Junorch obs and discussion 2026

[CoastalWx]

End of ensembles trying to shift low heights into SE Canada. Wtf 

[moneypitmike]

1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

We cloud. So much for a hot sunny Saturday 

I was going to post the same thing  We had some decent sun until about 10:00.  Pretty much clouds ever since.  

Out to mow my postage stamp-size of a lawn.  Be back in 20 minutes. 

 

67*

[ineedsnow]

23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

End of ensembles trying to shift low heights into SE Canada. Wtf 

Hopefully that extends into July

[ineedsnow]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

I'll take the 3km please

We hope its right but I wish it was a couple hours earlier.. might be some weakening by then

[CoastalWx]

22 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Hopefully that extends into July

Let’s get an all out torch 

[Torch Tiger]

39 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

We hope its right but I wish it was a couple hours earlier.. might be some weakening by then

You'll hopefully see a few storms.  Yeah everything collapses rapidly, we're all expecting a dry fropa besides Coastalwx

[Torch Tiger]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I think you know the answer . That doesn’t wash Fert in

certain mets have been touting plenty of storms and downpours tonight, what could possibly go wrong?!  You don't trust them?  Drop the fert and be done with it!

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

certain mets have been touting plenty of storms and downpours tonight, what could possibly go wrong?!  You don't trust them?  Drop the fert and be done with it!

I think 50/50 shot of getting a storm here. Or at least .25 which is minimum needed to wash in . Late timing generally weakens storms  but it’s not impossible 

[Torch Tiger]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I think 50/50 shot of getting a storm here. Or at least .25 which is minimum needed to wash in . Late timing generally weakens storms  but it’s not impossible 

HRRR is around that .25" ish

[vortex95]

20 hours ago, kdxken said:

Ahead of the tornadoes, communities across the region were battered by massive hailstones, with baseball-sized hail reported in multiple towns. Cape Cod experienced vivid, continuous lightning for nearly three hours that evening

The Cape Cod CONS LTG. I am pretty sure it was from a second wave after the 3 tornadic supercells in the afternoon.  A few years ago, high quality photos surfaced taken from central MA showing local damage and also showed a very crisp and impressive CB in the distance to the E close to sunset.  So that would jibe w/ the Cape Cod LTG.

[dendrite]

Training showers now. Heat cancel.

71.8/63

[vortex95]

14 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

AC cranked last two days. Summer is here. Months and months left.

Definitely a CoastalWx switch I see.  He is leaning more towards having a PT in the warm season w/ time and all the wx phenomena that comes w/ that!

[dendrite]

He’s been a warminista for awhile now. He’s a few years away from moving the fam down to SW FL. 

[Brewbeer]

Isn’t it a bit late in the spring season to be dropping fert ?  Especially since you are calling for HHH weather which tends to put our grass into dormancy.  I could see it if there were a stretch of cool and wet weather coming, but that doesn’t appear to be the case.  

[vortex95]

3 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

A bit of a change in plans.

Going to go to Bennington, VT and start from there. There are some decent viewing spots. Secondary area (which would be only 30 minutes away) is Wigwam Western Summit in North Adams which looks like it has a tremendous view to the west. 

Really tough part about today is the mesoscale aspect of how this unfolds. The greatest potential seems to be well down into PA but given its a very late PM threat its probably not worth the 4+ hour drive. 

15z RRFS shows the classic "cell ahead of line" near RUT.  15z HRRR looks somewhat better that prev runs for the SQLN holding on better farther E.

[moneypitmike]

4 minutes ago, Brewbeer said:

Isn’t it a bit late in the spring season to be dropping fert ?  Especially since you are calling for HHH weather which tends to put our grass into dormancy.  I could see it if there were a stretch of cool and wet weather coming, but that doesn’t appear to be the case.  

Summer in Tolland begins on May 1.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Struggling to reach 80 here.   

[rimetree]

69/61...where's my torch