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Gimmee summa dat 7 day sucka dust lol

WRF-ARW and WRF-NSSL have a similar look for severe cells in N IL tomorrow

Some snow patches holding on for dear life in the backyard.

I liked Likely more than Andrews. He was a really good blocker for Lamar. Is it true Andrews has never caught a TD in the playoffs (and that's in a lot of games)?

Not a tough call to be long Oil for tomorrow.

SM is closed Tuesdays unfortunately

Afternoon round up of the state of the snowpack… High Road Plot (PM reading): 62” Depth (2” decrease past 24 hours, 12” lost past 5 days). Big Spruce Plot (PM reading): 42” Depth (2” decrease past 24 hours, 14” lost past 5 days) Barnes Camp Plot (AM reading): 28” Depth (4” decrease past 24 hours, 14” lost past 5 days). First 24-36 hours saw the biggest melt and the snowpack is getting a bit more resilient as it gets deeper down into some of the previous thaws and ice storm from mid-season. Only 2” decreases past 24 hours at the higher elevation sites is a positive trend but we still have at least 48 hours to go and likely 72 hours. Good spring skiing.

WBC has been pretty entertaining this year.

Idk if I buy the more northward trend of the front in IL to continue anymore then it has already, but the more north it trends, the higher the population threatened by a potential strong tornado (no guarantee obviously!)

Former local met Chris Sauers says we might as well sleep right thru next winter. Raging Nino with well AN temps basically start to finish. Mild and wet, little snow.

We spring.

Wild game. 7-3. And US beating Mexico 5-2 in the 7th!

Supposed to be 83 tomorrow here, a record high.

It’s already been like summer for many in the SE on many days this month. Many are headed for one of the warmest Marches on record. I have enough summer as it is. I’d prefer March be more like a spring month. Thus, I’m looking forward to the cooldown and am hoping April overall comes in less warm than March. This has zero to do with snow.

Yeah they were 5” a few hours ago

Contributing to the problem of models looking colder further out in time is that WxBell Euro 2m Euro Weeklies maps are too cold, something I’ve emphasized in many posts. I know that @donsutherland1and Anthony are, among others, fully aware of this issue. How do I know they’re too cold? I’ve on many occasions compared the WB maps to the in-house ecmwf maps, especially in later weeks as the WB cold errors grow. The WB maps are essentially always colder and often by a significant amount in later weeks. Has anyone ever wondered why the NE US and much of W US are just about always below normal on WB during later weeks of the Weeklies? So, as the periods get closer, the WB maps more often than not warm up as the magnitude of the cold errors reduces.

Flagstaff has four such months: June (2024), July (2023), August (2020), and October (2024). Record Warm Months have been common in the Southwest since 2020: 8, Salt Lake City and Tucson 7, Phoenix 6, Las Vegas 5, Albuquerque, Palm Springs and Reno 4, Flagstaff 2, Denver Flagstaff's record warmest months with records set in 2020 or later are June, July, August, and October.

hrrr finally got on board with the earlier/afternoon CI that other cams have had. probably targeting bloomington initially? maybe a bit north (like pontiac) as that seems to be the trend

Went in the woods once today and that was enough. Acl tear waiting to happen. Groomers were fantastic though. .

Being an airport I’m not even sure how that isn’t gone with it being open.

KPVD was down to 11" Friday...must be down to like 4-5" now....39" cancel.

Guessing your folks have around what I do.

HRRRRR has a nice monster sup rolling east near Kankakee late afternoon.

Thinking the same here. Hope all is well @Roger Smith

In this region, we have a 10 to 1 ratio. 10" of snowmap snow = 1" of real snow