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  2. There's no law that states we can't do that.
  3. Another record that fell was Toronto (city) daily rainfall and precip record for December 28th. The daily precip record (28.7 mm) from the 1968 snowfall record of 11.3" was broken in 2025 by the 37.3 mm rainfall (1.47") that also broke the (relatively weak) 1863 rainfall record 0.52" (13.2 mm). Many other daily rainfall records are closer to the 2025 mark and it was not an all-time monthly record, that being 1.95" (5th 1870). The only other higher daily records were 1.81" (3rd, 1841) and 1.75" (9th also 1841), so it can be said that yesterday's rainfall was the third greatest daily amount in December, and largest in 155 years. It barely exceeded a fall of 1.46" on the previous date in 1942. (The 1841 events may have been over longer intervals than the calendar day, some 1841-42 data are listed as cumulative totals). Unlike U.S. climate records as available, Canadian daily climate records separate out rain and snow when various amounts fall as part of a daily precip total. Unfortunately since 2017 Toronto city has only reported daily precip and snow on ground so I now need to apply conversions myself to the data, but Toronto airport still has the full breakdown and I believe all or nearly all of the precip on the 28th was rain, some probably freezing rain at first. There had been a snowfall of about 5-6 inches on Boxing Day. The 1968 daily record snowfall added several more inches on the previous day and was around 14" in total. I recall the event from my own observing near Toronto and it was a sleety kind of snowstorm with some ice pellets in the mix. Today's record daily snowfall of 15.0" is from Dec 1855! The airport daily record is probably a lot lower because its data only begin in 1938. Today's daily record rainfall was 1.34" from 1940.
  4. Could rip tonight into tomorrow aftn. Mixing looks good
  5. That is a really good run of the Euro Weeklies(which are now dailies!). Ridge out west w/ it bridging across to Greenland. This is generally supported by some of the colder analogs. This pretty much holds throughout the run. Now, I have been doing this for a while....it likely won't hold for 6 weeks. The weeklies kind of just roll with week one and don't really move from that pattern sometimes. As @John1122notes, that storm track is a good one if it verifies. A word of caution: There has been no more fickle beast in wx modeling than LR modeling this winter. I wouldn't develop a long term attachment!!! I have 2x30day chunks at 500 posted. I mainly have done that, because each kind of tells a different story - both good for winter in the Tennessee Valley. I add two control images - you know I like the control. The temps map I think is a little bit less washed out, and it gets cold on that control run! The snow map is very similar to the ensemble, and that is likely a good sign. It is basically snow climatology, but I will take average vs none. But it gives us a good idea of the storm tracks possible - sliders, cutters, and inland runners. And if you need something to be concerned about if you like snow...I have that for you as well. Now, the good thing is that BN precip prob means it has been cold. I definitely am in the school of thought that we do a lot better when cold is in place. So, there is good and bad with this map. I don't have to explain the bad.
  6. Happened on Sunday, so not due to ice. https://www.facebook.com/BlackMtnNH/
  7. Of my 3.5” of “pack” from the other day’s snow I probably lost just over half, which surprised me considering the sub tropical climate I’m in at Lava Lake.
  8. Update to last night: Dreamless sleep, minor headache all day, took a two hour nap this afternoon and finally got a little energy Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk
  9. Full cover. Lost about half of it..but still 100% covered.
  10. Mine was the Halloween storm in 2011 which shut the grid down for a week in my neighborhood. My initial reaction was, what the eff was that?
  11. So true- but I’m waiting on any real tracking until Saturday when you return to the area. I don’t care what the calendar says- that starts the DMV winter
  12. Snow cover decreased, but not destroyed in the Johnnycake mountain area of Burlington CT; sunset rays doing a great job of illuminating the neighborhood houses...
  13. You are talking to a group over analyzing the 252 hour models. In like 5 years this has become normalized. Back in the day, we’d mercilessly troll wennies who would do this.
  14. Yup…we 100% solid cover about 3-4” deep. Lost about half of it, but still full cover.
  15. Why would you even summon him? Shut up Chuck.
  16. Wait about 12 hours. I’ve been checking in here and there and there have been no less than 27 mood changes between 0z and 12z.
  17. Chuck been awfully quiet since 12z dropped
  18. 19* / 12* Deep Creek. Not too cold, not much snow. But the wind? Relentless since late morning. So far one tree down and one piece of siding violently removed from my cabin.
  19. This is somewhat surprising; we are still covered here and much less blue-sky/sun. I’m concerned about our driveway, that I didn’t shovel (it’s hard pack stone); time to hit it with calcium chloride.
  20. Yeah a chair barn helps a lot. Still need to de-ice sheave wheels, rope and towers… but it’s a lot easier than de-icing 100 detachable grips. Chair storage is a big deal. We have it for the FourRunner Quad, but not Sensation Quad and that’s the photo I posted of the grips all iced up. Lift maintenance has to bang the ice off each and every one of those. Which by the way, hats off to all lift maintenance teams today. They were the ones up on towers, in the elements, all day long banging ice… it’s hard physical work, cold and wet… tethered in way off the ground. They are the real heroes.
  21. Our 0.8-acre houselot in Gardiner probably had more large branches on the ground than the 60 acres of forest on our current woodlot, as the Farmington area had mostly pingers. Elevation was often the key. On the state lot in Hebron, 10 miles NW from LEW, ice at the top of Greenwood Hill was almost the size of a Pringles can. I brought 2 pieces home to show family, each centered with a first-year twig. One was 3.0x2.2 inches diameter, the other 2.5x2.5 inches, about 2 lb per linear foot of branch. Some large white pines had a near-continuous sheet of ice on their NE exposure and others had cascading breakage on that side as top branches landed on the lower ones. OT: Sad your Cavalier was a lemon. Our 1983 wagon (1st year they had fuel injection, also our last new car) was wonderful except for its unibody frame. Just under 150k, 33 mph on average, engine never missed a beat, but the frame was rusted such as we might end up like Herbie in the Love Bug. Also the finest 2-WD vehicle in snow and mud that I've driven. With aggressive tread snows and spike, it would go thru almost anything.
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