Prue11 Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago Picked up a whopping .01” from the showers that just rolled through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago Today's Highs: ACY: 88 BLM: 87 New Brnswck: 87 EWR: 86 PHL: 86 LGA: 85 TEB: 84 TTN: 84 ISP: 82 JFK: 82 NYC: 82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Astro spring here was the 2nd warmest in 45 years behind only 2010, also the 2nd driest with 6.75" of precip, only 1995 was drier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago HRRR and NAM3km going nuts tonight, saying some spots could get 4 to 5 inches. Good to see the models beefing it up tonight. Hopefully this won't disappoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 84 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 13 hours ago Author Share Posted 13 hours ago 1 hour ago, winterwx21 said: HRRR and NAM3km going nuts tonight, saying some spots could get 4 to 5 inches. Good to see the models beefing it up tonight. Hopefully this won't disappoint. Total disagreement amongst the 2 mentioned models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 7 hours ago, NEG NAO said: Total disagreement amongst the 2 mentioned models If you're not in the stratiform rain zone which our subforum won't, we're relying on convection to produce any rain we get. If that misses or fails to materialize we get skunked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 5 hours ago Author Share Posted 5 hours ago Flood Watch 1-3 inches expected FFA from KOKX HRR has been all over the place with the precip/storm placements in the metro- same with the NAM - definite NOWCASTING event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago If you're not in the stratiform rain zone which our subforum won't, we're relying on convection to produce any rain we get. If that misses or fails to materialize we get skunked. We have seen that time and time again in the past. No flood watch for the island. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago A beautiful Father's Day at Planting Fields Arboretum in Oyster Bay. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 73 / 66 clouds. Brunt of the rain into NY State / north so far. Showers/ storms later still should yield >0.5 - 1.00 and more northern areas or where heavier stoems focus locally. Clouds linger into Tuesday as trough is in the northeast. Wed - / Thu look very nice warm / sunny and dry. We may be pulling up to a split weekend with Rain / storms Fri evening into Saturday / dry sunday. Moderation warmer / heat to close the month and open next. Overall warmer 6.28 and beyond. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Records: Highs: EWR: 101 (1988) NYC: 98 (1988) LGA: 99 (1988) JFK: 94 (2012) Lows: EWR: 48 (1940) NYC: 52 (1940) LGA: 52 (1992) JFK: 55 (1992) Historical: 1886: At Lynchburg, a "terrific rain" led to street flooding, setting a new record for the wettest June at the site (5.44 inches Record at this time). In Washington, DC, (4.16 inches Record at this time) of rain fell on the 22nd alone, setting a 24-hour rainfall record for June. (Ref. for Heavy Rainfall) 1906: A destructive hailstorm struck the town of Chelsea, VT, covering an area 1 by 10 miles. There were drifts up to two feet deep, and most crops were destroyed. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1919: 59 people were killed as an F5 tornado ripped through the town of Fergus Falls, MN. 400 buildings were destroyed. A blank check was found over 60 miles away and lumber was carried 10 miles. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1928: A farmer near Greensburg, KS looked up into the heart of a tornado. He described its walls as "rotating clouds lit with constant flashes of lightning and a strong gassy odor with a screaming, hissing sound." 1944: A violent tornado, which touched down in southwest Wisconsin, crossed the border into Illinois, northeast of Freeport. Both states had at least $1 million damage each. In Illinois, 66 farms lost barns, and 21 homes were destroyed. Two people were killed in Illinois, with seven more in Wisconsin. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1947 - Twelve inches of rain fell in forty-two minutes at Holt, MO, establishing a world rainfall record. That record was tied on January 24-25, 1956, at the Kilauea Sugar Plantation in Hawaii, as their state record was established with 38 inches of rain in 24 hours. (The Weather Channel) 1972 - Hurricane Agnes deluged Pennsylvania and New York State with torrential rains resulting in the most costly flood in U.S. history. In the Middle Susquehanna Valley of Pennsylvania, 24 hour rainfall amounts were generally 8 to 12 inches, with up to 19 inches in extreme southwestern Schuylkill County. At Wilkes-Barre, PA, the dike was breached destroying much of the town. Flooding resulted in 117 deaths and 3.1 billion dollars damage. (David Ludlum) 1981 - A young woman from Lubbock, TX, was struck by lightning. The bolt of lightning struck just above her right shoulder near her neck, and passed right to left through her body, tearing her warm-ups, causing her tennis shoes to explode, and lifting her two feet into the air. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms in southern Texas produced wind gusts to 116 mph near Quemado. Thunderstorms in New York State produced 5.01 inches of rain in 24 hours at Buffalo, an all-time record for that location, and produced an inch of rain at Bath, PA. The temperature at Fairbanks AK soared to 92 degrees, establishing a record for the date. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Sixty-five cities in twenty-four states reported record high temperatures for the date. Tucson AZ reported an all-time record high of 114 degrees, surpassing the previous record of 112 degrees established a day earlier. Highs of 98 degrees at Pittsburgh, PA, and 100 degrees at Baltimore, MD, tied records for the month of June. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Record cold temperatures were reported in the High Plains Region. Rapid City, SD, reported a record low of 39 degrees, in sharp contrast to their record high of 102 degrees two days earlier, on the 20th. (The National Weather Summary) 1992: Record cold prevailed in the eastern U.S. with many low temperature records for the date tied or broken. Indianapolis, IN dipped to 37° to set a new all-time record low temperature for June and the coldest summer temperature ever. At Muskegon, MI the temperature plummeted to 32°. It was the latest freezing temperature on record there. In sharp contrast, it was a furnace in the Pacific Northwest with Eugene and Medford, Oregon setting new all-time record high temperatures for June with 102° and 111° degrees, respectively. