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7 inches to 5 inches wouldn't bother me at all, but 7" to 2" would suck.

21z SREFS made a big shift

Bridgeport and Brentwood went down a little, while Waterbury and Norwalk went up a little, so eastern sections of the CWA were a wash, IMO, whereas everywhere else throughout the NWS-NYC area, amounts went down 1-2", which is a much bigger drop, plus this decrease extended throughout the NWS-Philly counties.

Total bs

A couple of inches less but would still be a fantastic post Christmas storm verbatim.

lol. I walked right into that one. Getting hard to post anything these days . Joking aside, exactly 10 years ago I also witnessed the lowest snow depth in recorded history... 0" in 12/25/2015... the only time since 1954 without even a trace of snow at the stake. Not even a patch of ice on a cliff somewhere. Nothing. I suffered through that bullshit and did my time, so I could enjoy a winter like this, lol. 10-years apart. Worst and best Christmas snowpacks. Merry Xmas and Happy Holidays to the AMWX crew.

Of course you think this will trend north . No model has warm noise past NYC

Big decrease in snow totals by the NBM. Models feeling the big block to the north likely shedding the storm a bit. If we can get a big thump before the warm nose in the middle atmosphere, it’ll still allow for 3-6”. Let’s hope the north trend doesn’t continue too much or we’ll be sleeting. These heavy bands usually set up shop further north than expected. Id Expect that trend isn’t done yet

Well said. Merry Christmas to all, and to all, a snowy winter!

Merry Christmas!

Looking better around New Year's?

This is our moment x happy holidays comrades

A Ditty storm.

This warm up was projected to be more central/east, and ended up further west.

The future Ralphie 12z run smoked us

Here is the warm up no one thought was real - definitely verified as a much warmer period.

Wow. And this is what we are 'upgrading' to?

The new NAM was great with the last storm- weenie handbook page 67

Complete trash model .

Kids are all tucked in. Man what a magical time. It never gets old. Love this board. Wishing the best for all of you and yours. Twas the night before Christmas……

We desperately need the NAMs to score a win....though we know they likely wont.

9 times out 10 confluence is over modeled and weakens about 48 hours in on modeling

These are obnoxiously ignorant and offensive posts, which show little to no understanding about the workings of NOAA, NWS, numerical models, or even science in general. They're doubly odious after what all Federal employees, including those within NOAA, have had to deal with in this past year. You should be ashamed of yourself, if you are capable of that, for posting this utter drivel, especially at this time of year.