All Activity

2000 was close!

GEFS looked good…obviously

Been busy and I come back to this output. Good God almighty. Danville, VA would be pounded into the F’in stones with that. GFS will come north and scale back in magnitude, but this is truly turning into what could be a special storm for so many. EC and GEM leading the charge along with the AIFS and Ensemble output. The hi-res are absolutely going to have some bonkers runs later this week and weekend. I like what I am seeing.

The meltdowns to beat all meltdowns incoming (Beavis will have nothing on me) if this happens...

That's probably the closest the red has been to MD so far!

fro those who follow Bernie Rayno, he has posted another video on X within the last hour... naturally he believes the GFS is "off its rocker"...

Idk what our ceiling with this honestly but there is clear trend atleast today of precip coming further north.

Holy crap!!

How’s it look compared to operational GFS?

I take that back about the GEFS, it's going to probably approach a 10 inch snow depth down to the Georgia line. Not sure if it's blending sleet in or not though.

GEFS another tick north, 0.6" QPF up to southern Berks and Lehigh. 0.7" into Philly.

And one part of our brains knows that. But the other part of our subconscious Ji represents yelled and screamed anyway

It’s like the purple teletubby waving to him offshore.

Ya'll, I'm having too much fun checking all the beautiful layers as this unfolds mby will be a frozen tundra of the best sledding kind according to the gfs I highly recommend 10/10

Whatever verifies, I have never seen back to back model runs as epic for NC as the GFS runs today. 3 day winter storm. Feb 14 was close but this is nuts.

Dont forget to stock up on beer.

Went to visit the Southeast forum. First post I saw said “Stop. Final warning.” So they seem to be handling things well…

We should get a better idea on the strength and track by tomorrow night once the data gets sampled onshore. Could go either way.

Agree. And every little bit of weakening will bring the jack north a little bit.

The battle between that strong Arctic high and Baja low will be fascinating to watch

Long time reader, infrequent poster. We're 3-4 miles due east of PTI. If, and I know this is a big "if". we were to get 20"+ of snow/sleet is there a risk of your roof collapsing? We've had 12" in the triad before(Dec 2017?) and a 12-15 year old roof held up fine. But what totals would become a risk for snow collapsing the roof? FWIW - we had our roof replaced this past summer.

Hope nobody plans on using FedEx for several days. Memphis gonna get shellacked.

The GEFS is going to mirror the qpf of the op, but is a little warmer and likely has more mixing issues on some of the members.