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The low volume is why it was so much easier to reach the North Pole this summer. Extent is only a one dimensional measurement of where the edge of the ice field is. But now there is so much open and thin ice behind that edge that it’s losing its relevance as a useful metric for describing the state of the sea ice. Since in the old days there was solid MYI older ice behind the edge of where the ice was. The Barents Observer ‪@thebarentsobserver.com‬ Follow "What struck me most: the ease of access through what used to be a far more ice-covered region", expedition leader Jochen Knies tells us, "We had been sailing through open water at 6–8 knots, something unthinkable three decades ago." See our report straight from the North Pole! #climatechange “I didn’t hear the usual grinding of ice” When a Norwegian vessel reached the North Pole this week, the scientific team made an alarming discovery. www.thebarentsobserver.com September 4, 2025 at 7:09

Correct

Yeah. Volume doesn't really tell you much about what's happening now. The low volume is the result of decades of warming. We could have an asteroid impact the planet today and cool it 3 degrees and the volume would still be low next year.

Saw a few thunderheads off to the east earlier. Top 2 event of September so far.

Yes, otherwise we would be going into a 70s/80s type of inactive period right now.

I thought it was a warm NE Pac that had some correlation to a cold E US winter rather than a warm N Pac overall, which is what I believe is the current case.

The intriguing thing about last year which is being repeated to a more extreme extent this year is the long period of inactivity when you expect things to be very active. It was the tropical equivalent of a book end season, with big activity early and later in the season. Do you have a monthly breakdown of tropical activity from last season, Larry? Thanks!

Hey Liberty, 2024 came in less active than, for example, the initial forecasts from CSU. But the season was still solidly above avg and it was a horrific season for the SE US: 2024 North Atlantic Summary Named Storms (vs 1991-2020 Normal) Hurricanes (vs 1991-2020 Normal) Major Hurricanes (vs 1991-2020 Normal) Total ACE (x104 kt2) (% Difference of 1991-2020 Normal) Total Direct Deaths Total U.S. Damagee ($million) 18 (+4) 11 (+4) 5 (+2) 161.5 (+32% ) 274 124,125

This tropical storm will squash some Goombas

Anyone else smell smoke

Yes. The temperature has reached 41 on August 28 and September 8-9.

It makes plausible sense.

Not me down here on Long Island.

Could Wednesday be wet in NYC now?

Yes - 64 % Humidity 60 Dewpoint here On the Middlesex/Union County Border in NJ as of 11 am . Air Quality Index is 50 - Hazardous - whats causing that ?

Chris is that 41 the season low to date for MPO?

Ok the ssts are like footprints. Something is making the footprints - ssts depicted aren’t derived in a vacuum. Unless they are and that’s why seasonal models utterly suck.

Hold up. We cancel winter on a 6 month snow map but we toss 5 day snow maps. Got it.

You have to get them on the second jump. They take a while to recover between jumps. It's like me doing sets of squats. Lol.

Euro AI been very consistent with a coastal low next week giving us rain Wednesday-Thursday. Traditional models have been hinting at it, but a lot more inconsistent. Seems after that we may get into a relatively wetter pattern.

Northampton: Chamber of Commerce every day since I got down here to set up everything for my move here. And, continues all week, crazily. This climate change disaster is producing some picture perfect weather, but think about the plants! You know...like think about the children? WTF does a puny human such as myself--and I live as low impact/low carbon emission as possible--have to do to get some fricken rain up in this place (New England, I guess). Do a rain dance? I am not Native American, but maybe one of the local Pioneer Valley tribespeople can help us out here. Sheeesh! Detailed Forecast Today A slight chance of showers after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Tonight Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Light south wind. Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph in the afternoon. Sunday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Calm wind. Monday Sunny, with a high near 81. Light and variable wind. Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. Calm wind. Tuesday Sunny, with a high near 82. Calm wind. Tuesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Calm wind. Wednesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Calm wind. Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Light south wind. Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. Light south wind. Friday Sunny, with a high near 82. Calm wind becoming north 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.

Another foggy morning. Just a spit of rain yesterday. The Sun has been MIA for a few days with fog (some drizzle), and overcast. Dreary wx.

Anyone else find it humid out?

Coc

We will start to notice some increasing humidity over the next couple of days with temperatures around to a little above normal for the next few days. We fall back to closer to normal by mid-week with lower humidity levels. Mainly dry again this week with a slight chance of showers toward Wednesday night.