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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Next up GFS. at 84 a little less strung out. -
So far...GFS looks like it's going to be a hold
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0z will be telling with the dropsonde pac data being ingested into the models.
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The GFS is a convoluted mess; does that stuff at hour 84 back in Texas still have to come through?
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
HoarfrostHubb replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Can we put a temporary lock on Corey's thread for a day or 2? -
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It's definitely not fair that seemingly the entire eastern half of the country has a storm to talk about and we're nickel and diming over a moderate cold snap for a couple days.
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It's not interacting with the energy in the southwest in the same way at 84 at 500mb. That allow the height field to be suppressed a bit more in the east with the initial slug of moisture.
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That's what the kuchera maps are for...
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Of course you’d have to be clearing every 6hrs as well. A more prolonged event with amounts that high and you start dealing with the weight of the snow upon itself. -
Hopefully will result in a pausing of the north/amped "trend"
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This is what happens when you board the hype train too early.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
ORH_wxman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Given there aren’t any ptype issues (as of now), you might as well just post QPF maps. -
Jet dynamics are mostly carbon copy of 6z. This is gonna be a wrecking.
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Carver going silent for 15 minutes bothers me more than the Euro. [emoji23] .
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12z GFS still says "not so fast!"
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Opens back up at 84...and still moving out...so nothing crazy like getting stuck down there...just is a bit south of where it was at 6z
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January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
Thrasher Fan replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
12z GFS much slower with precip onset out to 78h -
It’s digging more and the whole h5 is shifted west. Think will amp but will amp on the good way with near what ai has .
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Bingo Hunter! Yes sir.
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i'm going to shut all the blinds and curtains as soon as it starts because it will melt eventually and so the start of any storm is the end of any enjoyment. and yes I am referencing a real post that was made in this community before a previous big snow.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
tunafish replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
This is my next project after I finish the Tippy AI-bot. -
The 12z gfs will start out as snow for us.
