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Sure thing. 12z HRRR: Around 3/4pm - Puts a couple of decent pre-frontal discrete cells from MDT south to DC, looks like one cell gets beefy east of Baltimore along maybe a bay breeze boundary? Around 4 - 6pm - Develops a respectable line of storms along I-81 and runs it from MDT down to RIC around sunset. That would be a solid slight risk day in these parts. If folks hold their expectations to that, then no one would be dissappointed.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I haven’t looked a ton at the setup and won’t be able till past midday. It seems similar up Monday but with less CAPE traded for better shear both upper and lower levels. Considering we got some supercells then, I see no reason why we couldn’t get them today.- 1,230 replies
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Mind posting? On mobile so can’t look easily
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Pittsburgh PA Summer 2026 Thread
PghPirates27 replied to TheClimateChanger's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Looks like most of the heavy rain is going to be south of I-70 -
Looking upstream, if we can get these debris clouds over West Virginia to fade out, we should be okay for at least some thunder. The cluster of storms coming through Columbus, OH right now has an uptick in CG and seems to be drifting southeast. Wonder if that's our show for later?
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Some of the most intense rain that I have ever witnessed. Deafening. Oakland NJ.
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Bad Gateway -related delay/ping failure has returned. Check for another wave of foreign shitheads Also, probably could have been a part of the enhanced severe stuff today if it were not this piece of shit useless timed nocturnal garbage waste ... just exquisitely timed to make sure nothing happens but light mosquito rain
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The good news is it looks like any above normal / heatwaves will be muted until at lest middle August. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Elim72 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That cluster out west looking good. Hopefully, it ramps down a little on the instability. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
AccuChris replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Lebanon area has had highly localized heavy rain totals this month but my station in North Cornwall Twsp has missed the heavy stuff so far this month and only at 2.20” and 19.44” on the year . -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yes, it's been a good month overall. I'm at 5.92". I just know how quickly things can dry out with any extended period without rain. -
12z NAM throwing out some nasty hodographs and STP numbers between 21z and 00z KFDK at 00z DCA at 00z
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Looks like a hell of a drive on the thruway, even if it only lasts a few minutes, that's some serious precip.
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If you liked the 11z HRRR, you'll love the 12z HRRR. Legit squall line.
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Looks like 12z HRRR has some discrete convection from 18z to 20z across the region before QLCS (?) comes through around 22z-23z
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AI knew the Chesco COOPs are included in the SE PA climate division but did not feel it material enough to change the statistical fact that the raw data at Chesco was cooling the same as the surrounding stations so again no need for further cooling. Plus with all those AM TOB readings at Coatesville and West Chester why didn't NCEI apply some warming adjustments? Again only non-stop chilling adjustments.
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That is shocking
