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May 2026 Obs/Discussion


weatherwiz
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15 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah good call, it was downwind of the storm.  I figured the dry low levels to start must’ve been eating up the liquid drops while the hail could make it to the surface.

Still, not something I can remember seeing before.  Just scattered hail stones falling as the leading edge… usually hail only comes in the core around these parts. 

Hail falling w/o any rain is quite rare in New England, and the East Coast for that matter, owning to the more moist climate and lack of an EML the vast majority of the time.

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On 5/27/2026 at 12:36 PM, Ginx snewx said:

 Wed next week is a modeled soaking 

 

On 5/28/2026 at 5:23 PM, Damage In Tolland said:
On 5/28/2026 at 5:37 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

CT starts Wednesday 

 

On 5/28/2026 at 5:40 PM, CoastalWx said:

Kevin seems way too optimistic about everything.

 

On 5/28/2026 at 5:43 PM, HoarfrostHubb said:

I hope so.  Might not even hit 70F here Weds.  

 

On 5/28/2026 at 5:45 PM, ineedsnow said:

GFS is 50's

 

On 5/28/2026 at 5:46 PM, ineedsnow said:

Euro also 50's wednesday

He knew 

IMG_4428.jpeg

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1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

Nothing is that hot Thursday or Friday but we'll see.. also Euro.and GFS are 70s Wednesday for most

They had 50’s. The point is you take the model output and change it based on what should happen. Like when they had 50’s last week.. you knew that was wrong looking at the pattern and ensembles and could see big warmth was coming . It’s not just taking an op run temps and thinking that’s what the outcome will be . Or for one poster who uses an app for his forecasts and thinks it’s correct 

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3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

They had 50’s. The point is you take the model output and change it based on what should happen. Like when they had 50’s last week.. you knew that was wrong looking at the pattern and ensembles and could see big warmth was coming . It’s not just taking an op run temps and thinking that’s what the outcome will be . Or for one poster who uses an app for his forecasts and thinks it’s correct 

there's no big warmth coming :lol: if 2 days of 80s is big warmth in June then I don't know what to tell you.. 

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