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https://x.com/p_simmswx/status/1989685215497752663?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg

We take this and run with it.

Its common in the TNH pattern...93-94, 14-15 winters saw the -AO/+NAO often.

Not the best start...

Might be an ice storm pattern for my part of the world with cold air under cutting mild SW flow aloft

Torching at 70

Feels like it wants to be warm, though. The lack of wind feels amazing.

Ha I noticed it was pretty snowy in Maine too. CAD wedge and secondary trying to get going.

Wtf is that weenie 2” over me. I’m not finished with the yard work yet.

Phase 6-8 in DEC are not bad at all. 6 turns bad in JAN/FEB. A lot of misconceptions about MJO phases. Use Roundy's RMM: https://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/rmmcyc/index200reg.html

Lining up to get the northern Greens another high end snow event tomorrow into Monday night. This is only through Monday 1pm and still going strong. Another 1-2” QPF snow event for the mtns.

It wouldn't surprise me if there's a snowstorm Friday since I'm flying out of town Thursday. Happens all the time.

Deterministic runs are starting to pick up on a decently cold shot right after Thanksgiving. Still plenty of uncertainty, but cold enough for snow if we time it right.

The CFS seasonal today was wall-to-wall cold for DJF.

Was between 32-34 around the same time, then the wind quit and down it went. Only day this month it's been unobstructed sun the entire day.

Not a thing this cold season. Build an arc.

So is April.

Its closer to a winter month than summer, thats for sure. Winter month

Beautiful hike out at Wagon Hill today. Pretty shocked by the amount of erosion…The sign informing about the erosion won’t make it through this winter.

Wind advisory hoisted

The wedge says no.

It could still be warm next Saturday…still some uncertainty. Maybe not 70 warm, but 55-60.

One reason my mother never called me son...

Sort of opposes the warmer temperatures means more snows theory. Not to say that there cannot be occasional heavy snow storms...