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He forget to mention BOS temp is running warm...

Yeah I mentioned that outflow boundary in the other thread.

I am not a fan of the US Drought Monitor. I've seen a number of learned mets point out many times how mdt-svr drought conditions can exist when rainfall, soil moisture, reservoir levels, and the CMI/PMI are all solid, but *one* thing will be not good, such as snowpack, and that "ruins" it all. Seen this in WA/OR a number of times the last few years. I have little doubt there are political/social/economic factors that mess w/ the objectivity in some areas of the country. Havig drought conditions (a "problem") is a way to funnel/siphon $$. Declare a drought emergency, and that frees up state/federal funds, as one example. In some regards, it has become racket IMHO.

This is the most pity of pity MDs released.

Interesting boundary from the storms in South Jersey is moving SW through Northern DE into NE MD, causing storms to fire. I just missed one to my South.

Happy birthday big guy!

I wouldn't say nefarious, just misleading. The psychological part of viewers is well-known, what gets attention, and what does not. That's fine in itself, but as w/ anything, it can be abused or go off the rails. Back in the day, wx at TV stations was largely left alone, and sometimes plain disrespected. I interned at WNEV (now WHDH) in the late 80s, and I can't tell you how many times Harvey Leonard would get so ticked that they would cut the wx segment time 15 or 30 sec. Whenever the newscast needed to be trimmed as it was occurring, it was *always* was w/ the wxcast! This was regardless of what was going on currently or what was in the fcst. Could have a big storm on the way, and time would be still cut. Of course, that all changed after 1993 or so (Bliz of 93 was game changer). It was discovered there was big ratings in wx, and it went rather quickly from not enough time or attention to the opposite extreme. Wx became front and center in the newscast w/ endless teases and hits, and the amount of time an OCM had to actually put together fcst became less and less. The workload increased considerably w/ more complex graphic systems, the Internet, and then later social media. Wall-to-wall coverage for snowstorms or tornado warnings was never a routine thing, at least in the BOS TV market, until the later 90s. It took an exceptional event, like Hurricanes Gloria and Bob, for continuous news coverage for a wx event. Even CoastalWx became keen to this early on. Ask him about, "Nor'easter 95!" The only big snowstorm in the otherwise terrible 1994-95 season! I may sound like a curmudgeon at times, but that's not a inherently bad ting. Just have the experience of how things have changed over time. Change is inevitable, and it is not always bad, but things have become so crazy w/ wx over time, one is going to point things out, and yes, complain at times, esp. when it has to do w/ one's passion and profession!

No doubt a cold month for that region. Just not as cold as the DMI ECMWF data. The persistence of low pressure closer to the Pacific side of the Arctic is a function of the big summer dipole reversal since 2013. This weak dipole is the main reason that the 2012 record low has held into the 2020s.

not if the 12z Euro verifies.

Happy Birthday Buckethead!

Tomorrow will again feature highs mainly in the lower 80s. Temperatures will remain in the lower to middle 80s on Monday before heat begins to push in from the Plains States. Some heat from an impressive heat dome over the Central and Northern Plains could send temperatures into the 90s near mid-month. The potential exists for Newark to approach 100° at the height of the short period of heat. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.8°C for the week centered around July 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.52°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -30.66 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.244 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 64% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 78.8° (1.3° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

It's hot and sunny in my area.

2.50 in so far today. A flood warning was issued for Greene Co, but not sure why not for the NE part of Hamblen though. All of that in Greene Co. came through here first.

Just lock in these days. Perfect summery day.

Maybe that outflow boundary moving SW from the SNJ storms can trigger something.

Due S movement on these popup storms is interesting

Yes, esp. this time of year when large-scale dynamic forcing and strong low pressure areas are less, yet enough of a signal in the probs for SPC to outlook an area. NW flow aloft can lead to some of the best tornado events due to excellent directional shear. We have good speed shear very often, but strong directional shear is much less common. NW flow promotes lee troughing which can back the low-level winds, so you can over 90 deg turning sfc to 500 mb. And you tend to get solid EMLs for more CAPE overall.

A normal summer day feels really nice after five days of blowtorch and a week of stifling overcast.

Just picked up another .58" with a storm that just rolled through. Currently 61 here. A perfectly cool rainy birthday. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

trees down blocking roads here

A quarter inch of rain would be cool. Not asking for much. That would get me to a little over an inch and a half for the month, while continuing the pathetic monthly totals since March.

Good gosh! I was wondering if yall got hammered.

Rainy and cool!