MJO812 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 17 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: i don't know man i'm freezing today! Its chilly today 39 and cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 Belleayre today with fantastic conditions! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 3 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: kill me now if that verifies-that's probably highs in the mid 30's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 19 Author Share Posted March 19 9 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: This should be in banter. 300+ hours on an operational model run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 6 minutes ago, snowman19 said: This should be in banter. 300+ hours on an operational model run not temps, I can see maps that show precip but temps verify way more than not! Am i right or am I wrong? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 5 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: not temps, I can see maps that show precip but temps verify way more than not! Am i right or am I wrong? it does look colder around that time. too late for anything wintry so it's useless really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 On 3/18/2026 at 8:44 AM, WeatherGeek2025 said: flagstaff? Not a terrible suggestion. Average highs in the 40's throughout Met winter though so I can't see their snow sticking around that long. Never lived there though so if anyone has I'd be interested to know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 The temperature will return to the middle 40s tomorrow afternoon. Readings will then return to the 50s for Friday and then the upper 50s and lower 60s during the weekend. A few showers are possible on Saturday. A somewhat cooler air mass will likely arrive early next week. The major weather story this week is the super March heatwave that is under way in much of the western U.S. March monthly records are being set in numerous cities. Today, Albuquerque, Flagstaff, Palm Springs, Phoenix, and Tucson are among the cities setting March monthly records. Additional records are likely in coming days. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around March 11. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.15°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was +0.43 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.006 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 76% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 44.6° (1.8° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: it does look colder around that time. too late for anything wintry so it's useless really @snowman19here i know you'll like this one 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 1 hour ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: Not a terrible suggestion. Average highs in the 40's throughout Met winter though so I can't see their snow sticking around that long. Never lived there though so if anyone has I'd be interested to know. it's mountains, sometimes they get decent winters and snow sticks around but not like north of here where they have persistent snow where the snow becomes an ice tundra. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 20 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: @snowman19here i know you'll like this one Great. Awesome. Bring it on. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 41 today. Awful. Next 2 weeks looks pretty bad. 45-50 and dreary. Fucking March 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 36 minutes ago, psv88 said: 41 today. Awful. Next 2 weeks looks pretty bad. 45-50 and dreary. Fucking March Typical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 3 hours ago, Brian5671 said: it does look colder around that time. too late for anything wintry so it's useless really Always hope for a rare April snow event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 2 hours ago, jm1220 said: Great. Awesome. Bring it on. That would give us 90F so no thanks 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 10 hours ago, NEG NAO said: but as soon as it does you will..................you have been changing your opinion with each model run Im a weenie . What do you expect. Im still looking at the models but there is nothing exciting on them. No negative NAO No negative AO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: That would give us 90F so no thanks Luckily its past 300 on an AI model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 105 today in Phoenix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 Nice track but no cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 Looks like a 70° warm up on Sunday for the usual NJ warm spots away from the ocean influence followed by the typical backdoor influence that we usually see this time of year heading into early April. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 42 / 32 clear but wont last long as clouds already approaching from the nw. Much warmer today 60s in NJ 50s elsewhere with some showers. Sunny clear and a bit cooler saturday mainly mid / upper 50s. Warmer buy clouds again Sunday which will limit any extent of upper 60s to 70. Overall near to slightly below normal Mon - Fri and next weekend with a warmer close to the month as ridge builds east - extent of warmth still to be determine in the 3/30 - 3/31 timeframe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 Records: Highs: EWR: 85 (1945) NYC: 83 (1945) LGA: 82 (1945) JFK: 73 (2020) Lows: EWR: 15 (1949) NYC: 11 (1885) LGA: 19 (1949) JFK: 15 (1949) Historical: 1772: A cold and stormy pattern returned to the Middle Atlantic region in March of 1772. Three storms - on March 11, March 17, and March 20 - laid down a blanket of snow that totaled 20 inches in Central Maryland. The snowfall total for the winter of 19771 - 1772 was over 50 inches in Central Maryland. (Ref. P. 27 Washington Weather Book 2002 by Ambrose, Henry, Weiss) 1885: The minimum temperature for the date is 12 °F in Washingon, DC. (Ref. Washington Weather Records) 1907: This was the last of three consecutive record warms days across parts of Colorado. Denver broke a record soaring to 80°. This followed a record high minimum of 52°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1912: Heavy snow followed the passage of a front across the central Rockies. Denver reported 6.3 inches of snow with gusty winds. The strong cold front plunged temperatures from a high of 60° on 3/19 to a low of 1° on this date. