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Looks about 1/4” fell here

The highest temperatures during 1977 heatwave was mostly focused in Central Park when the thermometer was still out in the open and not under the trees like today. Outside of that 9 day run in mid-July, it was a cool summer by recent standards. There was a strong seabreeze that week so the South Shore spots like JFK had much cooler highs than Central Park. We are coming up on the 40th anniversary of the last August freeze at MPO. Along with the last August 50° low in NYC. Average High Temperature Data for July 13, 1977 through July 21, 1977 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NY NEW YORK LAUREL HILL COOP 97.1 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 97.1 NY DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY COOP 96.9 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 95.8 CT NEW HAVEN COOP 95.8 NY SCARSDALE COOP 95.4 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 95.3 CT STAMFORD 5 N COOP 95.1 NY NEW YORK AVE V BROOKLYN COOP 95.0 NY NY WESTERLEIGH STAT IS COOP 94.9 NJ CRANFORD COOP 94.8 NY WEST POINT COOP 94.4 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 93.9 NY VANDERBILT MUSEUM COOP 93.7 CT DANBURY COOP 92.9 NY MARYKNOLL COOP 92.9 NJ ESSEX FELLS SERVICE BLDG COOP 92.8 NY SETAUKET STRONG COOP 92.8 CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 92.8 NJ LITTLE FALLS COOP 92.7 CT NORWALK GAS PLANT COOP 92.4 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 92.3 CT NEW HAVEN TWEED AP WBAN 92.3 NY MIDDLETOWN 2 NW COOP 92.2 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 92.1 NJ WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM COOP 92.1 CT MOUNT CARMEL COOP 91.9 CT MIDDLETOWN 4 W COOP 91.8 NY SUFFERN COOP 91.7 CT GROTON COOP 91.4 NJ JERSEY CITY COOP 91.3 NY PATCHOGUE 2 N COOP 91.3 NY WALDEN 1 ESE COOP 90.8 NY MINEOLA COOP 90.8 NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 90.8 NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 90.7 NY CARMEL COOP 90.2 NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 89.8 CT WESTBROOK COOP 89.7 NY YORKTOWN HEIGHTS 1W COOP 89.6 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 89.3 Time Series Summary for Mount Pocono Area, PA (ThreadEx) - Month of Aug Lowest Minimum Temperature Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1986 31 0 2 1965 32 0 - 1907 32 0 3 1987 33 4 - 1941 33 0 - 1940 33 0 4 1982 34 0 - 1976 34 0 - 1942 34 0 - 1923 34 0 - 1910 34 0 - 1908 34 0 - 1904 34 0 5 1979 35 0 - 1921 35 0 - 1916 35 0 Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - Month of Aug Lowest Minimum Temperature Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1986 50 0 - 1982 50 0 - 1976 50 0 - 1965 50 0 - 1885 50 0

over 340K

69 when I left the house with some nice valley fog. Yesterday’s storms missed me, which is fine because my yard is quite spongy. Onward.

I'm not sure about down on The Island but, there has been a mass die-off of bats in the Hudson Valley, over 95% of one species and I think high 70s for another. Bats eat LOTS of mosquitoes. The mosquitoes seem to love not having those predators in their world It's called white nose syndrome and it's taking out bats all over Upstate.

Yeah, thought that was odd too.

entering our minor diurnal shifts season locked in on comfort+

A bit less snow than when I was last at those Gorton lean-tos.

WxBell winter forecast and discussion. I think the maps were previously posted, but maybe not the discussion with analogs. https://www.weatherbell.com/winter-2026-27-preview

This study provides an estimate of transient climate response (TCR) using CERES net radiation estimates and updates temperature-based estimates through 2025. The new TCR estimates for temperature are a little higher than previous studies (orange bars) and the CERES TCR estimates (red bars) are higher still, inline with TCR estimated with the warmer CMIP6 models. https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2026EF008356

I’ve been on these boards for over 25 years and I’ve yet to find a more optimistic poster than jebman.

Climatology always finds a way to break free even from the most hostile conditions. I'm sure we'll see at least one long tracking hurricane in the next 1 1/2 months. We had Joaquin in 2015 and that one was originally forecast to pull another hurricane Sandy into the east coast but that eventually didn't pan out. Joaquin was able to find the perfect spot to turn into a high end category 4 and hang around for a while.

67 degrees this morning Picked up .72” of rain yesterday. With just a popup storm on the radar. Really down poured.

As we head into the peak of the hurricane season over the next month or two, we might get a window of some more humidity/heat as potential remnants work their way inland.

A potential wild-card for 90s is any tropical activity/remnants as we head into SEP and the peak hurricane season. If we see a MAJ Cat 2-3-4 storm crawl it’s way inland that could shoot temps up out in front of it with some nice ridging.

Even in a relatively cooler stretch overall down the road the troughs will relax at some point and give way to ridging. We’re probably not done with 90s down here. Also Lake Michigan is super warm down here right now compared to you guys up north on Superior, 70+ 74 in some areas.

I think we get tag at least 2 more 90s. Potential windows the Last few days of the month and again Labor Day week after this slightly BN period relaxes. Also can’t completely discount Late SEP/early OCT. There are 6 total OCT 90s in the record books for CHI, the hottest being 10/6/63 a balmy 94 degrees. Kinda neat going back in time and finding 90s in the record book all the way from APR10th-OCT6th in the Chicagoland area. Obviously odds are lower some months, but can never completely discount a 90 during those 7 months. https://www.weather.gov/lot/90_degrees

Thanks, michsnowfreak! We will probably get some rain from this. One snow could sneak in. Look out in Detroit. Some of the moisture will get up there and you are definitely cold enough for snow! You guys could get TROWELed real hard with snow a few times! Yeah, I think DC will get slammed by nor'easters quite a bit this winter, some of which could be a ton of very deep wind-driven snow! They might end up crawling out of second-story windows in NW DC!

Last time I went to Aruba, I got grazed by a Tropical Depression that would eventually develop into Major Hurricane Ian in 2022.

This is yet another reason I love hot and dry weather far fewer mosquitoes.

Evaporated before getting here too. Rained for 20 min but very light and not measurable. TR for the day

I thought so too but there were some amazing and widespread heat waves back then that haven't been matched since. Early July 1911 is a case in point. Mount Pocono was 98, 99 and 103 for three straight days and has never been higher than 95 since then. I thought this had to be an instrument error but then I saw Boston all time high of 104 is from the same period and even the mountains of northern New England were over 100 degrees. That was some mega heat dome and for reference a 103 degree reading at Mount Pocono is a sea level adjusted temperature of 114 degrees!

How could there possibly have been a 4 year el nino in the late 1700s? That has to be fiction. What we did have back then was a gigantic volcanic eruption in Iceland called Toba and that altered our climate in a big way for years to come.

Might have been some breaks in the clouds to the west, but just dark, dreary and damp wall to wall here today. MaxT was 73° which is the lowest daily maxT since July 7 (max that day was 68°). I've no problem with a few days with the wx like this, but the mosquitoes are beyond ridiculous this month. Little buggers are pissing me off. It's bad when you go backpacking to get away from them.