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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand


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Was reading up about downtown Springfield/Forest Park area...pretty crazy. Forest Park closed until further notice due to storm damage. Was just at the Forest Park Zoo last weekend for Bew at the Zoo. When I parked at the T station, saw the watch was out, and those storms in east-central NY, I knew Springfield would get crushed. Don't think it was bad on my end though...a good 10-15 minutes northeast of that area. 

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On 8/7/2026 at 11:30 PM, Ginx snewx said:

Bullshit its very very true. Hair sticks up and gives you a tingling feeling, you become a negative 

 

On 8/8/2026 at 9:04 AM, FXWX said:

Very well documented for decades... 

Wanted to respond to this earlier since it's pretty important lightning safety but it is 100% true. People can be a great source as a connecting leader between the ground and the forming stepped leader with positive charges flowing up the connecting leader (which can be people) and when the stepped leader establishes a connection with a connecting leader...lightning! In fact, because of this the "flash" actually travels from the ground to the cloud but the whole process is so quick we see it was going from the ground to the cloud.

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1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Min 59.5°

Deep summer may be on its last legs…especially NNE. 

Seeing subtle signs of a 'back stressed' summer synopsis.  Not personally ready to go 'breaking', per se. I mean solar max ends only just today. These things take time.  In fact, we had cooler last month in July for a stretch. 

However, in the general super synoptic aspect/layout the summer polar branch of the westerlies appears to be sinking S of 50 N (~) latitude. This was not the case in July.  July's cool down(s) was a pretty glaring example of cheating, a leitmotif this summer up here in the NE.  This summer appeared to single out our region for repeating heat offsets - yes ...this, despite being above normal. It could have been much worse.  I feel we can't go by that metric so much though, now that everything in every direction seems to sniff like Gretta-taint at this point and probably forever more... We have to judge these through a relativistic lens.

Having said that,  heights are also still lingering around 582 DM, a summer value by convention.  Still the subtle sign is both the jet coming S a bit, but also that the next heat expansion appears situating farther S across the CONUS .. ~ 120 thru 180 or so hours. This exposes our region to more fast mid level over top flow and probably ablates heat.  Also in lieu of cloud and convection traffic.  Heh, like trying to set up a lemonade stand on an Interstate.   Beyond that into the deeper range, general climo starts to weigh -

 

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2 hours ago, dendrite said:

Min 59.5°

Deep summer may be on its last legs…especially NNE. 

We probably step off the summer plateau on Wednesday.  After 42 days (July 1 thru tomorrow) with our mean between 65 and 66, August 12 is likely to be 64.xy, as the long slide begins.

(The equivalent winter bottom is much shorter - the period within 1° F of the current coldest, 13.55°, is only 12 days, January 18-29.) 

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On 8/9/2026 at 8:55 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

I was thinking about the exact precision I have missed storms this summer. Every direction , every surrounding town really. Union area up to Sturbridge multiple times, S and SE of here . Ginx to Se CT. Hartford got crushed Friday night, BDL all summer , all of western and SW CT and Springfield last night. And now Stein drops the Roman helmet to suffocate 

Sounds like some sort of Mortal Kombat finishing move I'm unfamiliar with...

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13 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Nope, not with a wind off the harbor and dews lower. Pretty much nude.

Epic sunset.

@CoastalWx gets more impressed w/ a sunset now?  My how have the standards have fallen!  No problem ragging on convection though! :lol:  He likes pleasant and quiet wx it seems now!

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