3/15-3/16 Winter Storm

[andyhb]

18z GFS casually with 6 feet of snow near Marquette. Ungodly with the lake enhancement to boot.

[Radtechwxman]

DVN mentioned the B word. Will be on edge of snowfall gradient here. Shocker. Lol. 

[DocATL]

DVN mentioned the B word. Will be on edge of snowfall gradient here. Shocker. Lol. 

All you needed was the thread creation

[Chicago Storm]

18 minutes ago, DocATL said:

GFS is correcting…

Northwest trend the last three runs.

correcting to what exactly?

[Imneversatisfied]

Oh God NO! 2"+ of ice on gfz 18z in Alpena.I need a SE shift!

[josh_4184]

4 minutes ago, Imneversatisfied said:

Oh God NO! 2"+ of ice on gfz 18z in Alpena.I need a SE shift!

Yea saw that too, im close to 2.5" of ice that run

[Geoboy645]

Well the probabilistic forecast is out through Sunday N and hoo boy. Normal caveats with this and some of that is affected by tonight's clipper. And it's still snowing probably another 12 hours after the end of the period on the map. 

[cyclone77]

5 hours ago, Malacka11 said:

Does this still count as the storm that you postered something about like three weeks ago re it being only 60-something runs out?  Iirc it's only a day off right 

Haha yeah I think it is.  I had already forgot about that lol.

[OrdIowPitMsp]

Cut these totals by 50-60% at least.

Fun for posterity, dangerous for social media.

29” at MSP 

[DocATL]

correcting to what exactly?

To a firmly Minnesota, Wisconsin, Northern Michigan snow event. More likely spots for mid March.

[Geoboy645]

1 minute ago, DocATL said:

To a firmly Minnesota, Wisconsin, Northern Michigan snow event. More likely spots for mid March.

Always has been one of those events though?

[Chicago Storm]

3 minutes ago, DocATL said:

To a firmly Minnesota, Wisconsin, Northern Michigan snow event. More likely spots for mid March.

it's firmly going to be up there, eh?

[DocATL]

it's firmly going to be up there, eh?

Quite firmly.

[Chicago Storm]

Quite firmly.

[Baum]

7 minutes ago, DocATL said:

Quite firmly.

[cyclone77]

It's the RGEM, but verbatim it would have us going from a severe threat to heavy snow in 6hrs Sunday evening.  If that in fact were to happen I'd change the winter grade from an F+ to an A+.  Would completely make up for the past 3 months.  

[Baum]

Just now, cyclone77 said:

It's the RGEM, but verbatim it would have us going from a severe threat to heavy snow in 6hrs Sunday evening.  If that in fact were to happen I'd change the winter grade from an F+ to an A+.  Would completely make up for the past 3 months.  

My call from a week ago saying you may yet double your winter totals might come close if this verifies….big IF ….of course 

[DocATL]

Hello Euro.

[Malacka11]

18z moment 

[Chicago916]

Never been so confused catching up on a thread. Models haven't really changed all too much (kinda wild given the many pieces of energy)? Are we rooting for a miss north? Are we vague posting?

[SchaumburgStormer]

1 minute ago, Chicago916 said:

Never been so confused catching up on a thread. Models haven't really changed all too much (kinda wild given the many pieces of energy)? Are we rooting for a miss north? Are we vague posting?

The shit posting will continue until morale improves 

[Imneversatisfied]

Anyone care to share the 18z King Euro snow and FRAM maps?

[Chicago916]

9 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

The shit posting will continue until morale improves 

I was just hoping for more thunderstorms, but looks like between snow and thunderstorms, we've landed in the middle so we'll get neither lol

[Harry Perry]

8 minutes ago, Imneversatisfied said:

Anyone care to share the 18z King Euro snow and FRAM maps?

[Harry Perry]

5 minutes ago, Chicago916 said:

I was just hoping for more thunderstorms, but looks like between snow and thunderstorms, we've landed in the middle so we'll get neither lol

Yeah the severe weather side of this system is pretty bleak at the moment (up here anyway). Rooting for at least some upper 60’s and 50 mile an hour winds lol. 

[Baum]

18 minutes ago, Chicago916 said:

Never been so confused catching up on a thread. Models haven't really changed all too much (kinda wild given the many pieces of energy)? Are we rooting for a miss north? Are we vague posting?

Clearly a dramatic change on the 18Z Euro

[DocATL]

Either trends or struggling models but just feels like rooting for the backside of this thing is precarious. The smarter folks eluded to the difficulty in models forecasting this system. Lots of moving pieces as Chicago Storm said. Anyhow, back to my run to run trolling.

[RemoteSenses]

People seeing the insane ice numbers need to chill lol those are not realistic numbers. You aren’t getting 2” of ice.

(This is something who worked on the 2025 MI ice storm…)


.

[josh_4184]

2 minutes ago, RemoteSenses said:

People seeing the insane ice numbers need to chill lol those are not realistic numbers. You aren’t getting 2” of ice.

(This is something who worked on the 2025 MI ice storm…)


.

When you get over 1.5" of ice in one shot and was forcasted to get about .5" dont tell me to chill. Models continue to show the remote possibiliy of another crippling ice storm is enough to justify my elevated concerns and anxiety not to mention all I have to do is look outside my window and get a instant reminder of what crippling ice can do. 

[cmillzz]

7 minutes ago, DocATL said:

Either trends or struggling models but just feels like rooting for the backside of this thing is precarious. The smarter folks eluded to the difficulty in models forecasting this system. Lots of moving pieces as Chicago Storm said. Anyhow, back to my run to run trolling.

who’s denying the north trend?