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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Patrick-02540 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
At least we don't live in the 1930s. Decadal Average Annual Snowfall for Hartford, CT 1920–1929: ~31.0 inches 1930–1939: ~14.8 inches 1940–1949: ~35.4 inches 1950–1959: ~40.9 inches 1960–1969: ~60.5 inches 1970–1979: ~46.2 inches 1980–1989: ~39.2 inches 1990–1999: ~39.5 inches 2000–2009: ~45.2 inches 2010–2019: ~51.8 inches 2020–2024: ~27.3 inches -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
I was still about 10" below average that year....that is the season that saw a slew of SOP deals pork me, but def. the "best" since 2018. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I saw a Roundy tweet and was like "this can go one of two ways"....either you shared, or snowman....I saw you and was like, "Thank God". Yea, mid January is a time of great flux that I am focused on....expect big +PNA/TNH to lead into the big Feb SSW. -
Somebody talk to me about January and February... What are we seeing? Shorts or snow boots?
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Long range looks fine. Much better than yesterday -
you'd think they'd update it though upton has the same thing here even as of 11am.
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2020-21 was actually the one good year, although winter ended way too early after mid-Feb. But aside from that, every other year after 2017-18 ranged from 41-54”. I wouldn’t complain too much if this winter ends up in that range, but man I want a MECS every year.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Absolutely, let's hope we get something to focus on other than visions of snowless winters dancing in our heads. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
powderfreak replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
MVL here is up to 37F and warmest of the month. -10.1 in December through this point and today might threaten to be the first day to average above normal. -
Raw day here with the cloud cover
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I’ve seen Mets saying it has a cold bias and its ensembles as well. I wish we had someone on here with access to Google deep mind, because it’s been very accurate since summer.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Kitz Craver replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
I get the long range isn’t looking so hot, but let’s try and focus on the Christmas period, no? -
I don't think I've seen much rain in Montana in winter
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
SouthCoastMA replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
44° I hear the dripping down the gutters. It looked nice for a few days at least - about 3" left -
keeping the "pack" strong for 1 more day....It is odd that it hasn't updated yet, still states mostly sunny...at least throw a clouds to sun for those who just rip and read forecasts, that is why I prefer the NBC10 over the NWS for everyday forecasts.
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Thought we'd get more sun today. Nothing but gloom after 9:30 this morning.
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Glad you asked. The period between December 26-January 1 is historically one of the least snowy periods for our area from December to March. I will back up with maps later (busy day at work)
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
HoarfrostHubb replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
ORH has had 1 AN day this month -8.3F MTD. Those numbers will get closer to normal over the next few days -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Yup...strong "suck" signal in terms of snowfall. We have two weeks to do something about it before I become convinced of an 8th consecutive dud. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
WxWatcher007 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
It's 35.0 here at WXW2. This is the first time in December that SLK has been above freezing. Absolutely nuts. -
Is NG finally bottoming? It’s currently up over 3%. If this were to hold, this would be the best day since Dec 5th, the day it peaked. There’s been only one other up day since then, Dec 9th, when it closed up 1/2% and then was followed by more big down days as the maps kept insisting on warmth dominating the US. Why do I think it’s up today? The AO and especially the NAO forecasts have gotten significantly more negative than yesterday’s more neutral forecasts as per my post three above this. A strong -NAO lead to much colder 0Z and 6Z GFS after Christmas fwiw. This kind of thing with the -NAO/-AO happened early this month.
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I was looking at past ORH winters where the total to date was single digits by New Years. It looks like seasonal totals of 35-50” were common. I also grouped the average snowfall of every 5-7 year stretch since 1980 and found that the snow drought eras averaged around 50-55”. That includes the last 7 seasons, as well as the 80s. Of course, I’m at a lower elevation than ORH so I can expect probably 5-10” less than those numbers. Needless to say, knowing where I come from, I’ll be thrilled to hit climo.
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Need some local data on new year eve snowfall. I don't ever recall any round here. I say bank on it
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The models yesterday didn't really have this thin layer of moisture at 850.
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yeah, their automated forecasts are becoming less reliable....Even my 12 year old mentioned, wasn't it supposed to be sunny today?
