible satellite. Some storms still seem likely but I’d be surprised if we saw a lot of wind/tornado reports.

I do believe we can have very little confidence in models until Saturday when 94L really starts to develop. This reminds me in some ways of Joaquin, which missed the trough leading to hundreds of miles of track error 4-5 days out. Totally different set up, but just as if not more complex this time

I'm not so sure its the models that are bad, but rather the (lack of) initialization data that is being fed into them: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/doge-cuts-nws-balloon-sites-leave-us-without-crucial-weather-data-some-meteorologists-say/

Better spin looks north of the island to me. Might take a while for a center to settle and write could see some jumps and relocations

And we have sun. Who woulda thunk

About 0.55" so far for the last 2.5 days.

59.0° +RA

Way south of Cuba in the Caribbean. Sandy hit Jamaica as a hurricane

Have to hope for some convection later with the pre-frontal trough

The models steining this area today were wrong wrong wrong. 1.75" total, 0.60"+ and counting today

I should be up to a half inch since Tuesday night with the latest light rain, which almost puts me in the jackpot this time. With all of the dreariness and gross humidity the past two days, people will perceive that we've gotten much more rain than we actually have.

Of course the southern extent of the rain in Virginia fizzled out, the only part that had a chance of getting the NYC area.

0.24

0.96 on the day. See what else we can tack on

How much has Central park received so far since yesterday?

Once we start to get something a bit more organized we should get a better idea. The "center" has been jumping like crazy over the last day, particularly since last evening. Once concern I have though is potential for RI if this 1) gets its act together quickly and 2) If it tracks within the zone of higher OHC Doesn't mean anything for us but I would be watching extremely closely anywhere from the northeast Florida coast up to coastal NC.

I’d sacrifice 20 degrees for prolonged sunlight at this point.

Discob: swamp

.28" here so far. Fog and drizzle currently. Visibility 1/4 to 1/2 mile here on top of the hill.

.22" so far.

It’s still early but that is a ominous potential track

Back to the jungle weather. Windows closed and AC on. July sucked, August was cool, September is sucking, October is supposed to cool down? FF does that mean November sucks and then a December to remember? January thaw followed by an epic February?