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I thought it was too early when we discussed this a couple of weeks ago and it’s still obviously far from a done deal, but your the chances of your bold prediction are certainly increasing as the quiet continues. Like they’ve been showing almost every day for over a week and although they don’t get to above the active avg ACE like they showed 2 weeks ago, the Euro Weeklies still end the below avg ACE starting with the week that begins Sept 22nd. It rises to near the 20 year active avg then and that lasts for the 3 weeks going through Oct 12th. It still has the most active week of the next 4 to be 9/22-28 (with ~13.5 ACE) and the 2nd most active being 9/29-10/5. It’s projecting ~40 ACE 9/15-10/12. That would bring total ACE up to ~80. That would keep season to date ACE well below the active era’s ~103 as of then.

With the narrative the way it is, you'd never know there where plenty of hot summers in the past. It's shameful the way stuff gets portrayed sometimes, but an agenda will do that to people, instead of appreciating wx, and its cycles.

Like they’ve been showing almost every day for over a week and although they don’t get to above the active avg ACE like they showed 2 weeks ago, the Euro Weeklies still end the below avg ACE starting with the week that begins Sept 22nd. It rises to near the 20 year active avg then and that lasts for the 3 weeks going through Oct 12th. It still has the most active week of the next 4 to be 9/22-28 (with ~13.5 ACE) and the 2nd most active being 9/29-10/5. It’s projecting ~40 ACE 9/15-10/12. That would bring total ACE up to ~80. That would keep season to date ACE well below the active era’s ~103 as of then.

not really summery with dew points in the mid 40's

82/52

Thank, 87Storms! I remember those blizzards in Jan 1987! That's a story in itself! Why haven't they red-tagged YOU yet?!

LOL I was thinking exactly the same thing this morning! Arguing about climate on a weather forum reminds me of a quote from Dr Strangelove. “Gentlemen, there will be no fighting in the war room!”

The best by far.

Spotted lanternflies. https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2025/09/11/spotted-lantern-flies-dc-mid-atlantic-swarms/

You must be a blast at parties. Do you have any actual real life friends?.

Offense is missing... but they are playing a real team this week

WB latest EURO weeklies. First fantasy dusting in the mountains third week of October....

Looks likely we bag a late season 90 at MSP this weekend.

GWDLT.

Cooking in the Ohio valley.

More winning. Great day for Kourtney Kardashian at the lake.

Means you don't get your lawn mowed.

Hopefully , Boston is over 2° below normal for the month. It would be nice to warm up a little.

Cancel any trips to San Diego. San Diego came here.

Highs: PHL: 83 EWR: 82 New Brnswck: 82 TTN: 81 JFK: 80 ^ non intra hour highs ISP: 80 ^ no intra hour highs BLM: 80 TEB: 80 ACY: 80 NYC: 79 LGA: 78

The NE pac warm pool didn't get going until Dec and the PDO was favorable at the beginning of met winter. The persistent epo pattern caused the warm pool to form and then there was a feedback loop of sorts that persisted well into March. Imo, it's a stretch to be using current ssta conditions in the Pac and pulling out the 13-14 analog.

This years spring and summer have traits of 1962, 1989, 2008 . I think we get 20-30” this year with an impressive 45 day mostly cold cycle, I think Dec is mostly mild

What does it mean when there are no capatillers around?

Let's go Commanders!!

.14” overnight here. We did make it to 70 yesterday