March 2026

[SACRUS]

[SnoSki14]

2 hours ago, psv88 said:

Horrific day. 49 and socked in here. Upper 60s in NJ. Kill me 

Plenty of warm air coming.  Ensembles show strong ridging in East. 

[donsutherland1]

A few showers, thundershowers, and periods of rain are likely tonight into tomorrow. A somewhat cooler air mass will confine temperatures to the upper 40s in New York City tomorrow and Tuesday. Readings will then return to the lower and perhaps middle 50s by midweek. Another cold front could cross the region on Friday.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around March 11. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.15°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was +4.02 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.064 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 94% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 45.2° (2.4° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[uofmiami]

5 hours ago, psv88 said:

Nah, temps will bust low. Don’t think most of us crack 50 east of the city 

57 at both my stations so far for the high. 

[psv88]

1 minute ago, uofmiami said:

57 so far at both my stations so far for the high. 

51 all we got here.

[steve392]

72 diwn here in Freehold, nj.  Hazy skies but otherwise nice.  

[winterwarlock]

72 imby

[jm1220]

1 hour ago, forkyfork said:

plus they get the power outage side of hurricanes

I’d gladly take the 4-7” rain side NJ always seems to get vs a few showers here. 

[MJO812]

We had the blizzard one month ago on this date

[SACRUS]

Today

 

EWR: 64 / 44 (+10)
NYC: 63 / 44 (+9)

[psv88]

Hit 52 today. Busted a bit low. We are in the doldrums for a while. March is my least favorite month

[lee59]

54 my high

[qg_omega]

Lots of rain, no drought just mud 

[bluewave]

Looks like the warm front will come north again this Thursday for the next 70° potential at the usual spots. Would be nice if the warm sector can push further north than yesterday. Had the marine layer all day yesterday here on the CT Shoreline while NJ mad it to 70°+.

Then another a cooldown for a few days as Canada and the Northeast briefly gets colder.

It’s possible that some of the local warm spots could make a run on 75°-80° during the first week of April as the Southeast ridge flexes and trough tries to dig into the West. 

[MJO812]

8 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Looks like the warm front will come north again this Thursday for the next 70° potential at the usual spots. Would be nice if the warm sector can push further north than yesterday. Had the marine layer all day yesterday here on the CT Shoreline while NJ mad it to 70°+.

Then another a cooldown for a few days as Canada and the Northeast briefly gets colder.

It’s possible that some of the local warm spots could make a run on 75°-80° during the first week of April as the Southeast ridge flexes and trough tries to dig into the West. 

Thats if the  eps is right. It has been too warm this past winter in the mid to long range. Not saying its wrong but the gefs is cooler with temps in the 40s and 50s.

[bluewave]

20 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Thats if the  eps is right. It has been too warm this past winter in the mid to long range. Not saying its wrong but the gefs is cooler with temps in the 40s and 50s.

The AIFS has 70° potential also in NJ on Thursday and takes middle ground between the Euro and GFS. But the warmth struggled to get much further north yesterday. So it’s possible that NYC and points north and east doesn’t get as warm as the 0z OP Euro. I will gladly take a AIFS compromise and get warmer than the GFS but not as warm here on the CT Shore as the OP Euro.

[SnoSki14]

AIFS showing mid 80s to start April. Anytime there's some ridging we hit record highs, doesn't take much at all. 

[Dark Star]

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Looks like the warm front will come north again this Thursday for the next 70° potential at the usual spots. Would be nice if the warm sector can push further north than yesterday. Had the marine layer all day yesterday here on the CT Shoreline while NJ mad it to 70°+.

Then another a cooldown for a few days as Canada and the Northeast briefly gets colder.

It’s possible that some of the local warm spots could make a run on 75°-80° during the first week of April as the Southeast ridge flexes and trough tries to dig into the West. 

It's over...

[bluewave]

17 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

Great day SW of NYC-horrid here with clouds and mist  51

Yeah, the CT Shoreline has been on the cooler side of the backdoor for much of this month. 
 

EWR…+4.7°

NYC….+3.8°

BDR….+0.8°
 

 

[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, the CT Shoreline has been on the cooler side of the backdoor for much of this month. 
 

EWR…+4.7°

NYC….+3.8°

BDR….+0.8°
 

 

Sound waters are colder than average so it makes sense

[bluewave]

6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Sound waters are colder than average so it makes sense

Have only had three 60°+ days here while it’s been like a different season in NJ. 
 

Climatological Data for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT - March 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2026-03-01	41	26	33.5	-1.2	31	0	T
2026-03-02	27	15	21.0	-13.9	44	0	0.00
2026-03-03	34	15	24.5	-10.6	40	0	0.41
2026-03-04	48	28	38.0	2.6	27	0	0.10
2026-03-05	40	28	34.0	-1.6	31	0	0.75
2026-03-06	39	35	37.0	1.2	28	0	0.31
2026-03-07	41	34	37.5	1.4	27	0	0.09
2026-03-08	55	35	45.0	8.7	20	0	T
2026-03-09	64	30	47.0	10.4	18	0	0.00
2026-03-10	63	31	47.0	10.2	18	0	0.00
2026-03-11	60	41	50.5	13.4	14	0	0.30
2026-03-12	53	32	42.5	5.2	22	0	0.22
2026-03-13	39	31	35.0	-2.6	30	0	0.00
2026-03-14	47	30	38.5	0.7	26	0	0.00
2026-03-15	42	29	35.5	-2.6	29	0	0.00
2026-03-16	55	40	47.5	9.1	17	0	1.68
2026-03-17	53	31	42.0	3.3	23	0	0.01
2026-03-18	35	26	30.5	-8.4	34	0	0.00
2026-03-19	38	28	33.0	-6.2	32	0	0.00
2026-03-20	49	27	38.0	-1.5	27	0	0.08
2026-03-21	53	41	47.0	7.2	18	0	0.00
2026-03-22	48	40	44.0	3.9	21	0	0.17

