weathafella Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 51 hours: 8-12 from the canal to PYM. 12-18 PYM out north to the NH border including most of MA and all of CT/RI and into extreme s nh. 8-12 up to PWM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 10-12'' in 6 hours. I'd faint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 yeah, looks like landfall in SE CT.... wtf Inaccurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 It's not impossible for that track, but the NAM differences started early. It could be a modeling thing, but interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 51 hours: 8-12 from the canal to PYM. 12-18 PYM out north to the NH border including most of MA and all of CT/RI and into extreme s nh. 8-12 up to PWM. Dryslot danger for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wokeupthisam Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 up the canal. absolute snow bomb for parts of the area though. From your post to God's ears... Coastals become WAY more interesting in NH when the words "Track to the CC Canal" appear. Let's hope some other guidance agrees as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 And now we're inside that magical 48 hour range . LOL will be tonight at 0z (36 seems to be when at least the nam gets a little less twitchy), but if the 18z GFS starts to roll this way too it's verified better/general is better in the off hours. If it tricks NW like this, woohoo for you and my skiis in a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEK_VT_Upslope_Event Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 What would this track mean for R/S line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 It goes over the Cape and into MA Bay about 40 miles east of BOS. All of NE gets crushed other than outer cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 please stall... please please please please... Its not going anywhere fast...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Just enjoy the 18z porn run. Check out the simulated radar (I happen to love that tool for getting an impression of overall structure) for 42 hours out... That would be the Wednesday AM commute. Or non-commute, as it were. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 LOL will be tonight at 0z (36 seems to be when at least the nam gets a little less twitchy), but if the 18z GFS starts to roll this way too it's verified better/general is better in the off hours. If it tricks NW like this, woohoo for you and my skiis in a few days. Yes, agreed. If the GFS ticks NW, even more toward the Euro, I'll be thrilled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 What would this track mean for R/S line? It means the line is right on our asses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Cue Kevin........ This is fantastic, though. Brings our friends in eastern NY, all of SNE and includes some of our northern friends just because...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Fun to look at, but tossing this one. The changes at SIX HOURS in are hilarious. We'll see what the GFS and the 00z runs bring. But this run looks like 100% pure crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 It's not impossible for that track, but the NAM differences started early. It could be a modeling thing, but interesting. Pretty much a carbon copy of 12/9/05 track. I don't think its impossible either, but I would hedge definitely closer to the consensus. I don't think there is a glaring reason to pick a Buzzards Bay track at this point...just keeping in mind that its within the envelope of possible solutions and that these storms can tick NW as you get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 10-12'' in 6 hours. I'd faint. This run is ideal for especially you and verbatim I, but in relaity I'd probably wrestle the dry slot....probably go se of this, anyway.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 It's not impossible for that track, but the NAM differences started early. It could be a modeling thing, but interesting. NAM 12h 500mb presentation is very similar to the 12z GFS at 18h. Its a little stronger...but it's just adjusting towards the GFS early on (and probably the EC). It's not an outlandish/unprecedented change...it's just closer to the GFS now early in the game. Sure after 36 it's been lousy but this is subjectively actually what Typhoon Tip was hinting at in older runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Biggest swath of 12-18 I've seen yet anywhere on any graphic. From just s of PYM including all of SNE almost up into PWM. Toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 It's not impossible for that track, but the NAM differences started early. It could be a modeling thing, but interesting. yeah it could. i wouldn't lean that way right now...but it's within the realm or cone of uncertainty. not like it it jumped to ALB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Stalled or meandering just east of PWM.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I don't think I could be clutching it any tighter. God I hope it wins. I think you made a baby with the 18z NAM. Here's the ultrasound. Prepare for a paternity test. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 please stall... please please please please... yes yes ...WTF are the 250 HPA anomalies are they 2.5 or > ? could they be? Mets....por favor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mad River Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Feeling far less grumpy right now. Of course talk to me after the 00z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 This run is ideal for especially you and verbatim I, but in relaity I'd probably wrestle the dry slot....probably go se of this, anyway.... Yeah DS gets to ORH and near ASH, but not before a massive snow bomb..lol. It does have comma head resemblance to Dec '05. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Stalled or meandering just east of PWM.... Like to see that a bit quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 This run is ideal for especially you and verbatim I, but in relaity I'd probably wrestle the dry slot....probably go se of this, anyway.... Yeah, probably. GFS probably b*tch slaps us back to the 8-14'' reality, which is still nothing to sneeze at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 Fun to look at, but tossing this one. The changes at SIX HOURS in are hilarious. We'll see what the GFS and the 00z runs bring. But this run looks like 100% pure crap Yeah, it's a tough solution to buy given the disparity between the 12z run even at 6h. I wouldn't mind it verifying though. That would be some uber snowfall rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 The H7 low catches the system by about 42 hours. Amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Fun to look at, but tossing this one. The changes at SIX HOURS in are hilarious. We'll see what the GFS and the 00z runs bring. But this run looks like 100% pure crap Didn't Mike say something about visiting Attleboro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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