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I like the HPC QPF five-day precip forecast, as it now stands. More rain than I have seen (Brattleboro or here) in like months? Seems like years...

I’m so ready to just see a huge precip shield on radar

Saturday for overseeding here. Hopefully the rain does come as expected starting tomorrow.

This one could very well end up further west than Gabrielle. Would definitely watch in Bermuda. I expect the odds to go up at 2pm. It still has disorganized convection but it looks like it’s trying to consolidate.

The confluence is way different than earlier runs

Yeah as long as you have that flow over New England this one won’t get here. Could still do something further south though.

Plenty of side street sweat this winter with cutters.

The 12Z UKMET threatens Bermuda: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 22.0N 61.0W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 26.09.2025 96 22.5N 61.5W 1010 35 0000UTC 27.09.2025 108 22.5N 62.5W 1008 37 1200UTC 27.09.2025 120 23.1N 63.5W 1007 38 0000UTC 28.09.2025 132 23.7N 64.1W 1005 45 1200UTC 28.09.2025 144 24.5N 66.1W 1003 41 0000UTC 29.09.2025 156 25.6N 66.8W 1000 43 1200UTC 29.09.2025 168 27.2N 66.4W 997 45

Cmc now has it but it doesn't gain any attitude after this due to confluence. Gfs is similiar.

Cmc now has it but it doesn't gain any attitude after this due to confluence. Gfs is similiar.

Jackson hole.

I was about 2 miles from 2 inches just to my NW but didn't get enough to settle the dust here. Then it rain 2+ just a few miles south of me too. Hopefully we all have a wet week. I never want to go into October dry. Leaves were raining down yesterday with the wind off the rain.

Mets bust..clouds all day and temps in 60s

Yeah it's crazy. I've been a season ticket holder since I graduated in 2004, but I only get to 1-2 home games a year with the kids being as young as they are. This year, the Oregon game is likely the only one I'll be attending in State College. I say in State College because I still have my yearly road trip game I do with my buddies. We are coming up on year 20 of these trips and this year's takes us to the football Mecca of Piscataway, NJ to face the mighty Scarlet Knights. Hey, we've got to cross it off the list at some point ha.

This might finally be the one

The simulated radar products from the CAMs for the next 2 days look more like what I'd expect to see in July instead of late September.

12.7" @cp. I think EWR was the big winner of the NYC area airports, but don't recall their total

So much for that sunny skies forecast

The MJO waves have also been low amplitude unlike last year at this time when we were seeing strong waves and are projected to stay that way

A loss would bring up an interesting yet unfortunate scenario...our winning percentage is very good after a loss...In fact with Lamar starting I think we've only lost b2b maybe twice. BUT...we have KC next week and we gotta play there where Lamar has never won, lol But I hear ya though...ya start wondering about the law of averages, lol But home primetime losses in the all black uniforms are even more rare (I think we have like 1, lol). So maybe we'll be okay

Recovered from 38F to 70F by noon. You love to see it.

For reference: Most Recent October Impacts:

one more season till disaster

GWDLT

Still incredibly cloudy in Frederick. Oh well, now I feel nudged to do more work.