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The warmer minimums this month relative to the maximums have been driving the departures. NYC stands out at the coolest major urban station with the trees too close to the sensor giving an assist to the cooler minimums relative to the nearby urban sites. NJ and Eastern PA have been the warmest sites this month to date. New England has been the coolest this month which was further from the record ridge to our south.

9-1 to 9-22 minimum departures 

MPO.. +3.0°

NBW…+4.4°

PHL….+5.2°

SMQ…+3.6°

EWR….+2.6°

NYC…..+0.8°

LGA…..+1.4°

JFK……+3.1°

ISP……..+1.8°

BDR…..+0.7°

HPN…..+2.2°

IMG_7680.thumb.png.d9b9d876cc7ce6563bd6bcac8c3d7b0d.png

 

IMG_7681.thumb.png.fb1db21f9e695536b5d1c1df7b64b3cd.png

 

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12 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

And 6z Euro. Maybe spoke too soon.

Even the EPS moves the heavier precip off shore for the most part except from Long Island into eastern New England where the most significant impact from this storm will verify most likely at the moment - but things trending more towards the GFS/Canadian solution west of Long Island this run at least

qpf_acc-mean-imp.conus.png

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8 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

Even the EPS moves the heavier precip off shore for the most part except from Long Island into eastern New England where the most significant impact from this storm will verify most likely at the moment - but things trending more towards the GFS/Canadian solution west of Long Island this run at least

qpf_acc-mean-imp.conus.png

Cmc never showed a hook into NJ like some model runs did.

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35 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

Even the EPS moves the heavier precip off shore for the most part except from Long Island into eastern New England where the most significant impact from this storm will verify most likely at the moment - but things trending more towards the GFS/Canadian solution west of Long Island this run at least

qpf_acc-mean-imp.conus.png

Eps is west on this run. Nothing is set in stone yet.

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20 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Eps is west on this run. Nothing is set in stone yet.

what are you talking about ???? the 0Z EPS trended east with heavier precip from its 12Z yesterday run !!

qpf_acc-mean-imp.conus.pngqpf_acc-mean-imp.conus.png

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5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

6z

only 12Z (yesterday) and 0Z map posted - regardless as of now all the significant impact will be from Long Island up into eastern New England regarding precip totals - wind and coastal flooding will have a high impact along the coast all the way down through the mid Atlantic region

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It will find a way to rain on the weekend especially here on the CT Shoreline. Bridgeport has seen rain nearly every weekend going back to July. I bolded the weekend days below to show how consistent this pattern has been. 
 

Rainfall Data for IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT, CT
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
2026-07-01 1.03
2026-07-02 0.00
2026-07-03 0.00
2026-07-04 0.46
2026-07-05 0.95
2026-07-06 2.85
2026-07-07 T
2026-07-08 0.00
2026-07-09 0.00
2026-07-10 0.00
2026-07-11 0.00
2026-07-12 0.00
2026-07-13 0.00
2026-07-14 0.00
2026-07-15 0.00
2026-07-16 0.00
2026-07-17 0.00
2026-07-18 1.15
2026-07-19 0.00
2026-07-20 0.00
2026-07-21 2.59
2026-07-22 0.00
2026-07-23 0.00
2026-07-24 0.00
2026-07-25 0.00
2026-07-26 0.00
2026-07-27 0.00
2026-07-28 T
2026-07-29 2.90
2026-07-30 0.40
2026-07-31 0.00
2026-08-01 0.00
2026-08-02 0.02
2026-08-03 0.97
2026-08-04 0.00
2026-08-05 T
2026-08-06 T
2026-08-07 0.33
2026-08-08 0.05
2026-08-09 0.00
2026-08-10 0.02
2026-08-11 0.00
2026-08-12 0.00
2026-08-13 0.98
2026-08-14 0.04
2026-08-15 0.00
2026-08-16 0.03
2026-08-17 0.18
2026-08-18 T
2026-08-19 0.00
2026-08-20 1.36
2026-08-21 0.00
2026-08-22 0.02
2026-08-23 2.36
2026-08-24 T
2026-08-25 0.00
2026-08-26 0.00
2026-08-27 T
2026-08-28 T
2026-08-29 0.00
2026-08-30 0.03
2026-08-31 T
2026-09-01 1.12
2026-09-02 0.09
2026-09-03 0.11
2026-09-04 0.29
2026-09-05 0.12
2026-09-06 0.01
2026-09-07 0.00
2026-09-08 0.00
2026-09-09 0.00
2026-09-10 T
2026-09-11 0.00
2026-09-12 0.00
2026-09-13 4.25
2026-09-14 0.00
2026-09-15 0.00
2026-09-16 T
2026-09-17 T
2026-09-18 0.01
2026-09-19 0.00
2026-09-20 0.43
2026-09-21 0.01
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On 9/21/2026 at 4:53 PM, LibertyBell said:

