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It’s getting pretty tiresome, put me on reaper watch. I’m a few fizzled threats away from talking about cherry blossoms.

49 for the high here. All patches wiped...just bankings.

Models were pretty good in showing first flakes around 8 which turned out right.

Ray Petelin just said 1-2 for most through tomorrow but there could be persistent bands that give localized much more.

18z is in and Panic Room hasn’t been bumped in 9 hours. Looks like we’re officially back in business?

I probably won't roll back in here until 12z. I might catch the 0z GFS run....if I am feeling remarkably good. Haha.

I still think it is a very long shot. However, where we are seeing some of these systems rain instead of snow...tells me that modeling is over doing the cold and there is room for this to come north. However, these Gulf snows verify more often than I care to enjoy.

To me, everything seems to be honing in on central and eastern parts of the Carolina’s

I think we'll get something in this period but the better stuff waits til late Jan into Feb. Upcoming pattern is likely the most favorable pattern for snow and significant snows that we've had in years. And peak snow climo too.

Regarding northeast — it’s the first time all season we are below last year’s snow coverage and by a lot.

I see very very few 8’s on that map in CT. More 6” amounts not so much 8”. Again, wasn’t trying to downgrade anything pal, but it wasn’t that great here at my place…barely approached 4”. I was actually gonna say 2-4”, but being I barely made it to 4”, I went a little lower. Point is it was the appetizer for the most part. And yes, that blizzard was a dud for us, as was the whole big blitz was muted for us WOR. Still very good, but nothing historic out our way here. Anyway, let’s hope we are about to enter into something decent at the very least.

Man a lot of beers and buffalo wings to digest. My day was cray. The cliff notes earlier—So very much appreciated. Thank you for that. I’ll eventually catch up on the rest of today by the time the Oz suite kicks in. Come on white gold!! You know we love watching you fall. Now get your ass on the ground and make a sledding hill for the kids or something.

0Z will be worth staying up for imo. .

I had to go to an event that Saturday night and there was one guy who reads but doesn’t post on the board. I remember going up to him as the 0Z guidance was rolling in saying “we’re getting buried!” barely containing myself…lol.

QPF 12z followed by 18z. And snowfall mean 12z followed by 18z

Snow is gone here. Only the piles. And the piles outside of the parking lots will be gone tomorrow.

Seems improved to me but I’ve looked at so many on the last 24 hours, not sure. Too lazy to pull the 12z

South side. Good spot rn

FWIW....DT from Wxrisk posted this WXRISK VIEW: There is the potential for a wave of LOW pressure to develop on the front but the question is how close to the coast. Most of the models for the past few days have been keeping this weak LOW well off the coast but the Trend started early WED with the GFS and the European AI models. DISCUSSION/ MAPS Last week in the newsletter I mentioned three specific winter storm threats between the period from January 15–30. AS i stated on SUNDAY the first threat of January 15- 16 is gone. A stronger arctic cold front will sweep through the Midwest and reach the East Coast on Saturday January 17. This cold front appears to be much stronger and looks like it will bring snow showers to much of the Middle Atlantic region even into the Piedmont as far east is I — — 95 from NYC to Richmond. It would not surprise me to see an 1–2 inches of snow in the Shenandoah Valley., the mountains of PA, western MD, WV, southwest VA, and the mountains west in NC.

It did the coup de grace on the ice in my driveway so I was grateful for that. Only about 25% snow coverage left but looks to be back by Saturday night.

The models hinted at this on Sunday and then completely backed off, and never caught back up until the snow was almost over. Maddening as an operational met, splendid as a snow lover. My best explanation is that models were not properly initializing with the vort max that dove in from the Arctic, as everything associated with that (starting with the overperforming squalls in the Chicago area this morning) has over performed with this system.

OK fair enough but calling it a 1-3 event when the whole state got 4-8 save New london middlsex Co is objectively wrong. The literal only report under 3 was Stonington. Picked up about 6 here. It was pure paste and a very solid base for the long duration snow pack

Been a few years since we’ve had a GHD sub storm. What number are we on? IV or V?