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Yeah fluff bombs like Jan 7th 2022 and Feb 7th 2021 with virtually no wind, short 6-10hr duration are the best for getting nice uniform snowfall totals. Events like these are a nightmare. And even worse 3 day events like Mar 2001.

Exactly....agree. DT was breaking my balls on Facebook......dude always makes excuses when he busts..."The data changed"....love that one. Like...WTF is a forecast for if you can anticipate late trends and know when the data is BS?? He always used that excuse.

It’s an A in my book. Prolonged cold since even December, snow on the ground consistently for at least a month plus, two 12+ inches snowstorms. For coastal CT that’s about all you could ask for. Having said that I’m over the cold. If it’s gonna be cold then at least snow. Otherwise let’s just torch lol

22 for Gloucester Been some kind of stretch.

We’re not plowed, but I have power. Also have a big lifted truck for such occasions where I can drive around with an open beer can and get around wherever I want.[emoji23] .

These events are typically garbage east of the spine of ORH hills. Prob C-1” here…maybe 2” if lucky.

I'm glad we don't have to talk about that anymore lol

Yeah the day before I thought it was fine. Maybe in the finals hours leading into the event I would’ve gone a little more conservative on the northern parts, but overall it was a tough forecast. You can’t kick yourself too much when it trends like 75-100 miles SE in the final 6-10 hours.

I wouldn’t call your forecast shitty. It was just a bit north of where the goods really happened. Don’t beat yourself up.

In case you didn’t see from the other thread

Fatigue and time constraints absolutely play a role. It's why I'm not particularly active anymore blogging unless there is a big event. I have to do forecasts for all over the country and when its crazy I am so exhausted I don't have the time or energy to put the focus and detail I would like into the maps/blogs I post...it kind of sucks. This is why I am going to transition to doing videos instead. I suck with technology but I'm slowly getting there. I went to bed around 7:30 Sunday night and woke up just before 3:00. One look outside and I knew I was totally screwed but I'll say, it did bring me joy and some sense of peace reading the accounts from others who got into the goods.

True...I couldn't pull it off this storm I had to average out the drifts.

Had a real estate agent in one of the local Facebook groups who has clients wanting to buy into the town, posted saying that this is a great time to move somewhere warm and if you're looking to sell to reach out. Thought it was clever marketing

Prob would’ve been closer to 43-45” or so in clearing because once you are getting 15”+ totals in a 6 hour period like they were, the compaction is already getting baked in to an extent. Also, the snow there wasn’t particularly fluffy for a chunk of the storm. I feel like the biggest discrepancies happen in less windy storms with excellent snow growth and middle type totals. Like that 10-20” range over 18 hours. Or…say you get a very long duration event like ‘78 or Feb ‘69…then you can start adding up those small differences every 6 hours.

Great right when the need to make school decisions lol .

Probably the best consensus at this range all season for at least a measurable event+.

I dont even know how you clear and measure every 6 with winds like that, doesnt it just fill back in from the surrounding snow anyway?

All the other models are flatter than euro.

I deal with fatigue and time constraints, too...I make excuses to talk my self out of needed to redo anything, which I normally don't do, anyway...I'm not a pro, so I don't other to correct Final products...but the writing was on the wall...notice I went to sleep at 330. NEVER would have happened had I been excited about what I Saw. If you live in my area and see my sleep during an event, you're fucked.

Exactly All of the winter outlooks for this winter had us getting a below normal winter. Even people were saying how the snowy winters from the past might be history.

Yea, I have no issue with it....RAD and pics align. in fact, if I were there, I would have measured 50" because I would not have slept and cleared every 6 hours.

Euro misses us just to the south with a light snow on Monday, but then gives us a few inches Tuesday before changing over to a mix and rain. Hopefully GFS is correct with the big snowstorm idea for Monday, but obviously a long way to go before the models figure out what's gonna happen. I do think it's likely we'll see at least some snow early next week. Hopefully we'll break our March snow drought. I'd like to see one more snowstorm, but I am looking forward to some much warmer temps as we head into mid March.

I am working on a post mortem now and will illustrate all of this. See, this is me now, as opposed to 10 years ago....now I'm able to bare the busted forecast trauma to salvage growth.

I’m not sure how you could discredit the 40”+ totals near Fall River. It’s an impossible task anyway and additionally, they were probably in the best stuff longer than TF Green airport was.

Absolutely. As I stated above, I'm a bit frustrated because the signs and signals where there and present, but not sure why I avoided them. Ultimately, I think I did too much to talk myself out of why I didn't think it would happen instead of taking as a flag. I might have let some of the latest QPF jumps (Friday) get to me and I don't know why because QPF totals are actually the very last thing I really look it. When I was looking at hose fronto maps from FSU and going nuts...I kept telling myself its weird how quick it is with the front and how it evolved it to depict the two bands but didn't want to believe it I guess.