Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

4” in Boston on the 18z NAM and about 2 tenths on the 00z through 20 hours 

[SouthCoastMA]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

NAM also .

 

some knew 

NAM radar sim is comically wrong, however

[SouthCoastMA]

HRRR looked reasonable. A general .5-1.5"

[CoastalWx]

Should be a good rain to soak in later tonight and tomorrow. I came home to El Paso. Ground is hard as a rock. Windy here tomorrow too.

[Great Snow 1717]

So far this has been the perfect" pre season game" for the methuen area...not a drop of rain has fallen while areas to the south have been "buried"....

#TOTALWASTELAND

 

[CT Valley Snowman]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Radar looks worse than the US team tonight. And that’s hard to do 

This is what we are.  A very good but not top level team.  Can't make mistakes like they did tonight and expect to beat a top 10 team. 

[SouthCoastMA]

Have to wonder if that heavy rain near the islands makes it this far north before it gets blasted east. 

[Torch Tiger]

[WinterWolf]

17 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

So far this has been the perfect" pre season game" for the methuen area...not a drop of rain has fallen while areas to the south have been "buried"....

#TOTALWASTELAND

 

2-3ft here….not even a dusting in Methuen. Good thing it’s not 5-6 months from now. 

[dendrite]

Damn 5.47” for Shabbs

[vortex95]

6 hours ago, dendrite said:

NCEP initializing the HRRR and NAM with tequila now so we won’t miss them when they’re gone. 

This is one of the worst short-range busts for rainfall I have seen.  You go back a few days, and all global models has solid 1-3" at least up to the MA Pike and 3-6" widespread S of that!  And then the difference between the 06/06z and 12z HRRR.  Oooo, the HRRR brings it back N  big time and the 3/12km NAM stay the course from 06z  And now?  W-T-...?  KBED not even a drop yet.  Virga storm!

I know the event is not over yet, but too little too late it seems.  Only swrn/srn CT verified well. 

Good thing this isn't winter, otherwise we'd have to drag this classic GIF out!!  CoastalWx should post the same GIF but w/ the faces of ppl on the forum included (does he still have that GIF saved?).
 

[vortex95]

6 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

0.0” so far 

 

[vortex95]

5 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

I don’t think I had any rain this month until an hour ago.

"Diamond dust" rain???

[codfishsnowman]

 

Cef not even .25 and bdl .85

I think .4 around here?

Thank God it's not snow lol

[vortex95]

Well, I should have checked through *all* latest models.  The 00z RRFS does this, and the 00z ECMWF this.  So partially salvage it?

The sfc low is just off the S NJ coast now, and has yet to start to wrap up, and it passes about 80 mi SE of ACK.  The solid ENE sfc gradient (for July) is still coming, so I guess what the RRFS and ECMWF are showing could happen? 
 

[H2Otown_WX]

5 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

up to about 4 here.   Still going but much lighter

Nice, your area jackpotted I think. Only around an inch here if I had to guess.

[codfishsnowman]

Well at least here it's been the light kind that they say is great for the lawns