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1993: Measurable rain would fall every day from the date until July 25th somewhere in Iowa. The highly unusual weather pattern that produced this nearly continuous rainfall would result in the greatest flood in U.S. history as 15% of the contiguous United States was affected. It would be one of the United States most costly natural disasters ever along with Hurricane Andrew of 1992. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2003: A hailstone measuring 7.0 inches in diameter with a circumference of 18.75 inches and weighing 1.33 pounds falls in Aurora, Nebraska. The National Weather Service reports this is the second largest hailstone ever documented in the U.S. by weight, and the largest by size at that time. The world's largest hailstone NOW was produced from storms in South Dakota; 8" in diameter and 1.9375 lbs. on July 23, 2010. 2009: Florida: Temperature records tumble with Vero Beach leading the record heat parade with a record high of 102°F and a heat index of 111°F. Elsewhere in the state, Tallahassee hits 103°F; Daytona and West Palm Beach, 96°F and Miami 98.°F. (Ref. WxDoctor) 2016: June 22-24. Part of a severe weather outbreak that produced over two dozen tornadoes from Illinois to West Virginia, up to 10 inches of rain fell in just 12-24 hours on June 23, setting off West Virginia's third deadliest flood. Twenty-three people lost their lives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago On 6/15/2026 at 8:50 AM, SACRUS said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: We have seen that time and time again in the past. No flood watch for the island. . Best of luck thunderstorms, we're all counting on you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 8 minutes ago, STORMANLI said: Best of luck thunderstorms, we're all counting on you. I'm not really sure where the convection will come from to produce these thunderstorms. With overcast skies, it maybe reaches the low-mid 70s at best, so there will be little heating up of the surface. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Most of the area will see little to no rain 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago At least the sun is not baking the grass today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Hopefully the nam has a clue. Wasn't it supposed to be retired by now? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 36 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Most of the area will see little to no rain Will keep this in mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago 14 minutes ago, Dan76 said: At least the sun is not baking the grass today. most of it is dormant - the thing that gets me is these lawn cutting services still come around regardless using their high powered ride around mowers with a cloud of dust folllowing them and destroying your lawn in the process - I just use a weed wacker carefully for any weeds and higher grass. Also you are not supposed to fertilize your lawn when it is dormant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 36 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: most of it is dormant - the thing that gets me is these lawn cutting services still come around regardless using their high powered ride around mowers with a cloud of dust folllowing them and destroying your lawn in the process - I just use a weed wacker carefully for any weeds and higher grass. Also you are not supposed to fertilize your lawn when it is dormant Of course they still come around. They need their weekly pay day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 53 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: most of it is dormant - the thing that gets me is these lawn cutting services still come around regardless using their high powered ride around mowers with a cloud of dust folllowing them and destroying your lawn in the process - I just use a weed wacker carefully for any weeds and higher grass. Also you are not supposed to fertilize your lawn when it is dormant My guy stops cutting which is nice. I feel bad for the loss of income though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, Picard said: I'm not really sure where the convection will come from to produce these thunderstorms. With overcast skies, it maybe reaches the low-mid 70s at best, so there will be little heating up of the surface. most of the storms are overnight so it's not a heating type setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: most of the storms are overnight so it's not a heating type setup. Hmmm. But the heating usually helps build the storms. I'm not saying it can't happen, but it's less likely. I just picked up 0.02" with the showers that clipped north jersey. I don't think that will be it but this is contingent on some factors coming together, and they don't always. I'm watching the area now over W. Virginia and eastern Kentucky to see how that does and if it builds more as it moves east northeast. Also the area way back in Tennessee and Arkansas would give some potential if it holds and /or redevelops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: Hopefully the nam has a clue. Wasn't it supposed to be retired by now? NAM and its replacement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I see the models now longer the rain pretty much all day tomorrow, which is a change. So we should get a decent amount no matter what happens with today's convection, but hopefully we'll see a heavy downpour this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Upstate NY in the jackpot zone again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BobbyHolikWillFindYou Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago B 8 minutes ago, steve392 said: Upstate NY in the jackpot zone again. But they're not even in a drought!!! /s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago This will yet again be a <0.10" event, maybe even nothing here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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