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You know this time I think you might be right. Things keep moving a further north. I think the southern half of the northern counties might get into the advisory level. But I just don't think the northern half of all the northern counties will make it. I guess we'll find out after 4:00 or late tonight

55 here. The warmest day since November 1. .

Beautiful 60 degrees out

And to my east! Lol. I am the farthest point east in Norfolk County.

That's the best for stickage. Even at temps above 25 degrees mid afternoon I've noticed melting on roads and sidewalks unless the rates are good.

Yeah I have seen this for snow squalls situations where they are only expecting 2-4 inches

If I get an inch or two December gets a solid B or B plus grade from me. So many Decembers are just warm and everyone is waiting for mid January. Will get an A from me if it snows again before NY. i don't get upset if I get 2 inches and someone else gets 6 inches. What gets me down is when I get an inch of rain or cold cirrus and 50 miles away someone is getting pounded.

Nope. New Haven lol

47 and sun IMBY. Euro's gonna be right for me.

Just up the road from you in Germantown on Ridge Road heading to Clarksburg/Damascus we're a little closer to the darker blues. Hoping for some higher end IMBY.

Great video. Thanks for posting. Didn’t realize you’re from Philly or South Jersey. It has to be true with that accent.

The experimental new nam is going to cause headaches and nightmares with a 12z and 15z run time It's mostly been indicating 4-6" area wide Hrrr agrees

The 4 northern counties in CT and N RI are next

Damn HRRR getting wild for Jersey would extrapolate to like 6-12” with ratios and hours left

Flakes have started here in Bethel.

looks like 40-41 is where we're at here.

Scott got an advisory 1 mile to his south for 2-4” hope it works out for you and your son.

Box giving us 50/50 shot at 4” here

I think modeling has been suffering from really bad feedback(infinite loops). The other thing is that our cold source this season is insanely cold. We have seen years where 500 maps don't match the surface, and this might be one of them again.

WB 17Z HRRR at HR 18

AI Euro is pretty potent for many south of the pike. Probably should Be rooting for that model to be right lol

The CPC MJO plots, and this is not meant to be contentious, are in phase 8(has never left). They are parked there. Something is gonna have to give...either warm modeling or incorrect/correct MJO plots. Please answer --> Someone remind me...the green is the MJO convection, right? If so, mid Jan could be freaking cold.

NWS going advisories for all of southern ct , 2-4” locally 5”.. 4-6 locally 7” Long Island .. looks just like our map lol

Same.

The ensembles are really trying to get a -NAO established around Christmas. We just need some signs of life from the Pacific.