May 2026 Medium / Long Range

[Weather Will]

56 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

Still plenty of time to reel monday in.

We are overdue for something to trend in the right direction...

[stormy]

Last May began very dry then turned quite wet and stayed wet until early August when rain stopped.

El Nino  suggests a possible reversal this year.

I expect exceptional drought labeling later this morning.

[stormy]

45 minutes ago, stormy said:

Last May began very dry then turned quite wet and stayed wet until early August when rain stopped.

El Nino  suggests a possible reversal this year.

I expect exceptional drought labeling later this morning.

Make that EXTREME DROUGHT

[Paleocene]

Still not looking great on eps and gets

[Stormchaserchuck1]

1.5-2" of rain for half the month isn't bad.. it's about average. 

pre-El Nino May's are nothing significant in the MA

[Eskimo Joe]

58 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

1.5-2" of rain for half the month isn't bad.. it's about average. 

pre-El Nino May's are nothing significant in the MA

What about June?

[Stormchaserchuck1]

Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

What about June?

0.15 correlation, if average is 4.00", that's 4.60"

[Eskimo Joe]

3 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

0.15 correlation, if average is 4.00", that's 4.60"

Appreciate the response and map! What month, if any, would average much above average precipitation so that we can put a real dent in this drought.

[Stormchaserchuck1]

8 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Appreciate the response and map! What month, if any, would average much above average precipitation so that we can put a real dent in this drought.

It's pretty close to average throughout the year - slight uptick in Nov and Dec to above avg. Nov-Feb of strongest El Nino's:

[Eskimo Joe]

3 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

It's pretty close to average throughout the year - slight uptick in Nov and Dec to above avg. Nov-Feb of strongest El Nino's:

Thank you again for the information.

[Interstate]

Looks like Saturday is slipping away from us too.

[stormy]

5 hours ago, stormy said:

Make that EXTREME DROUGHT

Yes, it is now EXTREME DROUGHT For Waynesboro.

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z EURO for late Sunday/Monday.

[CAPE]

Severe drought for pretty much all of MD except for the western highlands.

[JenkinsJinkies]

12 hours ago, stormy said:

Last May began very dry then turned quite wet and stayed wet until early August when rain stopped.

El Nino  suggests a possible reversal this year.

I expect exceptional drought labeling later this morning.

So the fire hose is coming in the latter half of the month? 

[IronTy]

1 hour ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

So the fire hose is coming in the latter half of the month? 

I'm getting 2012 vibes...drought til June, then insane heat, a derecho event followed by Seattle rain for the latter half of the summer.  

[BlizzardNole]

Since there are 70-foot trees close to the west side of our house, we'll skip the derecho but take the rainy late summer and fall that El Nino advertises.  I gave up on the grass and will re-try in Sept.  (The builder did the hydroseeding right before the Jan 25 snowcrete storm.  I asked them to wait but it's a requirement for occupancy LOL)