SACRUS Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 17 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: This heat event will be among the most impressive heat events on record relative to climatology. It will rank up there with the March 2012, June 2021 PNW, September-October 2024 Southwest heat events in terms of peak temperatures relative to normal. The national March high temperature mark of 108° should fall. Numerous cities will surpass not just March, but also April monthly records. Sat:Today's record highs include Downtown LA at 92 degrees (previous 90 degrees in 2015), LAX at 88 degrees (previous 86 degrees in 1994), and UCLA at 89 degrees (previous 87 degrees in 2015) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 3/15 Sunrise: 7:08AM Sunset: 7:03 PM Daylight: 11H: 55M Gained 2H15M from the winter lull Roughly Equivalent to Sep 27th Gaining a annual max of 2:43 seconds now and through the next week. First 12 hour day on March 17 1th 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 15 Author Share Posted March 15 Letting my Pivotalwx subscription expire tonight. Not worth paying for it anymore. I’ll renew it again in mid-November like I normally do 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 54 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Letting my Pivotalwx subscription expire tonight. Not worth paying for it anymore. I’ll renew it again in mid-November like I normally do Why? The NAO and AO are going negative… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 15 Author Share Posted March 15 15 minutes ago, psv88 said: Why? The NAO and AO are going negative… The models have already begun to back off the blocking 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 27 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The models have already begun to back off the blocking They have ? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 beautiful day outside i am going to miss the chill when it is gone.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 Clipper. This was further north at 0z. Lets see if it comes south in future runs. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 15 Author Share Posted March 15 19 minutes ago, MJO812 said: They have ? They absolutely have, you even admitted it in the ENSO thread @cmillzz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 12 minutes ago, snowman19 said: They absolutely have, you even admitted it in the ENSO thread @cmillzz Maybe slightly but still projected to be neutral or slightly negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 20 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Clipper. This was further north at 0z. Lets see if it comes south in future runs. Cmc way north but thats going to most likely come south over time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 Updated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 59 minutes ago, nycwinter said: beautiful day outside i am going to miss the chill when it is gone.. My wife disagrees with you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 Still just 40 degrees here. We're not gonna get anywhere near the forecast high temps today with the cloudy skies and east winds. A nasty raw day today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Cmc way north but thats going to most likely come south over time. Even if it does, it will be an all-rain event. Temps are going to be in the 50s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 1 minute ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: Even if it does, it will be an all-rain event. Temps are going to be in the 50s. Because of what it showed. Euro is also showing blocking. We will see 1 more snow event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 A little teaser for everyone... 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 2 minutes ago, RU848789 said: A little teaser for everyone... Euro at the end also shows something but way out there. Not shocking if we do get something with the MJO and teleconnections. Slim chance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 2 hours ago, MJO812 said: Maybe slightly but still projected to be neutral or slightly negative. That won't cut it in late March 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: That won't cut it in late March Need it more than neutral 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 15 Author Share Posted March 15 35 minutes ago, RU848789 said: A little teaser for everyone... Just 13 days away at the end of March….and on an operational model….what could possibly go wrong?? Lol 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 51 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Just 13 days away at the end of March….and on an operational model….what could possibly go wrong?? Lol Eps also has some snow. Its a possibility with this upcoming pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 2 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Yeah, I agree. What’s the RGEM show??? Another person who cant read the pattern ahead. Its a possibility but its slight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 Dont post anything if these runs come true. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 2 hours ago, snowman19 said: Just 13 days away at the end of March….and on an operational model….what could possibly go wrong?? Lol Well, you'll have no idea if you dropped Pivotal, lol (too early)... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 The storm currently bringing blizzard conditions to parts of the Upper Midwest will bring a soaking rain to the New York City region tonight and tomorrow. A general 0.50"-1.50" rainfall with locally higher amounts is likely. Strong thunderstorms are possible in parts of the area. The rain could end as flurries or a period of wet snow in some of the distant northern and western suburbs. Following storm, a shot of much cooler air could arrive on Tuesday. Lows in New York City could fall to the middle and upper 20s with highs in the upper 30s and lower 40s on Tuesday and Wednesday However, with the AO likely to remain generally positive through around March 20th, the cool period likely won't be as prolonged as had been the case during this past winter's cold regimes. Temperatures should return to the middle and upper 40s by Thursday and the 50s to end the week. Uncertainty about the closing 7-10 days of March has increased. The major weather story this week will be the super March heatwave that will develop in much of the western U.S. March monthly records are likely to be smashed in numerous cities, including Albuquerque, Flagstaff, Fresno, Las Vegas, Palm Springs, Phoenix, Reno, Salt Lake City, and Yuma. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around March 4. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.23°C. Neutral ENSO conditions have now developed. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was -9.19 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.602 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 70% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 44.5° (1.7° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.0° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 2 hours ago, MJO812 said: Dont post anything if these runs come true. They won’t. Look at this week a coastal turned into a massive cutter and the cold air disappeared 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 6 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: Even if it does, it will be an all-rain event. Temps are going to be in the 50s. You're not even technically in this geographical forum. Why do you always speak as if you speak for the entire population of the forum when at best you're the southern extreme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 Tons of lightning all up and down the cold front traversing the country now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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