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Ju-ply 2026 Obs and Disco - Kicking it off with heat, humidity, and ... severe?


weatherwiz
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1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Clear sky is trying to punch into VT from the west, but it’s a race from the north to see if it gets pinched off.

75.8°

image.gif

It was interesting to see the sky go blue suddenly, temp skyrocketed, but now back in the smoke and temp down again.

 

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13 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

It was interesting to see the sky go blue suddenly, temp skyrocketed, but now back in the smoke and temp down again.

 

Yup…had brief milky blue mixing in and warmed up to 82°. Now dark and yellow again and dropping.

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They've got no way to stop that fire storm up there, either.

this may be a smoke problem going forward ... clearly wasn't assessed in/for today - not sure how it's done tomorrow.  Altho- we may end up with more a NW component which could shunt it maybe NYC ish?

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12z Euro/GFS both pushing the bounds of credibility with that (apparently) unconstrained trough depth around the 21s/22nd ...

The indexes have an unusually amplified +PNA numerically signaled in that time range, so some sort of anomaly is okay but ... egads!  doesn't have to -3.5 SD, either.  I guess in order to balance the hemisphere for all that French rage the models have to hang their asses over somewhere to make the world fair.. lol

image.png.7ba90d19ae7025aec18f586c8069165d.png

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1 hour ago, wxeyeNH said:

The thick smoke has moved out but wow, the thickest smoke layer I have ever seen.  Below is the Nest Cam time lapse. It started around 9am.  At that time we had the cirrus overhead with the MCS but skies were basically clear after that.  The temperature has jumped  7F in the past hour.  82/69

I'm not sure why the camera was changing the hue of the sky.  Maybe to adjust for the darkness?  

https://video.nest.com/clip/3886a63d346441b9a07cb5463627d987.mp4

 

The smoke has moved here.  Sun tried and failed to work about noon, and by 1:30 we had that same dingy yellow/brown that dendrite posted.  The only thicker smoke I can recall was when I was working at a forest fire.
No 90s here; possibly not even 80s.

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8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

12z Euro/GFS both pushing the bounds of credibility with that (apparently) unconstrained trough depth around the 21s/22nd ...

The indexes have an unusually amplified +PNA numerically signaled in that time range, so some sort of anomaly is okay but ... egads!  doesn't have to -3.5 SD, either.  I guess in order to balance the hemisphere for all that French rage the models have to hang their asses over somewhere to make the world fair.. lol

image.png.7ba90d19ae7025aec18f586c8069165d.png

Not their ensembles

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2 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

79 here.  Everything is yellow/orange

Ya its nasty looking.. tomorrow doesnt look any better now..

 

NWS Boston

@NWSBoston

·

10m

Another plume of wildfire smoke is likely to shift southward into the region in larger concentrations Weds, some of it detectable at the surface. This will again limit temperatures while also bringing hazy skies and a hint of a smoky smell in the air tomorrow.

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16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Not their ensembles

Yeah ...ensembles means are not likely to be as deep as operational versions at this range.

It's just logic.  If you have a pool of members, there's apt to be some that are always less - that weighting skews the mean... duh. 

So when the operational are that deep, the ensembles look like this, below - which is consistent with their summer +PNA during that time range.  Which is still cold for warm enthusiasts unfortunately

image.png.8ca7652864669c367f2c49474b6cd0ab.png

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2 hours ago, SJonesWX said:

-10 degree temp bust here

smoke 'em if you got 'em

Forecast 97, looks like 87 will do it:

image.png.915c41490381ef9d59285f2029c4ec55.png

1 hour ago, 512high said:

88/72 Home Davis

 

Had to get a few items for dinner (wife asked)...I saw Halloween Candy in the aisle already! WTF

The wife and I were out earlier today and she points out some pumpkin spice something or other saying "Already?!"  Get it early, get it often.  Not sure it ever goes away! :lol:

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