Nice that you included MPO, I think my sensors are properly situated but even so I notice a small variance between them. About +/- 2 degrees. I usually just take the average between them. I'm usually around MPO temperature sometimes a degree or two higher or lower. At night the variation can be a bit more, sometimes 3 or 4 degrees, usually higher. Maybe my vegetation is causing that?

If the difference is mostly on clear nights with calm winds,  then it could just be variations in radiational cooling. Even a very light wind can make a difference between a spot that has completely calm winds. Plus there could be some differences related to varying altitudes. 
 

Data for September 1, 2026 through September 23, 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
PA POCONO MOUNTAINS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT WBAN 53.9
NJ HIGHLAND LAKES 1SW COOP 54.7
NJ BELVIDERE BRIDGE COOP 56.5
NJ SCHOOLEY'S MOUNTAIN 1 SW COOP 56.5
NJ SUSSEX AIRPORT WBAN 56.8
PA MARTINS CREEK COOP 57.2
PA EAST STROUDSBURG COOP 57.7
PA LEHIGHTON 1SSW COOP 57.9
PA BELTZVILLE DAM COOP 58.3
PA BLUE MARSH LAKE COOP 58.4
NJ FLEMINGTON 5 NNW COOP 58.4
NJ SOMERSET AIRPORT WBAN 58.8
PA ALLENTOWN LEHIGH VALLEY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 59.6
NJ PHILLIPSBURG-EASTON BRIDGE COOP 59.7
NJ BOONTON 1 SE COOP 59.7
PA SELLERSVILLE COOP 59.8
NJ AEROFLEX-ANDOVER AIRPORT WBAN 59.8


 

Climatological Data for Mount Pocono Area, PA (ThreadEx) - September 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Sum 1576 1186 - - 78 33 3.19
Average 71.6 53.9 62.8 2.3 - - -
Normal 70.0 50.9 60.5 - 121 21 4.03
2026-09-01 82 65 73.5 10.0 0 9 0.10
2026-09-02 69 62 65.5 2.3 0 1 0.41
2026-09-03 81 62 71.5 8.5 0 7 0.37
2026-09-04 76 63 69.5 6.7 0 5 0.00
2026-09-05 73 57 65.0 2.5 0 0 0.00
2026-09-06 72 52 62.0 -0.2 3 0 0.00
2026-09-07 72 48 60.0 -2.0 5 0 0.00
2026-09-08 74 47 60.5 -1.2 4 0 0.00
2026-09-09 75 53 64.0 2.6 1 0 0.01
2026-09-10 78 62 70.0 8.9 0 5 0.23
2026-09-11 71 50 60.5 -0.3 4 0 0.00
2026-09-12 72 46 59.0 -1.4 6 0 T
2026-09-13 76 62 69.0 8.9 0 4 0.44
2026-09-14 65 44 54.5 -5.3 10 0 0.00
2026-09-15 67 39 53.0 -6.4 12 0 0.00
2026-09-16 77 51 64.0 4.9 1 0 0.00
2026-09-17 71 63 67.0 8.3 0 2 0.66
2026-09-18 74 54 64.0 5.6 1 0 0.00
2026-09-19 63 53 58.0 0.0 7 0 0.05
2026-09-20 64 55 59.5 1.8 5 0 0.76
2026-09-21 64 50 57.0 -0.3 8 0 0.14
2026-09-22 60 48 54.0 -2.9 11 0 0.02
2026-09-23 M M M M M M M
2026-09-24 M M M M M M M
2026-09-25 M M M M M M M
2026-09-26 M M M M M M M
2026-09-27 M M M M M M M
2026-09-28 M M M M M M M
2026-09-29 M M M M M M M
2026-09-30 M M M M M M M
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65 / 47 a break in the muck for the most part today and thursday for a 48 hour reprieve then deal with the cutoff / ULL and subsequent coastal storm ;ater Friday through Sunday timed unfortunately with the weekend.  1-3 inches of rain more east. Beyond there overall normal to warmer 9/30 - 10/6.


GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif 

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 94 (1970)
NYC: 97 (1895)
LGA: 93 (1970)
JFK: 90 (1970)


Lows:

EWR: 40 (1947)
NYC: 41 (1947)
LGA: 42 (1947)
JFK: 43 (1963)

Historical:

 

 

1722: La Nouvelle-Orléans (New Orleans) was founded May 7, 1718, by the French Mississippi Company, under the direction of Jean-Baptiste Le Moyne de Bienville, on land inhabited by the Chitimacha. Four years later, a hurricane destroys nearly every building in the village, including the only church and hospital.

1785: The "most tremendous gale of wind known in this country" passed over the Lower Chesapeake Bay and went along a track very similar to the Chesapeake-Potomac Hurricane of 1933. At Norfolk, lower stories of dwellings were flooded. Warehouses were totally carried away by the storm surge, causing large amounts of salt, sugar, corn, and lumber to disappear. A large number of cattle drowned, and people hung onto trees for dear life during the tempest. At Portsmouth, the entire town was submerged. Forrest's book, Sketches of Norfolk, offers this account of the storm: " This year, 1785, was noted for the highest tide ever before known to Norfolk, completely deluging a large portion of its site on the water side". Almost all ships in the area were driven from their moorings near Norfolk. No less than 30 vessels were seen beached after the storm. Damages totaled £30,000. At least two died due to shipping disasters. After ravaging Virginia, the system tracked up the coast to Boston.  (Ref. Hurricane of 1785)

1815 - One of the greatest hurricanes to strike New England made landfall at Long Island and crossed Massachusetts and New Hampshire. It was the worst tempest in nearly two hundred years, equal to the hurricane which struck in 1938, and one of a series of severe summer and autumn storms to affect shipping lanes that year. (David Ludlum)

1903: Bakersfield, CA dropped to 31°, their earliest below freezing temperature.  (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
 

1904 - The temperature at Charlotteburg, NJ, dipped to 23 degrees, the coldest reading of record for so early in the autumn for the state. (The Weather Channel)


1937: From summer to winter. The temperature was 101 at Wheaton. Then a cold front came through causing the mercury to tumble below freezing. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)
 

1975: On September 22, Hurricane Eloise intensified to attain Category 2 strength, and became a major hurricane of Category 3 status shortly after that as it turned towards the northeast. Several ships penetrated the storm's center during its passage through the Gulf. Hurricane Eloise continued to strengthen until it reached its peak winds of 125 mph and a minimum barometric pressure of about 955 mbar. It moved ashore along the Florida Panhandle near Panama City on September 23.

