Brian5671 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 19 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: I see the models now longer the rain pretty much all day tomorrow, which is a change. So we should get a decent amount no matter what happens with today's convection, but hopefully we'll see a heavy downpour this afternoon. yeah most of today now looks dry. Delayed not denied LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 22 minutes ago, steve392 said: Upstate NY in the jackpot zone again. We are back to the sudden move north again for systems. All the steady rain well north of where it was modeled a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago I’d be surprised if I get more than half an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 51 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: I see the models now longer the rain pretty much all day tomorrow, which is a change. So we should get a decent amount no matter what happens with today's convection, but hopefully we'll see a heavy downpour this afternoon. Good luck counting on that day. Not much will happen tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Pouring in Brightwaters unfortunately that’s probably the only rain that I, and most of the island will see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Well it did rain.... Had 5 drops on my windshield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Radar seems to favor NYC/north later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Pouring again in Brightwaters. Pop up showers. Better than nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago It's backfilling a little bit, and pouring here. We'll see what the rest of it as it swings in from the SW. NNJ looks like it's got a shot maybe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 57 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Radar seems to favor NYC/north later HRRR has been showing some very heavy rain for a little south of NYC, and we can see that storm on radar now. Looks like some heavy stuff will be going into Mercer, Middlesex and Monmouth. It might miss me to the south but it's going to be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Heavy Pop-up shower here in Melville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Pretty decent rotation on the one cell that popped up over PHL moving NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Cell by Cherry Hill in southern NJ just went severe warned with 60 mph winds and penny size hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Rain threat for the island, especially for the immediate SS is teetering. Everything looks to be consolidating along the NS, and into NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 47 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: HRRR has been showing some very heavy rain for a little south of NYC, and we can see that storm on radar now. Looks like some heavy stuff will be going into Mercer, Middlesex and Monmouth. It might miss me to the south but it's going to be close. Looks like we're in the screw zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Globals wet in the LR but we've seen that movie before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Closely watching the Philly action. Trajectory looks good for western li. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Closely watching the Philly action. Trajectory looks good for western li . Severe warnings Monmouth, Ocean, Mercer, Burlington Counties SVR from KPHI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 7 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Looks like we're in the screw zone It's going to be close. I can see the dark clouds just to the north from the storms that have formed and are moving into Union and maybe extreme northern Middlesex. Then we have a couple downpours just to our southwest that are moving northeast. Hopefully going to get something shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 0.31” so far here imby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Very dark to the west/northwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: It's going to be close. I can see the dark clouds just to the north from the storms that have formed and are moving into Union and maybe extreme northern Middlesex. Then we have a couple downpours just to our southwest that are moving northeast. Hopefully going to get something shortly. Yes the radar has greatly improved in the past 20 minutes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Stormlover74 said: Yes the radar has greatly improved in the past 20 minutes Getting a heavy downpour now with strong winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 0.17" so far. Convective activity and severe will be more likely to the south when/if it develops. It's been running 61-65 here all morning and afternoon, even upper 50s in a few spots. Meanwhile, the Delmarva is in the 90s. It's actually quite a temperature difference over 100 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, winterwx21 said: Getting a heavy downpour now with strong winds. you are right on the southern edge of the severe SVR from KOKX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Yes the radar has greatly improved in the past 20 minutes I didn't realize how much warmer it was south of here. That could help you guys out tremendously if it can hold together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Getting a heavy downpour now with strong winds. Same..very heavy rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Looks like I am not going to be happy. Not bothering to water this year, if nature wants my lawn to be brown, so be it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 minute downpour Aaaand its over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Next, at least for LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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