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Saw a lightning bolt today and Vegas had some downpours.

Dont know,the PDO shouldnt look like that this in a NINO its still pumping warm currents along the Kuroshio current and it is nothing but warming along Eastern Japn, which seems to be just as well how strong this NINO is,along the Kuroshio extension is where the strongest currents are in the world and should be getting mixed out with the colder Northern Pac oceans but arent,There is no way the Sea of Japan should be this warm

Sure is. Grafton.

Weatherbell has their winter forecast out. Slightly above normal snow for DC. We're in the +1F DFN for temp though it seems to be front weighted.

I'm about 80 miles due South of Chicago. I would have thought by now I would have seen a frost. I know the Shenandoah Valley has already had multiple mornings in the 20s but they always have that. Hell, it snowed 10-18 inches there on October 10, 1979. The summers have definitely lengthened over the last 20 years. I would probably have to move to Michigan or Wisconsin to get more of the climate that I would enjoy.

Is that looking at Wahchusett?

It's like a giant claw coming to get us

We've had an amazing stretch of weather for late October! Crystal clear skies an cool temperatures have brought amazing colors across the Smokies. We been busy around the house painting decks and removing shutters that have bothered us since buying the house. Enjoy the weekend Mountain folks!

72 was today’s high 70s most all next week too. Torched.

Actually got cold at the end of the day .Shouldn't have worn shorts. Holy wind gusts. Leaf rule in full effect.

I’m fairly certain I’ll make it to Tgiving

They went until 11/18 in 2016. That’s just wild for up there…even if it’s a heat island.

Looks like a fluke though, as the 18Z brings it back as an event that could last into early Saturday. The 12z Euro also stays on the rain with a Thursday/Friday event. It is pretty gusty outside now with the stiff wind out of the north. Definitely doing a number on the foliage...not much fell this well but a ton fell today with the wind finally picking up.

Some vibrant maples popping along with all the others. Really enjoying being outside and taking it all in before brown season

CFS has been doing a shitty job with the MJO as of late,its showing the MJO going MC,in reality this is just a strong EKW which its even showing causing destructive interferece with that actual MJO signal

Its literally been perfect out.. not sweating constantly and just overall comfortable.. wish this was how Summer was then I wouldn't mind it

RRFS/REFS Go-Live & Legacy Model Retirements Nov 3 This is a reminder regarding major operational dataset changes taking effect on NOMADS (https://nomads.ncep.noaa.gov/) on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Key Changes & Path Updates: 1. Legacy Model Retirements (SCN 26-47): Data directories for the following retired models will no longer be updated and will be decommissioned: - NAM (/pub/data/nccf/com/nam/) - SREF (/pub/data/nccf/com/sref/) - HREF (/pub/data/nccf/com/href/) - HiresW (/pub/data/nccf/com/hiresw/ - except Guam) - NAM MOS 2. New Model Additions (SCN 26-48): Next-generation high-resolution data streams are available under new operational directory paths: - Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS v1.0): /pub/data/nccf/com/rrfs/prod/ - RRFS Ensemble Forecast System (REFS v1.0): /pub/data/nccf/com/refs/prod/ 3. Downstream & Auxiliary Updates: - HYSPLIT v9.1 (SCN 26-78): Inputs updated to use RRFS/GFS streams. - SPC Post v3.0 (SCN 26-77): Post-processing output headers and directories updated. - Blend & MAG Website Changes (SCN 26-89): Web visualizations and blend inputs transitioned to RRFS/REFS.

I'm ok with the warmth for now.. if its not going to snow atleast keep it warm enough to have the heat off

I saw that... was that supposed to be a true ob?

Chamber of Commerce Days leading to some chilly ass nights up here a million feet above sea level. A very long football season up here in Curwensville is coming to a merciful end with perfect weather.

Going to be fun cooking a turkey in the cabin Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk