March 2026

[SACRUS]

[SnoSki14]

2 hours ago, psv88 said:

Horrific day. 49 and socked in here. Upper 60s in NJ. Kill me 

Plenty of warm air coming.  Ensembles show strong ridging in East. 

[donsutherland1]

A few showers, thundershowers, and periods of rain are likely tonight into tomorrow. A somewhat cooler air mass will confine temperatures to the upper 40s in New York City tomorrow and Tuesday. Readings will then return to the lower and perhaps middle 50s by midweek. Another cold front could cross the region on Friday.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around March 11. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.15°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was +4.02 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.064 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 94% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 45.2° (2.4° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[uofmiami]

5 hours ago, psv88 said:

Nah, temps will bust low. Don’t think most of us crack 50 east of the city 

57 at both my stations so far for the high. 

[psv88]

1 minute ago, uofmiami said:

57 so far at both my stations so far for the high. 

51 all we got here.

[steve392]

72 diwn here in Freehold, nj.  Hazy skies but otherwise nice.  

[winterwarlock]

72 imby

[jm1220]

1 hour ago, forkyfork said:

plus they get the power outage side of hurricanes

I’d gladly take the 4-7” rain side NJ always seems to get vs a few showers here. 

[MJO812]

We had the blizzard one month ago on this date

[SACRUS]

Today

 

EWR: 64 / 44 (+10)
NYC: 63 / 44 (+9)

[psv88]

Hit 52 today. Busted a bit low. We are in the doldrums for a while. March is my least favorite month

[lee59]

54 my high

[qg_omega]

Lots of rain, no drought just mud 

[bluewave]

Looks like the warm front will come north again this Thursday for the next 70° potential at the usual spots. Would be nice if the warm sector can push further north than yesterday. Had the marine layer all day yesterday here on the CT Shoreline while NJ mad it to 70°+.

Then another a cooldown for a few days as Canada and the Northeast briefly gets colder.

It’s possible that some of the local warm spots could make a run on 75°-80° during the first week of April as the Southeast ridge flexes and trough tries to dig into the West. 

[MJO812]

8 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Looks like the warm front will come north again this Thursday for the next 70° potential at the usual spots. Would be nice if the warm sector can push further north than yesterday. Had the marine layer all day yesterday here on the CT Shoreline while NJ mad it to 70°+.

Then another a cooldown for a few days as Canada and the Northeast briefly gets colder.

It’s possible that some of the local warm spots could make a run on 75°-80° during the first week of April as the Southeast ridge flexes and trough tries to dig into the West. 

Thats if the  eps is right. It has been too warm this past winter in the mid to long range. Not saying its wrong but the gefs is cooler with temps in the 40s and 50s.

[bluewave]

20 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Thats if the  eps is right. It has been too warm this past winter in the mid to long range. Not saying its wrong but the gefs is cooler with temps in the 40s and 50s.

The AIFS has 70° potential also in NJ on Thursday and takes middle ground between the Euro and GFS. But the warmth struggled to get much further north yesterday. So it’s possible that NYC and points north and east doesn’t get as warm as the 0z OP Euro. I will gladly take a AIFS compromise and get warmer than the GFS but not as warm here on the CT Shore as the OP Euro.

[SnoSki14]

AIFS showing mid 80s to start April. Anytime there's some ridging we hit record highs, doesn't take much at all. 

[Dark Star]

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Looks like the warm front will come north again this Thursday for the next 70° potential at the usual spots. Would be nice if the warm sector can push further north than yesterday. Had the marine layer all day yesterday here on the CT Shoreline while NJ mad it to 70°+.

Then another a cooldown for a few days as Canada and the Northeast briefly gets colder.

It’s possible that some of the local warm spots could make a run on 75°-80° during the first week of April as the Southeast ridge flexes and trough tries to dig into the West. 

It's over...

[bluewave]

17 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

Great day SW of NYC-horrid here with clouds and mist  51

Yeah, the CT Shoreline has been on the cooler side of the backdoor for much of this month. 
 

EWR…+4.7°

NYC….+3.8°

BDR….+0.8°
 

 

[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, the CT Shoreline has been on the cooler side of the backdoor for much of this month. 
 

EWR…+4.7°

NYC….+3.8°

BDR….+0.8°
 

 

Sound waters are colder than average so it makes sense

[bluewave]

6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Sound waters are colder than average so it makes sense

Have only had three 60°+ days here while it’s been like a different season in NJ. 
 

Climatological Data for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT - March 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2026-03-01	41	26	33.5	-1.2	31	0	T
2026-03-02	27	15	21.0	-13.9	44	0	0.00
2026-03-03	34	15	24.5	-10.6	40	0	0.41
2026-03-04	48	28	38.0	2.6	27	0	0.10
2026-03-05	40	28	34.0	-1.6	31	0	0.75
2026-03-06	39	35	37.0	1.2	28	0	0.31
2026-03-07	41	34	37.5	1.4	27	0	0.09
2026-03-08	55	35	45.0	8.7	20	0	T
2026-03-09	64	30	47.0	10.4	18	0	0.00
2026-03-10	63	31	47.0	10.2	18	0	0.00
2026-03-11	60	41	50.5	13.4	14	0	0.30
2026-03-12	53	32	42.5	5.2	22	0	0.22
2026-03-13	39	31	35.0	-2.6	30	0	0.00
2026-03-14	47	30	38.5	0.7	26	0	0.00
2026-03-15	42	29	35.5	-2.6	29	0	0.00
2026-03-16	55	40	47.5	9.1	17	0	1.68
2026-03-17	53	31	42.0	3.3	23	0	0.01
2026-03-18	35	26	30.5	-8.4	34	0	0.00
2026-03-19	38	28	33.0	-6.2	32	0	0.00
2026-03-20	49	27	38.0	-1.5	27	0	0.08
2026-03-21	53	41	47.0	7.2	18	0	0.00
2026-03-22	48	40	44.0	3.9	21	0	0.17

 

Climatological Data for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - March 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2026-03-01	44	29	36.5	-1.8	28	0	T	T	1
2026-03-02	34	21	27.5	-11.0	37	0	0.00	0.0	1
2026-03-03	38	30	34.0	-4.8	31	0	0.42	T	T
2026-03-04	47	37	42.0	2.9	23	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-05	44	39	41.5	2.2	23	0	1.62	0.0	0
2026-03-06	43	37	40.0	0.4	25	0	0.16	0.0	0
2026-03-07	50	37	43.5	3.7	21	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-08	73	48	60.5	20.4	4	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-09	73	44	58.5	18.1	6	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-10	82	46	64.0	23.3	1	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-11	82	53	67.5	26.6	0	3	0.35	0.0	0
2026-03-12	64	35	49.5	8.3	15	0	0.07	T	0
2026-03-13	45	30	37.5	-4.0	27	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-14	53	34	43.5	1.7	21	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-15	46	36	41.0	-1.1	24	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-16	67	45	56.0	13.6	9	0	0.60	0.0	0
2026-03-17	47	31	39.0	-3.7	26	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-18	37	25	31.0	-12.0	34	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-19	44	32	38.0	-5.3	27	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-20	66	35	50.5	6.9	14	0	0.07	0.0	0
2026-03-21	60	48	54.0	10.1	11	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-22	64	44	54.0	9.7	11	0	0.08	0.0	0

 

 

[SACRUS]

20 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Have only had three 60°+ days here while it’s been like a different season in NJ. 
 

Climatological Data for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT - March 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2026-03-01	41	26	33.5	-1.2	31	0	T
2026-03-02	27	15	21.0	-13.9	44	0	0.00
2026-03-03	34	15	24.5	-10.6	40	0	0.41
2026-03-04	48	28	38.0	2.6	27	0	0.10
2026-03-05	40	28	34.0	-1.6	31	0	0.75
2026-03-06	39	35	37.0	1.2	28	0	0.31
2026-03-07	41	34	37.5	1.4	27	0	0.09
2026-03-08	55	35	45.0	8.7	20	0	T
2026-03-09	64	30	47.0	10.4	18	0	0.00
2026-03-10	63	31	47.0	10.2	18	0	0.00
2026-03-11	60	41	50.5	13.4	14	0	0.30
2026-03-12	53	32	42.5	5.2	22	0	0.22
2026-03-13	39	31	35.0	-2.6	30	0	0.00
2026-03-14	47	30	38.5	0.7	26	0	0.00
2026-03-15	42	29	35.5	-2.6	29	0	0.00
2026-03-16	55	40	47.5	9.1	17	0	1.68
2026-03-17	53	31	42.0	3.3	23	0	0.01
2026-03-18	35	26	30.5	-8.4	34	0	0.00
2026-03-19	38	28	33.0	-6.2	32	0	0.00
2026-03-20	49	27	38.0	-1.5	27	0	0.08
2026-03-21	53	41	47.0	7.2	18	0	0.00
2026-03-22	48	40	44.0	3.9	21	0	0.17

 

Climatological Data for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - March 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2026-03-01	44	29	36.5	-1.8	28	0	T	T	1
2026-03-02	34	21	27.5	-11.0	37	0	0.00	0.0	1
2026-03-03	38	30	34.0	-4.8	31	0	0.42	T	T
2026-03-04	47	37	42.0	2.9	23	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-05	44	39	41.5	2.2	23	0	1.62	0.0	0
2026-03-06	43	37	40.0	0.4	25	0	0.16	0.0	0
2026-03-07	50	37	43.5	3.7	21	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-08	73	48	60.5	20.4	4	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-09	73	44	58.5	18.1	6	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-10	82	46	64.0	23.3	1	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-11	82	53	67.5	26.6	0	3	0.35	0.0	0
2026-03-12	64	35	49.5	8.3	15	0	0.07	T	0
2026-03-13	45	30	37.5	-4.0	27	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-14	53	34	43.5	1.7	21	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-15	46	36	41.0	-1.1	24	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-16	67	45	56.0	13.6	9	0	0.60	0.0	0
2026-03-17	47	31	39.0	-3.7	26	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-18	37	25	31.0	-12.0	34	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-19	44	32	38.0	-5.3	27	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-20	66	35	50.5	6.9	14	0	0.07	0.0	0
2026-03-21	60	48	54.0	10.1	11	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-22	64	44	54.0	9.7	11	0	0.08	0.0	0

 

 

even warmer just sw (inland) of EWR on a few of those days 3/16, 3/20, 3/22  

 

[SACRUS]

44 / 42 coolest of the next 7-10 days and perhaps well beyond that.  0.38 un the bucket.  Lats of the rain / showers moving through W - E this morning.  Still coole Tuesday mid 40s to low 50s - warmest spots.  Moderation warmer Wed - Thu then cooler Fri / Sat.  Overall near normal 3/28 - 4/1 before much warmer 4/3 - 4/6 as ridge builds east.  A drier week in the cards next 7 days <0.50.

 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR:  82 (1938)
NYC: 76 (2012)
LGA: 74 (2012)
JFK: 77 (2012)

Lows:

EWR:  13 (1934)
NYC: 13 (1934)
LGA: 19 (1940)
JFK: 20 (1959)
 

Historical:

1765: A major snowstorm struck the eastern seaboard from Massachusetts inland to Pennsylvania. Reports showed as much as 2.5 feet of snow fell in some locations. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1899: An amazing 141 inches of snow fell at Ruby, CO between the 23rd and 30th to establish the state record for greatest snowfall from a single storm. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1907: Today was the warmest March day ever recorded in Washington, DC with a maximum temperature of 93 degrees. Washington DC has seen three, 90 degrees days in March, all of which occurred in 1907. The warmest March dates ever recorded in Richmond, VA. The maximum temperature was 94 °F on the March 23rd and 29th of 1907. (Ref. Richmond Weather Records - KRIC)

1913 - A vicious tornado hit the city of Omaha, NE. The tornado struck during the late afternoon on Easter Sunday, and in just twelve minutes cut a swath of total destruction five miles long and two blocks wide across the city killing 94 persons and causing 3.5 million dollars property damage. (David Ludlum)

1916 - Pocatello, ID, received a record 14.6 inches of snow in 24 hours. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - A blizzard raged across western Kansas, and the panhandle of Texas and Oklahoma. Pampa TX received 21 inches of snow, and winds gusted to 78 mph at Dodge City KS Altus OK. Governor Hayden declared forty-six counties in western Kansas a disaster area. In southwest Kansas, the storm was described as the worst in thirty years. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thunderstorms developing along a strong cold front spawned tornadoes near Roberts ID and Bridger MT. Strong and gusty winds prevailed in the western U.S. Wind gusts in the southwest part of Reno NV reached 89 mph. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Charlotte and Wilmington, NC, reported rainfall records for the date as showers and thunderstorms prevailed in the southeastern U.S. Freezing rain glazed parts of North Carolina and southern Virginia. Gale force winds produced a heavy surf along the coast of North Carolina. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1990 - An upper level storm system produced heavy snow in the Lower Missouri Valley. Snowfall totals ranged up to nine inches at Kansas City MO, with eight inches reported at Falls City NE, Columbia MO and Saint Louis MO. Thunderstorms produced heavy snow in the Kansas City area during the evening rush hour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1996: The third storm in 10 days brought heavy snow to the parts of the Rockies. Golden Gate Canyon reported 18 inches and Nederland had 10 inches in the foothills of Colorado. Snowfall generally ranged from 4 to 8 inches across Denver, CO. As the storm moved east, blizzard conditions developed on the 24th and 25th closing both I-70 and I-76 east of Denver. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2007 - A trailer is thrown through a bowling alley as a tornado moves through Clovis, NM. About 100 homes and businesses are destroyed, at least three schools are damaged and telephone poles are snapped. Thirteen tornadoes struck a dozen communities along the New Mexico/Texas border. Two people were critically injured.

2011 - A series of tornados are spawned from severe thunderstorms in Pennsylvania. In Hempfield Township dozens of homes and a high school auditorium where students are rehearsing a play are severely damaged.

2012Chicago-O’Hare
• This was the 6th record warm low set since March 14th and the 10th consecutive day a record warm temperature of any type was set.
This was the end of the Mid-West heat wave. - Summary
• Chicago broke or tied daily high temperature records on nine consecutive days from March 14-22.
This was the second longest stretch of standing daily temperature records of any type for Chicago dating back to 1871. The record for standing consecutive temperature records is ten daily high temperature records from August 25-September 3, 1953.
• 8 of 18 (roughly 44%) of Chicago's 80° days in March, dating back to 1871, have occurred in March of 2012.
For Rockford, ILL 6 out of 18 (roughly 33%) of Rockford's 80° days in March have occurred this March of 2012.(Ref. NWS) (Ref. Climate Central 2012, NOAA 2012,Ham Wx. Record Events Map)(Ref. NOAA, Image of US Heat by NASA)

[MJO812]

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

The AIFS has 70° potential also in NJ on Thursday and takes middle ground between the Euro and GFS. But the warmth struggled to get much further north yesterday. So it’s possible that NYC and points north and east doesn’t get as warm as the 0z OP Euro. I will gladly take a AIFS compromise and get warmer than the GFS but not as warm here on the CT Shore as the OP Euro.

Defintely with the sun angle

[forkyfork]

oh man what is this coming nino going to do to our climate baseline

 

[forkyfork]

our cooler winter came at great expense 

[bluewave]

2 hours ago, Dark Star said:

It's over...

It’s like someone flipped a switch after March 2019. 

March Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Mean	0.5	0.5
2026	0.2	0.2
2025	0.0	0.0
2024	0.0	0.0
2023	1.6	1.6
2022	1.6	1.6
2021	T	T
2020	T	T

 

March Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Mean	8.2	8.2
2019	4.1	4.1
2018	31.9	31.9
2017	7.4	7.4
2016	3.2	3.2
2015	19.7	19.7
2014	5.4	5.4
2013	7.4	7.4
2012	T	T
2011	2.1	2.1
2010	0.4	0.4

 

March Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Mean	5.4	5.4
2009	13.6	13.6
2008	T	T
2007	3.8	3.8
2006	3.2	3.2
2005	13.3	13.3
2004	5.7	5.7
2003	3.7	3.7
2002	T	T
2001	10.3	10.3
2000	0.2	0.2

March Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Mean	5.8	5.8
1999	9.1	9.1
1998	1.6	1.6
1997	3.7	3.7
1996	12.0	12.0
1995	T	T
1994	5.0	5.0
1993	13.3	13.3
1992	7.6	7.6
1991	1.9	1.9
1990	4.2	4.2

March Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Mean	3.0	3.0
1989	3.0	3.0
1988	3.4	3.4
1987	1.7	1.7
1986	0.1	0.1
1985	T	T
1984	13.0	13.0
1983	T	T
1982	T	T
1981	7.1	7.1
1980	2.0	2.0

 

March Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Mean	3.1	3.1
1979	T	T
1978	10.4	10.4
1977	4.0	4.0
1976	3.9	3.9
1975	1.2	1.2
1974	8.0	8.0
1973	T	T
1972	1.0	1.0
1971	1.0	1.0
1970	1.0	1.0

 

March Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Mean	6.9	6.9
1969	11.0	11.0
1968	3.0	3.0
1967	21.7	21.7
1966	0.0	0.0
1965	4.5	4.5
1964	1.0	1.0
1963	M	M
1962	M	M
1961	M	M
1960	M	M

 

 

[psv88]

0.75”. Please nobody say we are in a drought 

[forkyfork]

11 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

our cooler winter came at great expense 

here's last winter compared to 78. do you guys notice anything?