All Activity

Pretty wild the Huntley/Algonquin storm in Illinois doesn't have a tornado warning on it

Picked up 0.01" this morning. This evening's stuff is a whiff just to the northeast.

We sweated that one, but in the end all the damage was parallel to slightly divergent and just too wide a path for a tornado. You're not really likely to pull a half mile wide QLCS tornado around these parts. https://x.com/NWSGray/status/2069904757599134055

half of the people on the planet don't have significant, or any, access to technology or electricity to operate the technology

They're loaning me to BOX for that week. Time to do some damage.

Again with the late city addition to the watch. Why does the SPC kept doing that; so dumb.

An absolute banger of a day.

calling me willfully ignorant is a bit ironic after missing this post I made before yours: nice touch, but there are numerous and varied factors hat influence food production; specific evidence is required to conclude they are directly related look, I agree that the apocalypse (your word) isn't going visit you or me, largely because we both have the necessary resources to deal if it does. the point I am trying to make is most of the human population around the world aren't in a financial position to manage an apocalyptic (your word) weather event statistically relatable to AGW

It's flawless imho today.

Yeah I've had a sentence floating around the internal monologue lately that sums up ... "we seem to just be geologically incapable". I've been following heat waves since before the "synergistic heat wave" was identified ( recently decades) as a real track-able phenomenon, and since they have ... we've gotten our "heat waves" but ... I dunno - it really doesn't seem like we can do the synergy thing here. The wave spacing miss-alignment with the continental girth during seasonal contraction of the r-wave lengths idea seems to be the best fit that I've seen, too. Same. I was thinking that very same thing, we just need some very rare/long return rate timing perhaps. Maybe it's 1::300 year deal here. Or, it can't. At this point it's been 23 years since France and we've seen 610 dm high ridge nodes recurring everywhere it seems except here. Hell, Japan's had one or two.

Unfortunately, I'm on the extreme south edge of that.

COC!!

The Weather Company and Atmospheric G2 project a cooler-than-average late summer for the Great Lakes and Northeast, with all 3 months cooler than normal Jul-Sep. This is the opposite of what NOAA has for the Northeast.

Excerpt from latest Sterling NWS discussion. They should use this line for every event.... In short, it is a very complex forecast situation, so stay tuned to the latest forecast for updates as we get to look at more data.

Do we think Saturday morning will be dry in New Paltz?

AI will eventually “fix” the human problem

Paris, like NYC, has multiple sites. I referenced one such site.

You have to be careful in extrapolating to the future because the relationship between temperature and mortality is highly non-linear. The curve for mortality is very flat in the middle and steep at the edges particularly on the hot side. The reason more people die due to cool weather is the average temperature in the US is below the optimum temperature for mortality of around 70F. The problem is that warm side mortality rises very steeply with temperature. The more we warm the more likely that increased hot weather deaths are going to outstrip cold weather benefits. Per the chart you posted, hot-weather deaths already tripled in the US in the past 20 years. Going forward probably better to assume the same percentage increase, i.e. another tripling in 20 years rather than a linear increase. Just a swag of course. Note that the US will differ from the London chart I posted. Same shape but we are more used to extreme hot and cold weather. https://www.theclimatebrink.com/p/unraveling-the-debate-does-heat-or?r=27daj&triedRedirect=true https://www.theclimatebrink.com/p/unraveling-the-debate-does-heat-or-982

We never had heavy rain just a prolonged period of on and off light rain, occasionally moderate.

It's a rough time for sure. Not sure how/if it can be fixed.

My kind of weather. Let's do this

83F/DP 54F Partly Sunny Expected low 58F Can't bitch...especially the DPs.

Hopefully cold, rainy, and foggy for the 4th. I don’t want any 250th anni fireworks BS going on around me. Shut’em down

The official high for Paris was 105.6F.