All Activity

Looks like the hottest stretch since July 2022 coming up.

Some parts of the region could see a shower or thundershower this evening or overnight. The weekend will turn somewhat cooler with highs mainly in the lower 80s. Temperatures will remain in the lower to middle 80s on Monday before heat begins to push in from the Plains States. Some heat from an impressive heat dome over the Central and Northern Plains could send temperatures into the 90s near mid-month. The potential exists for Newark to approach 100° at the height of the short period of heat. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.8°C for the week centered around July 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.52°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -19.94 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.262 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 65% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 78.9° (1.4° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.4° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

I complained and picked up .28” of much needed rain

We've been clouded over so hard today. It seems like the PA activity is getting some enhancement from the terrain up there to offset the marginal surface instability.

100.0F right now (4:48PM) at my home!

That southern PA activity gonna make it here and clip us or no?

I think I missed rain to the south and east about every day this week, except for one day where it missed to the north! Maybe this weekend we can all cash in.

There was so much grass and hydrilla uprooted from these last storms thet It's kind of a nightmare out there for a jet drive or fishing in certain areas.

My (Canadian) Dad (RIP) made a very similar report at the same time; pushing our neighbor's car in thunder-snow in Howard County. Said it was the heaviest snow he'd ever seen. (And, he was a guy who had seen a lot.)

I was a young then but I remember it vividly. Lived in Carroll county back then. It was basically just the Feb blizzard after an overall mild winter, but got very cold leading up to it and then rapidly warmed up right after and ended winter. That's the type of deal we could see this coming winter, the way things look right now. Similar to 2016.

Saw the dark clouds to my northwest but not one drop imby

Getting dark to my south again

Make sure to be on the lookout for back-to-school sales as well. I'll say by July 25+ or so. Definitely by Aug 1st...

Yeah I just got hit by that small downpour. It weakened as it moved in though. Just a tenth of an inch.

Pretty good downpour up in Warren

4" of snow at BWI between Noon and 1pm with constant thunder and lightning in the February blizzard. And I was out in with my brother pushing my uncle's van down the road so he could get home 5 miles away. Idk how he made it, but he did. Yeah, I remember it vividly!

That rain totally missed me somehow

I was driving back from Bridgewater and had to pull over. Quick, but torrential. My house got .24" in about 4 minutes.

That one missed me to the south by a few miles. I see one more downpour a little to my NW -- maybe that one will get me.

Light showers im sure they bounced off the ground in Stephens City and back up into the atmosphere

They actually did the poles around here last year and even the giant high voltage ones. But yeah you're right, many are old

It must rain everyday.

Had a monster 5 minute downpour

Can confirm sharp cutoff - I'm about 2 miles ESE of the Prince Frederick Mesonet and only got about a quarter inch

Very light showers moved through. About .03.