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Caving to Euro after all the bashing of the Euro here by the Wolf of Weather

Mosquitoes come out in November still lol. Although a hard freeze will kill them off somewhat. 37 here, but frosty down the hill.

Nothing new with those bastards after a hard freeze. Its panic time

MPM, is that you?

Good job NHC for classifying this STS. It kinda reminds me of the Vince situation, if it looks like it, it probably is…

Weaker

Seems like whenever we have a phase involved between multiple vorts the short term trend is more SE instead of NW. The actual phasing usually is slower than forecast. So this can lead to multiple lows with the easterly one grabbing more moisture. The older runs were more consolidated and west with more of a single low.

It’s funny looking at Karen on the NHC page almost off the map

It's over Actually per the GFS I'm just gonna get in my kayak and paddle out into the middle of the bay to experience some heavy rain.

Not really, that was a clipper/mauler from Canada that redeveloped off the coast. It did crush NE but hit most of the coast

yeah ...and so their flyin' around cold addled with their stingers stuck projected infinitum, too

Yep my bad Meant Commanders Bears ,,,,,,,,,,either way they are playing in Washington

40 here on my side of Haywood.

CMC is a total snoozefest.

Sunny and 61, nice fall day. I'm going to enjoy before we go into three days of dreariness which produces about 0.15 of rainfall.

GFS is really nasty for the Jersey Shore. Doesn't look like a whole lot around here besides rain and some wind.

WB 12Z GFS...beggars can't be choosy, I'll take it.

Wasn't January 2005 like this too?

I personally don't have data to go far enough back for that. I was going by the averages for the first freeze at Montgomery and Poughkeepsie which average out to October 12.

GFS remains 1-2" areawide with solid winds for the coast.

I thought the track was supposed to be a little offshore, it seems to be coming more inland now. Or was that just a blip?

UKMET first to see the Eastern NE special yesterday....

38 this morning in Purcellville, and when I went out, shaded spots had some patchy frost. So good call on the advisory, it was all about location, shady spots, and good clear conditions.

it woke me up at 3 am when it turned on lol. I keep it set to 63 but have a space heater for my bedroom. Both were on last night.

Highs: EWR: 92(1949) NYC: 91 (1939) LGA: 89 (1949) JFK: 86 (1997) interesting that this record heat in 1949 happened on the same date as this 1949 A rapidly deepening area of low pressure produced gale to hurricane force winds across much of Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Michigan, and the Dakotas. Sustained 1-minute winds reached 85 mph at Rochester, MN and 79 mph at La Crosse, WI during the early afternoon. Winds gusts were as high as 100 mph. This produced extensive damage to buildings and power lines. In addition, many corn crops were flattened. Bizzare storm brings Hurricane force winds across Minnesota. This was possibly the strongest non-thunderstorm winds seen in Minnesota. Top winds were clocked at 100 mph at Rochester, with a gust of 89 mph at the Twin Cities International Airport. 4 deaths and 81 injuries were reported. Numerous store windows were broken, and large chimneys toppled. The top 10 floors of the Foshay building were evacuated with the tenants feeling seasick from the swaying building. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) also interesting this record cold in 1979 Lows: EWR: 35 (1979) NYC: 35 (1888) LGA: 36 (1979) JFK: 35 (1979) happened on the same date as this 1979 - A storm blanketed Worcester, MA, with 7.5 inches of snow, a record snowfall total for so early in the season for that location. (The Weather Channel) 1979: This was the earliest snow ever recorded in Richmond, Virginia. KRIC had but a trace of snow on this date. (Ref. Richmond Weather Records - KRIC) This is also the earliest snow ever recorded at the Annandale-Barcroft Hills station 0.5 inches. KDCA had 0.3 inches on this date and the greatest snowfall in October was 2.2 inches on October 30, 1925. (Ref. Annandale-Barcroft Hills records) (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)Dale Enterprise west of Harrisonburg had 8.0 the heaviest early snow in more than 143 years records there back to 1868 (The Weather Channel) so DC did get more snow than NYC during one of those October snow events. 2009: Nome, Alaska: Nome experiences its first ever October (Autumn) thunderstorm with five lightning strikes between 8 and 9 PM ADT.(Ref. WxDoctor) (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2012 Accord Pub. 2011, USA) 2011: Eight straight days of 100 percent sunshine in Chicago, IL is simply extraordinary - the longest previous streak in October was 7 days back in 1934. It was the longest streak for any month, except the one-time 10-day record established July 21-30, 1916 when a record 95 percent sunshine was received for that month. (Ref. WGN Chicago Weather Clear -- Very Long Period of Clear Weather) I also found this extremely interesting