June 2026

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

It won't..at least not in the city

Agreed, has to be 105+ at EWR at this point for CPK to have a shot at 100.


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[winterwx21]

Sunny and 78 degrees with a dewpoint of 43 here right now. This is a top 10 day of the year. 

[MANDA]

Starting to see signs of the "wetter" pattern around mid month.  Ways to go so we'll see how it evolves but looking interesting based on some of mid to LR guidance.  Could get quite steamy and soupy once to late week into next week.

I like the fcst trof positioning over the GL/OV down the road.  Perhaps a slow moving front draped over the east with some decent gulf moisture to work with?  Details TBD.

 

[SnoSki14]

1 hour ago, winterwx21 said:

Sunny and 78 degrees with a dewpoint of 43 here right now. This is a top 10 day of the year. 

My region is forecast to get down to 50F tonight so 40s are in the cards. Even with all this heat we still manage to see some pretty cool readings. 

[the_other_guy]

I thought today was supposed to be warmer. It’s an absolutely beautiful day.

[donsutherland1]

Above normal temperatures will return for the remainder of the week by Wednesday or Thursday. Tomorrow will see highs in the lower 80s. Wednesday should see highs in the lower to perhaps middle 80s.

The temperature could approach or reach 90° to end the week. Parts of the region could experience a heatwave during the second half of the week.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.3°C for the week centered around June 3. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.95°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -25.52 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.597 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 76% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 74.8° (2.8° above normal). That would make June 2026 the fifth warmest June on record.

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.4° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[SACRUS]

 

Highs:

 

PHL: 81
TEB: 81
New Nrnsck: 77
TTN: 76
NYC: 75
ACY: 75
EWR: 74
LGA: 74
JFK:73
ISP: 73
BLM: 72

[SACRUS]

On 6/1/2026 at 8:50 AM, SACRUS said:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[TJW014]

41 this morning so far. Might crack below 40. 

[bluewave]

Hopefully, the clouds and convection can prevent another run on 100° so soon after the one in May.

The only model with upper 90s in our area is the Euro. But it has less clouds and convection than the other models.

It could be correct if the convection underperforms with the ongoing drought. 

The model forecasts highlight the big temperature divide as early as Thursday.

 

 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

41 this morning so far. Might crack below 40. 

KFOK 45 so your number is impressive.


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[FPizz]

46 here this morning

[psv88]

Down to 54. Surprised we didn’t drop more 

[uofmiami]

51 in Muttontown & 54 in Syosset this morning.