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Can't ask for better weather !!

I'm so interested to see if we get a cold December this year, because strong -QBO/weak -ENSO analogs strongly support it. I remember those similar 2 conditions in the Fall of 2005, we used the 1989 analog, and it worked out great that Winter. Besides that, there is nothing strongly anomalously warm about the global pattern right now, wrt to previous years. I am going to be in the 70s for highs something like 13/14 August days, which is unusual. We had a warm up in June, but cold H5 was overtop of it, so it was a strong +NAO driven warm up. We aren't just popping ridging out of nowhere, like we did a lot 2020-2024. For all this about 2nd year El Nino's being so warm in the global pattern, you don't hear much about 2nd year La Nina's, and the cooling effect. I think since late November last year it's been a cooler US pattern, relative to global warming and all. Will be interesting to see if it lasts into the Winter. Analogs say that odds are starting to become in that favor, the more we get these cooler patterns through the Fall.

Woot woot!

Funny - I wonder if I saw the same one. I am northwest of the city tonight (New Paltz area) and I saw one south and slightly east of me. Maybe that would have appeared wnw of you. Rather bright…showed through a thin cloud. Maybe the same? I’m glad you mentioned it.

Never underestimate the sinking/rising air from MJO waves.

I am on a migraine medication with a side effect of being hotter in heat. It was unbearably hot at times.

No rain predicted through the end of the month, so guessing it'll set that record. This is killing me. I've got some bare spots on the lawn that I'm trying to seed by taking advantage of the cooler weather - but having to sprinkle like crazy to get it to germinate. No rain in sight - hope the well doesn't run dry. Third year in a row we've had drought conditions during the fall overseed season.

It’s already 40.6 at Canaan NWR. 50ish at surrounding mountaintops it seems.

It’s only one case @weatherwiz but you might find this interesting

Went back and looked at my COOP records for RSTM2. I've only had about 6 days with a high at or above 95°, and no overnight lows above 80°. Compared to growing up in Philly in the 90s with no air conditioning, this wasn't the worst. 2012, 2016, 2019, 2020, 2021 were wat worse, IMO.

High of 93. Picked up .05" today.

There ya' go, break yourself in for the inevitable disappointment of snow season storms failing. Easier to digest when you prepare for it.

86 today.

Largely shut out again. .07 last night and .12 today

Saw a shooting star about 20min ago in the western sky.

Zippo. Im sure friday will work out to zilch too. Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Highs EWR: 88 BLM: 87 ACY: 87 TEB: 87 New Brnswck: 86 JFK: 86 * no intra hour highs again LGA: 86 PHL: 86 NYC: 86 TTN: 85 ISP: 84

44.53+ N checking in. Some color on random maples and cottonwoods, but that happens every year.

my project got 0.0"

We picked up a quick .05” in Greenfield today but it was super isolated. Overall, Franklin County is desert dry.

How much did you get in Lawrence?

Watch us get a freak 90 last week of Sept or first week of Oct.

That’s like declaring we’re absolutely not done with snow in mid February. We could get into the 90s in September but each week that passes chances diminsh

That’s mostly south of me, but outflow boundaries ftw: