moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Downsloping for CT River Valley.. Has to be... Its had it every run and it will be a problem for HFD. That's not downsloping. Tip did a nice write up on this yesterday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Buoy east of Hatteras, NC 994mb and gusts up to 58mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 pics? I can take some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Bob: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southshorewx Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 What an arrogant response. Im not being a jerk, Im being serious. I think it was coastalwx that answered yesterday. How much for me? How much for me? How much for me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 It's that green salt stuff they use or whatever you call it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 It does that a lot in these setups where there is another slug of qpf max to the east. It tries to "see" the valley shadow but puts it too far E. When Ekster plotted it on awips higher res map, it had the shadow in the more correct areas. But either way, it really doesn't matter that much, a lot of this is going to be determined by banding. That's what I figured. It still shows that helluva intense banding set up in the early AM, so I'm not worried. Radar looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 And as far as the SREF goes, I'm not looking at the probs as much as the near 1.5'' of QPF here . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 It's that green salt stuff they use or whatever you call it. Exercise in futility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Buoy just east of the Outer Banks is down to 993mb now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 That's what I figured. It still shows that helluva intense banding set up in the early AM, so I'm not worried. Radar looks good. I don't think anybody should be worried unless they can't live with a foot of snow. If you get "Screwed" in this storm its still going to be a foot...outside of the rain areas near the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I have not read through this thread yet but for me in Central NH the difference between 12Z NAM and GFS is incrediable. NAM increases me to 1.5" QPF and GFS decreases me to barely .5" QPF What to believe? I was excited after the GFS but usually on QPF GFS is closer. Any thoughts for us guys in Central NH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 MM5 now tracks the 8h not too far NW of the benchmark. It's really keying on this meso band in SE MA up to Boston. I don't really like this model, wanted to say that again, but others absolutely swear by it including some very well respected mets. 8h never goes above 0, there are some sneaky warm layers but... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Okay--who's the snowblower reparir person who can make an emergency trip to Shelburne? lol TOtally suck. Maybe the gas line froze. I've added dry gas, disconnected/reconnected the spark plug. Tried a blow dryer on it. Ugh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I have not read through this thread yet but for me in Central NH the difference between 12Z NAM and GFS is incrediable. NAM increases me to 1.5" QPF and GFS decreases me to barely .5" QPF What to believe? I was excited after the GFS but usually on QPF GFS is closer. Any thoughts for us guys in Central NH? Combine them, average it to about 1.0" then add fluff factor for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Okay--who's the snowblower reparir person who can make an emergency trip to Shelburne? lol TOtally suck. Maybe the gas line froze. I've added dry gas, disconnected/reconnected the spark plug. Tried a blow dryer on it. Ugh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Try sticking a weenie in it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I'm with ya there, haha. Wanna ski tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larvay Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Nary a flake here for at least the last hour. I like the way the wall of white is crashing up into my TWC local on the 8's radar box, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Can you say rapid pressure falls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 15z RUC is still bullish on a much further western extent like the SREFS and GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southshorewx Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Okay--who's the snowblower reparir person who can make an emergency trip to Shelburne? lol TOtally suck. Maybe the gas line froze. I've added dry gas, disconnected/reconnected the spark plug. Tried a blow dryer on it. Ugh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Dont get too close with that hairdryer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 How much for me was not my intention. I am not a pro and I am trying to learn. Im not being a jerk, Im being serious. I think it was coastalwx that answered yesterday. How much for me? How much for me? How much for me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Okay--who's the snowblower reparir person who can make an emergency trip to Shelburne? lol TOtally suck. Maybe the gas line froze. I've added dry gas, disconnected/reconnected the spark plug. Tried a blow dryer on it. Ugh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Kinda picked a bad time to see if your snowblower runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 They look a lot more like what the RUC has been showing all morning.. max snow like POU-ski_MRG-MHT. There's definitely one camp that is seeing stuff a lot further west than the operational models. Speaking of which, I found this very interesting from ALB in the AFD this morning... the ensemble forecast means are much, much higher with QPF back west than the operational models. PCPN TOTALS INTO LATE MONDAY MORNING FOR KALB: 03Z SREF SNOW PLUME MEAN: 1.13" 00Z MREF SNOW PLUME MEAN: 1.15" 00Z GFS: 0.72" 00Z NAM: 0.68" 00Z ECMWF: 0.75" But the 6h 15z RUC at 700mb chopped 50+ miles off the back edge over just the 12z 9h. Been going steadily east sucking all the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 The geographic bandwagons are fun to watch. "This model says east!" ... "This model says west!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 If I do well enough in this thing I may regret this post.... http://www.americanw...dpost__p__87603 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Wanna ski tomorrow? Left my gear up in Stowe... I've also been under the weather and need to get better for a week-long trip to Utah on January 2nd. Alta and Snowbird FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Kinda picked a bad time to see if your snowblower runs. Lol. We don't have a heated garrage (actualllly, we don't have a garage) so I think it may just be a frozen gas line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Okay--who's the snowblower reparir person who can make an emergency trip to Shelburne? lol TOtally suck. Maybe the gas line froze. I've added dry gas, disconnected/reconnected the spark plug. Tried a blow dryer on it. Ugh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Jeez, it's brand new? 1. Did you leave gas in it from last year? If so purge. 2. Do you have a torpedo or other heater you can blast it with? blow dryer might not do it. 3. Fuel filter clogged? 4. Choke? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I can't believe people are still concerned and pouring over models.. we are T-2hr in my area.. let's just relax and enjoy the show.. the radar looks good down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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