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1924 - A late winter storm in Oklahoma produced nearly a foot of snow at Oklahoma City and at Tulsa. (David Ludlum) 1948 - The city of Juneau received 31 inches of snow in 24 hours, a record for the Alaska capitol. (20th-21st) (David Ludlum) 1948: The city of Juneau received 31 inches of snow in 24 hours, a record for the Alaska Capitol. (20th - 21st) 1948: Also, on this day, an F3 tornado tracked through Tinker Air Force Base in Oklahoma City, OK just before 10 pm destroying 54 aircraft, including 17 transport planes valued at $500,000 apiece. The total damage amounted to more than $10 million, a record for the state that stood until the massive tornado outbreak of 5/3/1999. Major Ernest W. Fawbush and Captain Robert C. Miller were ordered to see if operationally forecasting tornadoes were possible. The tornado prompted the first attempt at tornado forecasting. Forecasters at Tinker believed conditions were again favorable for tornadoes and issued the first recorded tornado forecast. Five days later, on 3/25 at 6 pm, a forecasted tornado occurred, crossing the prepared base, and the damage was minimized. The successful, albeit somewhat lucky forecast, paved the way for tornado forecasts to be issued by the U.S. Weather Bureau after a lengthy ban. Click HERE for more information from NOAA. 1958: The dense flakes fell rapidly through the night and into the morning of the 20th and by noon, the worst of the storm was over, but periods of light to moderate snow continued on into the morning of the 21st. The interesting feature of this storm was extreme amount of water content. National Airport recorded a water content of 3.75 inches and some stations reported over 5 inches of liquid content. The snowfall total at National Airport was only 4.8 inches of wet snow. Arlington had a foot of snow. In the Maryland suburbs, 9 inches fell in Greenbelt; 11 inches in Silver Spring; 15 inches fell at Fort Meade; and 16 inches fell at Bethesda. Much of the Upper Montgomery County and Howard County received over 20 inches and Mt. Airy, Maryland had 33 inches of snow. (P. 69-70 Washington Weather Book 2002 by Ambrose, Henry, Weiss) Ref. (NWS Ranking for Storms between 1956 and 2011) This is the 31st Worst Snowstorm 1984 - A severe three day winter storm came to an end over the Central Plains. The storm produced up to twenty inches of snow in Colorado, Nebraska and Kansas, and left a thick coat of ice from eastern Kansas across northwestern Missouri into Iowa. (Storm Data) 1987 - A storm produced blizzard conditions in Wyoming and eastern Nebraska, and severe thunderstorms in central Nebraska. Snowfall totals ranged up to 12 inches at Glenrock WY and Chadron NE. Thunderstorms in central Nebraska produced wind gusts to 69 mph at Valentine, and wind gusts to 76 mph at Bartley. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Squalls in the Great Lakes Region left up to eight inches of new snow on the ground in time for the official start of spring. Unseasonably warm weather prevailed in the western U.S. Seven cities reported new record high temperatures for the date, including Tucson AZ with a reading of 89 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Snow and high winds created blizzard conditions in western Kansas to usher in the official start of the spring season. Thunderstorms produced severe weather from east Texas to Alabama and northwest Florida, with nearly fifty reports of large hail and damaging winds during the afternoon and evening hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - The northeastern U.S. was in the midst of a snowstorm as spring officially began at 4 19 PM. Snowfall totals in the Green Mountains of Vermont ranged up to thirty inches, and up to 15 inches of snow was reported in the Catskills and Adirondacks of eastern New York State. Totals in eastern Pennsylvania ranged up to 12 inches at Armenia Mountain. The storm resulted in one death, and forty-nine injuries. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1998: A deadly tornado outbreak occurred over portions of the southeastern United States on this day. Particularly hard hit were rural areas outside of Gainesville, Georgia, where at least 12 people were killed during the early morning hours. The entire outbreak killed 14 people and produced 12 tornadoes across three states. The town of Stoneville, North Carolina, hard hit by the storms. 2005 - An F1 tornado hits South San Francisco. Trees are uprooted. At least twenty homes and twenty businesses are damaged, including the city's new fire station. 2006 - Grand Island, NE, receives 17.8 inches of snow in 24 hours, breaking the old local record for the most snowfall in a day by 4.8 inches. 29.7 inches in 48 hours also breaks a record. 2018: NYC 8.1 inches of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 10:40 AM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 This must have been something AK 81 hour storm (radar from this week) https://x.com/i/status/2034432500596904102 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 Nice to see the cmc and gfs keeping the Northeast cool going forward 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 31 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Nice to see the cmc and gfs keeping the Northeast cool going forward You want 40s and gunk for weeks on end? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 63 / 37 sunny still for the next hour or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 16 minutes ago, jm1220 said: You want 40s and gunk for weeks on end? Yeah I dont get wanting that. if its not going to snow let it be 70. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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