FXWX Posted August 25 Share Posted August 25 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hope so but I just think it’s going to generally be too mild even at elevation . Maybe NW CT van get one though i We will see, but I do like extreme global events (this year's El Nino for example) to produce unexpected big synoptic events... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 25 Share Posted August 25 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Need an event that’s snow at 1100’+ WoR and 33 32.0 quantum thermal uncertainty-rain at Tolland. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 25 Share Posted August 25 16 minutes ago, FXWX said: We will see, but I do like extreme global events (this year's El Nino for example) to produce unexpected big synoptic events... And last winter we had two big dogs. Can we repeat? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angus Posted August 25 Share Posted August 25 Picked up two pairs of tuned skis today at the shop! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 25 Share Posted August 25 2 hours ago, Angus said: Picked up two pairs of tuned skis today at the shop! You realize you just doomed the entire winter by saying this ... right? unreal Okay everybody ... start a thread so we can keep track of every Angus event through next spring - 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JACKASS Posted August 25 Share Posted August 25 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: You realize you just doomed the entire winter by saying this ... right? unreal Okay everybody ... start a thread so we can keep track of every Angus event through next spring - Going snowblower shopping this weekend! Someone needs to keep those companies afloat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted August 26 Share Posted August 26 CFS January rendition would make some fun times for WOR folks....Miller B-East, much?Man I am moving near a cliff don't do this to meSent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted August 26 Share Posted August 26 19 hours ago, Angus said: Picked up two pairs of tuned skis today at the shop! I made a winter purchase yesterday too! Bought a new sled for my nephew, he has an August bday but is obsessed with sledding. Never too early to prepare Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted August 26 Share Posted August 26 On 8/25/2026 at 6:15 PM, Typhoon Tip said: You realize you just doomed the entire winter by saying this ... right? unreal Okay everybody ... start a thread so we can keep track of every Angus event through next spring - Oh and I am surely going to grab a new snowblower and likely getting another snowmobile. this the kind of winter I stare out the window and sigh every day with eyes welling up watching it rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 27 Author Share Posted August 27 On 8/20/2026 at 12:30 PM, Prismshine Productions said: -PNA +NAO Ehhhhhh... Can see occasional cold shots but they will be shallow and fleeting at best. Everyone in a +2.5-+4 winter Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk That's +PNA/-NAO...don't mistake the blue shading out west in association with an immense PAC jet as RNA....look at the height lines..see how they have a gentle WNW - ESE slope? That is a subtle +PNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 27 Author Share Posted August 27 On 8/19/2026 at 11:36 PM, stadiumwave said: Nice composite Looking at the orientation of the vortex up north and the slope of the height field out west, I would be willing to hedge "white over wet", especially for the interior, in this map VERBATIM. IMHO, while it isn't a cold pattern with that raging PAC jet, what cold is available would be streamlined into our quadrant of the country. Like Will said, if that GOA low ever found it's way 1000 miles west, then the sky would be the limit...but I don't anticipate that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 27 Author Share Posted August 27 Man, the latest CFS is how you watch 'ole man winter swallow a pistol.....brutal combination of east-based El Nino overlaid onto residual MC regime....look familiar? It should- 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 27 Share Posted August 27 Euro seasonal is nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 27 Share Posted August 27 https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/winter-2026-2027-first-forecast-super-el-nino-polar-vortex-snow-cold-united-states-canada-europe-fa/?fbclid=IwdGRjcAT9JoxjbGNrBP0l63Bkb2YFZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAc3J0YwZhcHBfaWQMMzUwNjg1NTMxNzI4AAEezbLprzeZm_l4j6uPr56iE-akeZ4XeTHsxqlAWZXPbVtqB7lAYJMCHZffT68_aem_PgtonIDoor2992y5PIongQ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 27 Share Posted August 27 On 8/25/2026 at 9:11 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Has December near normal surprisingly. Is it a bit too cold? Probably....likely underdoing the magnitude and arial extent of that Canadian ridge, but I don't think this will be a bottom-dweller season in terms of snowfall. I've said that one way to cheat our way into a good winter is to get something like Dec 1997 pattern (pretty close to normal temps that month) but instead of Feb 1998, we get a more classic Nino Feb. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted August 27 Share Posted August 27 That's +PNA/-NAO...don't mistake the blue shading out west in association with an immense PAC jet as RNA....look at the height lines..see how they have a gentle WNW - ESE slope? That is a subtle +PNA.Got me, was going by the colors, not the height linesSent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted August 27 Share Posted August 27 Euro seasonal is niceHow niceSent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27 Share Posted August 27 Dec is ruined .. gone . Don’t do it. You’ve been warned 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 6 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Dec is ruined .. gone . Don’t do it. You’ve been warned Onto winter 2028 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stadiumwave Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 One of Paul Roudy's tools https://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/analogs/analogslp.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stadiumwave Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stadiumwave Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 Sorry to have to make 3 posts because of the forum...but any who Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 28 Author Share Posted August 28 8 hours ago, stadiumwave said: Sorry to have to make 3 posts because of the forum...but any who For anyone wondering about the source here...great tool: https://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/rmmcyc/index200reg.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 28 Author Share Posted August 28 14 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Dec is ruined .. gone . Don’t do it. You’ve been warned Agree Dec probably sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarcmmKU Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Agree Dec probably sucks. How much though? 2015 levels of suck or more like 2023? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 28 Author Share Posted August 28 42 minutes ago, MarcmmKU said: How much though? 2015 levels of suck or more like 2023? They were both brutal...like...how painful? Slam the refrigerator door shut on my balls, or kick me as hard as you can? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarcmmKU Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: They were both brutal...like...how painful? Slam my the refrigerator door shut on my balls, or kick me as hard as you can? Well, at least 2023 snowed in vermont. 2015 was an utter shut out. Not an accumulating flake even at elevation, and repeated washouts. I'm already mentally prepared for the skiing in northern VT to be garbage this december but there are certainly levels of garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 warm and rainy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 28 Author Share Posted August 28 3 minutes ago, MarcmmKU said: Well, at least 2023 snowed in vermont. 2015 was an utter shut out. Not an accumulating flake even at elevation, and repeated washouts. I'm already mentally prepared for the skiing in northern VT to be garbage this december but there are certainly levels of garbage. Oh, phew... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 28 Author Share Posted August 28 Looking at them both, which was painful...I agree that 2015 was worse from a synopitc standpoint at H5...2023 was bad, but December 2015 was as bad as it gets. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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