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Wednesday is another outflow boundary special. May might feel late for the Deep South but early May is still prime time climo down there. LLJ is gonna be veered off quite a bit; but, strong upper-level winds will create robust speed shear and decent directional shear right on the outflow boundary. Said boundary will be key. Away from that locally higher low-level shear the storm relative shear won't quite support tornadoes. I think the narrow 10% is the right call for Wed. Otherwise it's straight wind and perhaps hail from hotter cells. Storm mode looks like a mix of segments and blobs, with a few sups. Valid Wed. May 6
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Forget the 1-8 formatting, we have a better chance if the NHL expands the playoffs, preferably to 24 teams (like in 2020), and seed 1-12.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
beware of using the MEI. During Super Nino events, it tends to be a weenie index and is biased towards central pacific events. RONI vs. ONI are the bread and butter for this IMO. -
Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
nrgjeff replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Well it's Facebook. Some of that looks like La Nina like the central Rockies and OV. Though the immediate West Coast and much of the Great Lakes checks out. Who knows the model or methodology? I just learned Tennessee basketball picked up the #1 offense thanks to transfers and the like. What? Football comes first. It's always basketball season in my head! -
Along with shade, Norway maples withstand the rigors of urban life better than most species. Unfortunately, they're more brittle than most maples - about the same as silver maple - and very shade tolerant plus loads of early seeds, thus able to invade any native forest condition except perhaps dense hemlocks. Another 'forty', upper 70s from a morning low of 35. Worked up a good sweat thrashing thru blowdowns and wetlands on my tick collection walk - otherwise known as forest inventory.
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Rippage here now.
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Toilet training in the outside two-seater?
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
WmsptWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Mow #2 is in the books. Finally feeling like I've caught up to the growth of the last year. Holy hell. -
At some point you'd think we may generate a nor'easter...we've come close but have fallen short.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
AccuChris replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Scott would settle for this (video I took). Best "scudnado" I have ever seen, including the 20+ times I have storm chased in the Plains!
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Nice day, a bit breezy but take. "May '05 redux" rolls on
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Temperature thing on my computer says it's 82 here!
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What about Weeping Willows? Those things lose it w/ a gnat fart! No roots either.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
A-L-E-K replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
we're playing it back plus a couple -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Sunny and 84 at 2pm. -
This persistent trough pattern may lead to a solid nor'easter eventually. See that storm from May 3-4 that bombed S of Nova Scotia? 981 to 968 mb in just 3 hr! Scott impressed? https://www.facebook.com/share/r/1SBWGokHDi/
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Yeah just had a big gust here. S winds roar here down my hill.
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37F to 79F… what a day.
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Thinking the Yanks get it in tomorrow, everything looks to get out of here faster now. May not have to cancel my plans after all...
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Wind starting to rip now.
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GramaxRefugee started following May Discobs 2026
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Not bad at all.
