Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. I would not sweat over the CMC/RGEM profiles. I've never modified other models guidance based on what the CMC is showing...
  3. If you want less sleet you seem to want either the primary to die early and coastal to form well south of the area (best case scenario for NYC and points south and east) or the primary dies out and coastal is weak and it's snow to a dry slot, the rgem has a pretty strong secondary tracking close to the coast hence the prolonged sleet, at least that's how I'm reading it. Personally I wouldn't mind prolonged sleet vs dry slot but if you don't want sleet you probably want a surpressed and south secondary I'd think.
  4. Do you want to be the pot or the kettle on the weather weenie message board, lol
  5. It is all going to be about how close that secondary low is tucked in to the coast off of NJ. Even a small move east or west will affect if/when we change over. Right now they all, except for the GFS, want to tuck that secondary low fairly close to NJ before moving away.
  6. As I was dropping some cold sandbags from my balloon and had a thought.. Generally, Im not a fan of depending on southern adjustment over the final 24 and go time, but I think this storm's going to do just that for the same reason that most of us thought this baby was getting suppressed. I'm not letting these model runs take me out of some of my original thinking. Well, at least i'm going use my original thinking to get my way.
  7. I’m here for it!!!
  8. I am going to shut up about this stuff (at least for a while) now because I think other posters might be over it. I will be watching for this now. I love microclimate stuff.
  9. If the Euro is right. Tens of thousands of Virginians will be suffering by Sunday or Monday because of no power and no heat............................
  10. why did they have to go 18 inches though...why not 8-14 that seems more appropriate..IMO its because they have fallen in love with the nbm
  11. SGF is now explicitly calling out the that several models are showing totals >14", they have certainly become much more bullish today.
  12. You guys are making my head hurt, not to mention I’m on my phone instead of desktop. Are you saying the same downslope component that warms certain areas (i.e. camp creek) actually works to pull cold air through valleys in the mountain chain from NC to TN in other places?
  13. This has dtx issuing a wwa then upgrading to a warning after 5 inches is already on the ground written all over it.
  14. No, Freezing rain. Was saying that the other globals with their sleet solutions are wrong according to this high res model.
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...