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Tickling 80F. Blowtorch of a day/

I'm just tired with this weather because it's boring and warmer than I would like. Give me a lightning / thunderstorm resulting in a brush fire and I would be happy for the time being. I see the geese flying in there arrow formation South. I don't know why but maybe they do??

Growing season from generally late Napril into mid Novurnace

And here I was thinking how beautiful the weather is. lol. It is boring as hell, though. I'm really craving a tropical or coastal system. Doesn't have to be a Sandy, but just something with wind, rain, and low level clouds ripping at 60 knots.

92 is its October monthly record.

A warm day, but the look of fall is evident. Hauling out the boat tomorrow will complete the scene.

Low of 49. Campfire night.

That's interesting. I have always believed it would be hundreds of years (150+) before things went catastrophic. I can question my own beliefs sometimes, and the fall heat is one of those times and the now more consistent dryness too. One thing is certain, whatever type of weather it is, things are running in more extremes, which is costing money, and putting more lives at risk. The sad thing is, I don't know what can realistically be done quickly about this issue, but I'll save that for another forum.

If my new lawn is gonna get decently grown by winter it needs these warm days, a couple of rainy days would help too, sick of moving sprinklers around.

The magnitude and the duration of the warm ups are usually more impressive than the cool downs even using the warmer climate normals.

He was referring to New York City (Central Park). Interior sections are cooler than NYC's heat island. For example, using the two seasons you cited, the winter mean temperatures were as follows at nearby SMQ: 2017-18: 31.7° and 2020-21: 32.6°. For Central Park, the winter mean temperatures were 36.1° for both winters. Here's how 50" seasons disappear in New York City's historic climate record: Mean Winter Temperature above 32° (qualifying 50" or above seasons are denoted in red): Mean Winter Temperature above 33° (qualifying 50" or above seasons are denoted in red): Mean Winter Temperature above 34° (qualifying 50" or above seasons are denoted in red): New York City (JFK, LaGuardia, and Central Park) has never had a 50" season with a mean winter temperature above 35.0°. In the broader Mid-Atlantic, Washington, DC has a single case at 35.8°, so under the right circumstances, the upper-bound is higher than what New York City's climate record shows. On the issue of a VEI-7 eruption, it would lead to short-lived but rapid global cooling (perhaps several tenths of a degree C). Mid-latitudes would generally see appreciable cooling. Internal variability can still result in sufficiently cold winters, but the kind of cold typically associated with 50" or above snowfall seasons in New York City is decreasing in frequency. Even last winter was at the outer fringes of temperatures consistent with such snowfall in New York City's climate record. Interior sections away from the coast and outside the major heat islands of the big cities remain sufficiently cool for more frequent 50" or above seasons, and they will remain that way for several more decades at a minimum. However,@bluewavewas addressing New York City. He wasn't making an argument outside of New York City.

I am completely done with these 80f+ sunny days. Bring on fall, 50s, cloudy with winds...

I haven't experienced a warning level snowfall since I moved back to Maryland in the fall of 2016.

This pic was taken on Sept 18. Sixteen days later it's past peak, with 60-70% leaf drop. Overall (not including places like this) we're high to peak, depending on species mix, about a week ahead of average.

The Mississippi River says hi

Droughts come and go. Climate modeling has many different scenarios. What scares me are "activists" making sure forest fires increase...

Pumpkin: 12Z UKMET dropped the FL TC but still has this though it doesn’t form til 162, moving WNW to the SSW of Bermuda: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 162 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+162 : 22.7N 67.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 11.10.2025 168 23.0N 68.5W 1009 24 ——————- 12Z Icon 933 mb at 180 but getting ready to recurve; SE US being partially protected by TS S FL from the lemon though would very likely recurve safely even without that since overall pattern shouldn't allow it to get close:

Humans normalizing CC is exactly why we're all screwed. We're not far away from catastrophic events affecting our region whether it be extreme drought, hurricanes, California style fires, grid destroying heat in the summer and so forth. It's not that it's 80+ in October but rather how consistently warm it is.

Had a beautiful cool low of 44 this morning with a current temp of 61.

All of them always?

Same. My min is 37. The lawn and flowers looks great despite the drought

We would need a much larger even than that once since the cooling effects only lasted into 1992 and the temperatures now are much warmer than back then. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1364682624000154#:~:text=Highlights,may be worse than thought. Conclusions The cooling attributed to the Mt. Pinatubo eruption of 0.5 °C over 18 months in the literature mostly based on climate model predictions is overrated. Despite uncertainties remaining in the determination of the cooling and the duration, accounting for natural variability as described in this work by using a simple and intuitive approach reduces the cooling to up to 0.28 °C, on average 0.2 °C, and the duration is similarly reduced to 13 months. This result is consistent with other empirical

91 in msp today. Has to be close to an all time October high

it's because the cooler shots are narrow and get smoothed out by timing differences in the ensemble

I like how if you forecast BN snow in the I95 corridor and AN out west you will be right like 9/10 times now.