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Thank God!!

The key thing to watch on the Euro for the next runs is we need the 500mb s/w to dig WEST over Minnesota at valid time 00z Jan 30. The 12z euro didn't dig that as far west as 6z did, and hence the result. So when watching for trends, watch the 500mb vorticity over the Minnesota/Wisconsin/upper lakes.

And Ahoskie!

Making adjustment to my totals the sleet bucket has 2" in it trusting that more than ground measurements of 1.50" 8.5" snow + 2" sleet 10.50"

It is a slow go out there even with me getting minimal freezing rain. My 20’ long 3.5feet wide house sidewalk took about 45 minutes and would usually take 10-15

I would like to see 48"...

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Here's the EPS Ensemble pressure centers from last nights run (06Z). Will hopefully see the members tighten up around the coast in the next run.

You must be real close to Narrowsburg Ny? I have a buddy who lives in Beach Lake. He just called and said the drifts were real bad in that area. I'm just south of Hamlin Pa, on the very northern edge of the Pocono Plateau close to 84.

We can ask to be crushed by every run for 144 hours lol. But yes I agree, at this stage we need to be in the game, and we are.

Even if we miss out on the bulk of the coastal, we only need a few tenths of an inch of QPF to really generate some fun/meaningful powder given the arctic air being pulled in behind the storm

I took my new drone out to a waterfall by the house. We got about 3" of unexpected snow! I'm about to go back shortly and walk down to the waterfall and take pics with my regular camera. Hopefully the snow will still be on the trees with how light and fluffy it is. Currently 12 degrees here, dropped slightly from our peak of 14 a couple hours ago.

Absolutely! We've had 6" of those kind of feathers in the 6.5 hours since clearing the board at 7 AM, with a microscopic LE of 0.08". Had only 0.01" from a 1.0" snow and two different times seeing 4.5" with 0.10", but 6" of 75:1 ratio is beyond what I thought possible. Very little wind and sub-10 temps were a big help. Hardly anything falling now, but the total now is 17.5" though the 13" pack of yesterday morning only gained 16". Given the fluff factor, unless we have several more inches of dendrites like the above pic (doubtful), the current 29" will probably be the stake's top reading.

CAD is the fucking worst.

Precip type struggles aside, it was a whole lot better than the GFS.

Decent snow growth now. Driving around and man the piles are huge. There was some QPF in the snow. This was a great storm. Cars are just buried.

The storm total was about 6.5" in Norman. That's less than I was hoping for, but I kind of expected it to underperform somehow. Plus, it was still the biggest snowstorm I've personally experienced since January 2010 in NC, so I can't complain. I like how it's supposed to be cold the next few days, so while I'm sure it will melt a good bit in the sun, melting should be slower than it is after some storms.

This would be how many times in a supposed La Niña that the 757 has gotten a major snowstorm that misses Richmond to the south? [emoji28] .

The Euro family is still by far the best model family available.

That's real nice for 5 days out!!

Picked up a general 1 to 2 inches after the last obs that I posted last night. Measuring this was a nightmare with the wind. I'll call it 15.0" total all said and done. Seeing two 20.0" reports just to my east near Lake Wallenpaupack. I guess it's possible. Great storm!

Exactly my (albeit uneducated) thoughts. Seems like the SLP mean is being dragged by some outliers east. That’s a lot of lows hugging the coast. Not sure we can reasonably ask for anything else at this point.

Yeah, but it is a pretty massive spread. Plenty of time. EDIT - in fact the spread is actually wider earlier on at 138hr as opposed to 144 which tells me they are having a hard time handling the upper level steering that has been showing it tuck back into the coast at that timeframe.

Seems like they’re going to keep coming every few days / week

Storm total 10” I have 300’ of drive I cleared 4 times with a snowblower during the storm. Finished cleaning everything up at 11:00 am this morning. Send the next one