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2 days, as it has lower 70s on Friday, then back to 90s for 2 days

The updated CPC map (from yesterday) has us in an even higher probability contour. We gonna cook

Today was always modeled as a bit wet. Dry here so far but the warmth moves in a bit tomorrow but Thursday looks downright hot. Summer dew break Friday and Saturday and then we’re off to the races.

Dawn awakening.

It's on Pivotal, Euro-AIFS. Is that the Euro AI? It has 70s on its 06z run, but I'm not sure if that is the AI model?

Looks like a 1 day reprieve then back to the heat

KMJS stats: 1.18" since Saturday, 2.19" for the month, and 20.46" YTD.

In Harwich and it's raining!

Philly made it to 100° last July at one of the airports and downtown. Monthly Data for July 2024 for Mount Holly NJ NWS CWA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. PA PHILADELPHIA FRANKLIN INSTITUTE COOP 101 PA NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA AIRPORT WBAN 100 NJ HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 100

I can sense the warm front is closer than yesterday but we are experts at cad, so it may take some time to erode. Hopefully by mid afternoon there’ll be peaks of sun up this way.

Can you post a link?

Welp. The Mideas have been recalled. Midea Recall

Euro Ai hot M-W, then 70s by Thurs?

.12, drizzle fading out now. A few more tenths would've been nice but the hours of heavy fog helped. Hopefully get a bit more tomorrow before the heat. I was thinking that this rain pretty much ensures that the first few hot days will be super humid. Yuck.

up to .75 100 miles to your west.

Forget EWR, they are always hot, it needs to get to JFK with temperatures of 100 or hotter.

.24 dewy and rain with rain well back into NY state . Will end up with .50 of unmodeled rain. Amazing differences

Yes and it really does not happen in June and even moreso after so much rain. But add this caveat, we rarely ever see our highest temperatures in June, this will probably be an appetizer for heat even more extreme in July.

Well this was the case in 1980, heat began around or after June 20th. This is my main analog for this summer and has been for months now.

Man what a shit day, tomorrow more of the same.

Love this post. Measured and level headed. I am wary about temperatures peaking much over 100 myself, especially this far in advance. As Walt stated much can interrupt and it has been quite wet lately. Bigger issue for me will be HI readings possibly 105-110 with higher than usual dews possible for a W / WNW heat event. We'll see but high temperatures of 105+ are very suspect to me.

Important to note that the 2021 ridge had some local geographic factors involved in addition to just the strength. There was a major downslope east wind event coming off of the Cascade mountains due to a surface low off the coast. For our region, the equivalent would probably be a downsloping west wind event that would send central park and EWR well beyond all-time record highs.

Im not sure I follow this? Heat after jun 20th, meaning no heat until or starting after jun 20th?

Is the rain dying out as it moves east? Im hoping reality is better than the radar is showing .

If we get sun, then today has all the makings of a sneaky tornado threat along the I-81 to US 15 corridor.