1983 - A thunderstorm downburst caused a timber blowdown in the Kaibab National Forest north of the Grand Canyon. Two hundred acres were completely destroyed, and scattered destruction occurred across another 3300 acres. Many trees were snapped off 15 to 30 feet above ground level. (The Weather Channel)

1984: An early season snowstorm brought more than a foot of snow to some locations in the northern Plains and Rockies. Amounts of 6 to 12 inches were common over Harding and Perkins Counties as well as portions of Meade and Butte Counties in South Dakota. Camp Crook in Harding County reported 14 inches. Roads in these areas were covered with snow and slush and became icy. It was the snowiest September day on record at Sheridan, WY and Billings, MT with 12.9 inches and 6.2 inches respectively. Other snowfall totals included: Broadus, MT: 12 inches, Columbus, MT: 10 inches, Nye, MT: 10 inches, Clearmont, MT: 10 inches, Hysham, MT: 8 inches, Red Lodge, MT: 7 inches. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1985: Early snow over portions of Minnesota and western Wisconsin. Just under a half inch (.4) recorded at the Twin City Airport. Most of it fell during the afternoon. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1987 - Autumn began on a rather pleasant note for much of the nation. Showers and thunderstorms were confined to Florida and the southwestern deserts. Warm weather continued in the western U.S., and began to spread into the Great Plains Region, but even in the southwestern deserts readings remained below 100 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front in the south central U.S. produced severe weather in Oklahoma during the afternoon and early evening hours. Thunderstorms produced softball size hail near Noble and Enterprise, and baseball size hail at Lequire and Kinta. A tornado near Noble OK destroyed a mobile home injuring one person. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Seventeen cities in the north central U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Devils Lake ND with a reading of 22 degrees. Jackson KY reported a record low of 41 degrees during the late afternoon. Strong northwesterly winds ushering cold air into the central and northeastern U.S. gusted to 55 mph at Indianapolis IND. Winds along the cold front gusted to 65 mph at Norfolk VA, and thunderstorms along the cold front deluged Roseland NJ with 2.25 inches of rain in one hour. The temperature at Richmond VA plunged from 84 degrees to 54 degrees in two hours. Snow and sleet was reported at Binghamton NY. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)


1995: Fort Wayne, IN reported its earliest frost on record as the morning low plunged to 29°. Springfield, IL recorded their earliest 32 temperature on record. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1996: A lightning strike from a severe thunderstorm damaged or destroyed 19 boats at Hobbs Hollow Marina on Table Rock Lake near the town of Viola, MO. Damage was estimated at $500,000 dollars. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1998: In a remarkable span of 35 days from August 19th until September 23rd, 10 named tropical cyclones formed in the Atlantic; 4 of which made landfall in the United States. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2000 : The first snowstorm of the season brought heavy snow to parts of the Rockies. While the heaviest snow fell north of Denver, CO, 6 inches was reported at Boulder, 4 inches at Castle Rock and Morrison, CO. Denver, CO received just 0.2 inch as most of the precipitation fell as a cold rain. The foothills west of Denver received 5 to 10 inches. Further north, Cheyenne, WY received an additional 6.4 inches of snow bringing the storm total to 11.8 inches. Scottsbluff, NE received 5.7 inches of snow over two days. Behind the storm, Shirley Basin, WY dropped to 2°.  The Dallas/Fort Worth Airport in Texas recorded 0.01 inches of rain just before midnight on this date. This ended the longest streak of consecutive days without rainfall at the site of 84 days. The previous record was 58 days. Relief would finally arrive in October as beneficial rainfall fell. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
 

2005 - Hurricane Rita reached the Texas/Louisiana border area near Sabine Pass as a category-3 hurricane with maximum sustained winds near 120 mph. A storm surge of at least 15 feet flooded parts of Cameron, Jefferson Davis, Terrebonne and Vermilion parishes, where sugar cane crop losses were estimated near $300 million. An 8-foot storm surge in New Orleans overtopped the provisionally-repaired levees (from Hurricane Katrina damage) and caused additional flooding. A total of 10 fatalities were reported, and preliminary damage estimates ranged between $4-5 billion.

