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Going over seasonal forecasting stuff in my and lecture video was about all the different tools and such, professor showed an example of the CANSIPS for next winter and right away that look reminded me of 1957-1958...maybe even a bit of 1968-1969 . It will be interesting to see where we head, not just in terms of ENSO but PDO/AMO as well...we may very well be in the beginning of a long-term shift in both basins

WB latest EURO weeklies forecast cool and wet for mid April to mid May.

We’ve been running +15-25 so frequently I think people forget our normal high is still in the 60s here and April is not a summer month! Just a wild anomalous pattern

Feels like I’ve moved to Seattle. Will we ever see the sun again?

1963-1964 and 1968-1969 were truly high-end winters around here.....1986-1987 was good, and 2015-2016 and 1972-1973 were bad. Goes along with my early hedge that anything sub-super El Nino will be good. I just can not fathom another extremely -PDO +ENSO like 1972-1973 and 2023-2024. I would be absolutely stunned if we see another one that extreme at this point. 2015-2016 is a valid concern, but I would be modestly surprised if this one gets that strong. Again, the largest risk is a 1991-1992/1994-1995/2006-2007 type of season that combined a modest -PDO with an extremely hostile polar domain. 1991-1992 was the most hostile, as the latter two at least offered a late window of opportunity.

Have you considered the possibility that this next El Nino ends up BEING accompanied by a modest +PDO?

been a great spring, get your head checked mate

Ass

Warm spots in NJ could make another run on 80° today if they can clear out enough this afternoon following the 80° on Wednesday and the cool down yesterday.

With a little taste of the dews as well.

We could use some sunny skies, 43 degrees this morning.

Physical pain is a part of it for me. With a (removed) thyroid, and not being able to regulate it with levothyroxine for some reason, the cold hits hard for me. One of the effects of my condition is cold intolerance. Some of the others is depression/anxiety, muscle aches, and extreme fatigue. So my general distain for winter, plus the physical issues, and mental depression makes for a rough time for me. And before anyone says "move", if I could, I would, but as many of you know, my wife won't leave here for ANY reason, so I'm stuck unless I leave her.

Yes.

Low of 42 with .02” of rain. Have neighborhood yard sale today and tomorrow. Time to get to work and make some coin. Happy Friday.

Ahhhhh, spring in New England.

That’s an impressive early April spike for Norfolk. Hitting record highs this early in the month really highlights how variable spring temperatures can be. It will be interesting to see if this trend continues or if a cooler pattern returns, especially since April weather can swing quickly between warm and mild conditions.

ground "whitened" overnight but looks to be sleet mostly but we also had thunder in the middle of the night.

6 straight months of ass weather. Got to love Chicago

Something weird is going on. I haven't seen this many temperature swings like this year. 20 degrees is normal, but there have been many 30, 40, and even one 50-degree swing so far. That isn't normal. I really hope this doesn't continue into the summer. I don't want it to be 100 degrees one day, and then 60 the next, in June or July. If I wanted this type of weather, I would move to Nebraska.

This winters below normal temperatures and extended snowpack have some expecting and wanting too much too soon, including myself. I'm a fan of winter storms and deep snowpacks that can be enjoyd. Unfortunately this winter featured a useless, 10" pile of encrusted bird and vermin feces . Who the hell wants to look at frozen s*** stains all winter? I'm also not very familiar with being in physical pain, so that might have played a big role, but In my opinion, this March sucked big time ****** ***'s regardless of temperatures. Stepping out the door for work some days was like transitioning from a hot shower into a f****** ice bath. Other than the active ,but in some ways disappointing storm pattern this March can go f*** itself.

Also, it is April.

I remember we got real wet at the end of Winter 22-23. It was foreshadowing the coming Nino. And 23-24 was wet like a Super Nino DJFM, but was really dry in November.

.05 in Marysville Total bust with rain this week here.

I never thought I'd see the day where YOU of all people cheer on warmth.