 

Climatological Data for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - March 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2026-03-01	44	29	36.5	-1.8	28	0	T	T	1
2026-03-02	34	21	27.5	-11.0	37	0	0.00	0.0	1
2026-03-03	38	30	34.0	-4.8	31	0	0.42	T	T
2026-03-04	47	37	42.0	2.9	23	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-05	44	39	41.5	2.2	23	0	1.62	0.0	0
2026-03-06	43	37	40.0	0.4	25	0	0.16	0.0	0
2026-03-07	50	37	43.5	3.7	21	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-08	73	48	60.5	20.4	4	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-09	73	44	58.5	18.1	6	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-10	82	46	64.0	23.3	1	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-11	82	53	67.5	26.6	0	3	0.35	0.0	0
2026-03-12	64	35	49.5	8.3	15	0	0.07	T	0
2026-03-13	45	30	37.5	-4.0	27	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-14	53	34	43.5	1.7	21	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-15	46	36	41.0	-1.1	24	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-16	67	45	56.0	13.6	9	0	0.60	0.0	0
2026-03-17	47	31	39.0	-3.7	26	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-18	37	25	31.0	-12.0	34	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-19	44	32	38.0	-5.3	27	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-20	66	35	50.5	6.9	14	0	0.07	0.0	0
2026-03-21	60	48	54.0	10.1	11	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-22	64	44	54.0	9.7	11	0	0.08	0.0	0

 

 

[SACRUS]

20 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Have only had three 60°+ days here while it’s been like a different season in NJ. 
 

Climatological Data for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT - March 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2026-03-01	41	26	33.5	-1.2	31	0	T
2026-03-02	27	15	21.0	-13.9	44	0	0.00
2026-03-03	34	15	24.5	-10.6	40	0	0.41
2026-03-04	48	28	38.0	2.6	27	0	0.10
2026-03-05	40	28	34.0	-1.6	31	0	0.75
2026-03-06	39	35	37.0	1.2	28	0	0.31
2026-03-07	41	34	37.5	1.4	27	0	0.09
2026-03-08	55	35	45.0	8.7	20	0	T
2026-03-09	64	30	47.0	10.4	18	0	0.00
2026-03-10	63	31	47.0	10.2	18	0	0.00
2026-03-11	60	41	50.5	13.4	14	0	0.30
2026-03-12	53	32	42.5	5.2	22	0	0.22
2026-03-13	39	31	35.0	-2.6	30	0	0.00
2026-03-14	47	30	38.5	0.7	26	0	0.00
2026-03-15	42	29	35.5	-2.6	29	0	0.00
2026-03-16	55	40	47.5	9.1	17	0	1.68
2026-03-17	53	31	42.0	3.3	23	0	0.01
2026-03-18	35	26	30.5	-8.4	34	0	0.00
2026-03-19	38	28	33.0	-6.2	32	0	0.00
2026-03-20	49	27	38.0	-1.5	27	0	0.08
2026-03-21	53	41	47.0	7.2	18	0	0.00
2026-03-22	48	40	44.0	3.9	21	0	0.17

 

Climatological Data for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - March 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2026-03-01	44	29	36.5	-1.8	28	0	T	T	1
2026-03-02	34	21	27.5	-11.0	37	0	0.00	0.0	1
2026-03-03	38	30	34.0	-4.8	31	0	0.42	T	T
2026-03-04	47	37	42.0	2.9	23	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-05	44	39	41.5	2.2	23	0	1.62	0.0	0
2026-03-06	43	37	40.0	0.4	25	0	0.16	0.0	0
2026-03-07	50	37	43.5	3.7	21	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-08	73	48	60.5	20.4	4	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-09	73	44	58.5	18.1	6	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-10	82	46	64.0	23.3	1	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-11	82	53	67.5	26.6	0	3	0.35	0.0	0
2026-03-12	64	35	49.5	8.3	15	0	0.07	T	0
2026-03-13	45	30	37.5	-4.0	27	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-14	53	34	43.5	1.7	21	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-15	46	36	41.0	-1.1	24	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-16	67	45	56.0	13.6	9	0	0.60	0.0	0
2026-03-17	47	31	39.0	-3.7	26	0	T	0.0	0
2026-03-18	37	25	31.0	-12.0	34	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-19	44	32	38.0	-5.3	27	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-20	66	35	50.5	6.9	14	0	0.07	0.0	0
2026-03-21	60	48	54.0	10.1	11	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-03-22	64	44	54.0	9.7	11	0	0.08	0.0	0

 

 

even warmer just sw (inland) of EWR on a few of those days 3/16, 3/20, 3/22  

 

[SACRUS]

44 / 42 coolest of the next 7-10 days and perhaps well beyond that.  0.38 un the bucket.  Lats of the rain / showers moving through W - E this morning.  Still coole Tuesday mid 40s to low 50s - warmest spots.  Moderation warmer Wed - Thu then cooler Fri / Sat.  Overall near normal 3/28 - 4/1 before much warmer 4/3 - 4/6 as ridge builds east.  A drier week in the cards next 7 days <0.50.