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38 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said:

The model tracking and back and forth banter on this storm is nice practice for the upcoming winter lol 

But it also means when the real stuff happens everyone's already going be that much more annoyed with each other :P

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7 hours ago, bluewave said:

If the difference is mostly on clear nights with calm winds,  then it could just be variations in radiational cooling. Even a very light wind can make a difference between a spot that has completely calm winds. Plus there could be some differences related to varying altitudes. 
 

Data for September 1, 2026 through September 23, 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
PA POCONO MOUNTAINS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT WBAN 53.9
NJ HIGHLAND LAKES 1SW COOP 54.7
NJ BELVIDERE BRIDGE COOP 56.5
NJ SCHOOLEY'S MOUNTAIN 1 SW COOP 56.5
NJ SUSSEX AIRPORT WBAN 56.8
PA MARTINS CREEK COOP 57.2
PA EAST STROUDSBURG COOP 57.7
PA LEHIGHTON 1SSW COOP 57.9
PA BELTZVILLE DAM COOP 58.3
PA BLUE MARSH LAKE COOP 58.4
NJ FLEMINGTON 5 NNW COOP 58.4
NJ SOMERSET AIRPORT WBAN 58.8
PA ALLENTOWN LEHIGH VALLEY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 59.6
NJ PHILLIPSBURG-EASTON BRIDGE COOP 59.7
NJ BOONTON 1 SE COOP 59.7
PA SELLERSVILLE COOP 59.8
NJ AEROFLEX-ANDOVER AIRPORT WBAN 59.8


 

Climatological Data for Mount Pocono Area, PA (ThreadEx) - September 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Sum 1576 1186 - - 78 33 3.19
Average 71.6 53.9 62.8 2.3 - - -
Normal 70.0 50.9 60.5 - 121 21 4.03
2026-09-01 82 65 73.5 10.0 0 9 0.10
2026-09-02 69 62 65.5 2.3 0 1 0.41
2026-09-03 81 62 71.5 8.5 0 7 0.37
2026-09-04 76 63 69.5 6.7 0 5 0.00
2026-09-05 73 57 65.0 2.5 0 0 0.00
2026-09-06 72 52 62.0 -0.2 3 0 0.00
2026-09-07 72 48 60.0 -2.0 5 0 0.00
2026-09-08 74 47 60.5 -1.2 4 0 0.00
2026-09-09 75 53 64.0 2.6 1 0 0.01
2026-09-10 78 62 70.0 8.9 0 5 0.23
2026-09-11 71 50 60.5 -0.3 4 0 0.00
2026-09-12 72 46 59.0 -1.4 6 0 T
2026-09-13 76 62 69.0 8.9 0 4 0.44
2026-09-14 65 44 54.5 -5.3 10 0 0.00
2026-09-15 67 39 53.0 -6.4 12 0 0.00
2026-09-16 77 51 64.0 4.9 1 0 0.00
2026-09-17 71 63 67.0 8.3 0 2 0.66
2026-09-18 74 54 64.0 5.6 1 0 0.00
2026-09-19 63 53 58.0 0.0 7 0 0.05
2026-09-20 64 55 59.5 1.8 5 0 0.76
2026-09-21 64 50 57.0 -0.3 8 0 0.14
2026-09-22 60 48 54.0 -2.9 11 0 0.02
2026-09-23 M M M M M M M
2026-09-24 M M M M M M M
2026-09-25 M M M M M M M
2026-09-26 M M M M M M M
2026-09-27 M M M M M M M
2026-09-28 M M M M M M M
2026-09-29 M M M M M M M
2026-09-30 M M M M M M M

Tonight it's going to be very similar with clear skies and gusty winds I'm glad there's not going to be much rain here outside of a few showers on Sunday. The other days are supposed to be partly sunny just like today. 

Are there any snowfall coops around here besides the one at Lake Harmony?

 

3 hours ago, nycwinter said:

had to turn on the heat last night..

You need to change your name from NYCWINTER to NYCWEENIE.

28 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

Blue skies and breezy. Feels like fall for sure. 

Out here too 35 mph gusts but thankfully not expecting any rain here outside of a few showers on Sunday. Partly sunny on all the other days.

 

HMF9GxjXIAALb_p (1).jpg

HMF9GxbW0AAGb5k (1).jpg

HMF9GxXXwAES2Qc (1).jpg

HMF9GxeWUAA2t9I (1).jpg

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4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Tonight it's going to be very similar with clear skies and gusty winds I'm glad there's not going to be much rain here outside of a few showers on Sunday. The other days are supposed to be partly sunny just like today. 

Are there any snowfall coops around here besides the one at Lake Harmony?

 

You need to change your name from NYCWINTER to NYCWEENIE.

Out here too 35 mph gusts but thankfully not expecting any rain here outside of a few showers on Sunday. Partly sunny on all the other days.

 

HMF9GxjXIAALb_p (1).jpg

HMF9GxbW0AAGb5k (1).jpg

HMF9GxXXwAES2Qc (1).jpg

HMF9GxeWUAA2t9I (1).jpg

Looks like a beautiful, quiet and peaceful place you got there !

Much wildlife come roaming through?

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17 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Looks like a beautiful, quiet and peaceful place you got there !

Much wildlife come roaming through?

Funny you should ask. A deer came right by my kitchen windows today. Stayed for three hours and even closed her eyes and fell asleep while I was taking pictures and videos of her. I'd upload a few but I think I'm at my upload limit. I'll try to clear out a few older ones and add them to this post.

Edit it let me upload just one right now.

20260923_120707.jpg

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46 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Tonight it's going to be very similar with clear skies and gusty winds I'm glad there's not going to be much rain here outside of a few showers on Sunday. The other days are supposed to be partly sunny just like today. 

Are there any snowfall coops around here besides the one at Lake Harmony?

A combination of Cocorahs and COOP sites. Your area does pretty well and is on par with MPO. It’s too bad they don’t have a contract snowfall observer at MPO. Since there is quite a bit of missing snowfall data there when there weren’t volunteer observers nearby in the past.

Data for October 1, 2025 through April 30, 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
LAKE HARMONY 2.4 WNW CoCoRaHS 60.4
PORTLAND 2.7 WNW CoCoRaHS 50.2
BOWMANSTOWN 3.0 WSW CoCoRaHS 41.8
PALMERTON 5.8 ENE CoCoRaHS 41.6
TATAMY 0.2 WNW CoCoRaHS 39.0
SLATINGTON 6.0 WSW CoCoRaHS 38.7
TREMONT 0.4 NNW CoCoRaHS 37.9
MARTINS CREEK COOP 37.7
SCHNECKSVILLE 1.7 ENE CoCoRaHS 37.4
NAZARETH 1.1 W CoCoRaHS 36.8
ALLENTOWN LEHIGH VALLEY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 35.5


 

Data for October 1, 2025 through April 30, 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
RICHMONDALE 0.1 NE CoCoRaHS 59.1
MILFORD 8.7 NW CoCoRaHS 58.1
MOUNT POCONO 0.7 N CoCoRaHS 57.9
DYBERRY 2.1 W CoCoRaHS 56.7
CANADENSIS EAST COOP 56.1
PLEASANT MOUNT 1 W COOP 53.8
EAST STROUDSBURG COOP 53.5
LORDS VALLEY 2.5 SE CoCoRaHS 52.6
CANAAN - 11 CoCoRaHS 52.3
MOSCOW 4.9 E CoCoRaHS 51.5
EFFORT 3.2 NNW CoCoRaHS 46.9
PROMPTON DAM COOP 42.0
WEST HAZLETON 3.2 NNE CoCoRaHS 38.5
WILKES-BARRE/SCRANTON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 37.8
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